XOM: Massive Bull-Flag-Formation, Targets to be Confirmed!Hello Community,
welcome to my update analysis about XOM. As I already mentioned before, XOM was and is trading in a consecutive uptrend in which higher levels are highly likely to be reached. Right now, I have spotted further signs that have the potential to lead to a great trading opportunity for XOM.
When looking at my chart, we can see how XOM is trading within this continuous ascending trend channel. Within this channel, XOM has major support at the lower boundary, where it has already bounced several times.
Now, XOM is also forming this major triangle formation with the bullish support within the 50-MA. Bouncing off this MA will confirm further bullish continuations towards the upside. Once XOM breaks out above the upper boundary, this will activate the final target zones seen in my chart.
In this manner, thank you a lot for watching!
The support is highly appreciated.
VP
XOM
XOM 1/15/2026 Very good bull activity + options activity. whopping $2.4 million dollars in XOM Calls @ $135 Strike Expiring 4/17/26
the entry is at 0.786 of the Daily Range 2
to avoid manipulation the stop is 2.5x of Daily ATR. Target is at $135.
special thanks for @m_p_d3 and whole crew of StockedUp for the aggregated information about options activity.
Oil and Natural Gas - market headwinds Today we dive deep into the crude oil trade and natural gas.
Oil and natural gas are both surging today and the markets are not worried about it.
We are long AMEX:UCO & AMEX:XLE and have already secured our first profit target.
Lots of bullish flow has been observed in AMEX:USO into for the back half of the year.
More bullish flow has been observed in high beta ticker RIG.
Oil could be setting up another massive bullish pattern that if it triggers we could be looking at new highs on oil.
Oil Formed Outside Day, Friday Likely Last Day of BattleWrote this before 6PM...
The Setup:
It is a classic trend continuation vs channel rejection BATTLE!
The outside day in OIL on Friday occurred right at a multi month channel boundary. Highly likely that Friday may be the last battle before a victor!
The structure is slightly BEARISH, BUT look what I found out when I dug further!
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The 1Hr chart breaks outside the CHANNEL & this action is NOT shown on the DAILY CHART!
1H = bullish
4H = bearish leaning
Daily = indecision
Volume = mixed
Momentum = fading
Trendline = defended
So structurally:
Bears still have a small advantage unless buyers break the outside day high!
WTI Crude Breakout in Play as SPR Cushion DisappearingGasoline prices have felt surprisingly steady lately, but the charts and the physical supply reality are signaling that quiet period may be coming to an end.
Here is a breakdown of what the technicals and fundamentals are telling us right now:
Technical Setup:
Channel Clearance > Crude futures are testing the upper boundary of the multi month descending channel.
Momentum Expanding > RSI sitting near 58, holding the middle ground, and TTM bars are expanding a bit.
Fundamental Reality: SPR Buffer Disappearing
Historical Lows: Strategic Petroleum Reserve stocks sits at significantly lower levels than prior cycle lows.
At these levels, using the SPR as an artificial price damper is no longer a viable policy tool without risking core energy security.
Bottom Line for Pump Prices:
Retail gasoline lags crude futures. The steady prices at the pump were simply reflecting crude’s summer consolidation between $70–$78 AND the SPR reduction.
Now that WTI is threatening to break the downtrend, refining margins will pass higher feedstock costs directly down the line. Unless we see a sudden macroeconomic demand destruction event, the path of least resistance for energy prices is LIKELY upward. This time, there is a lot less physical safety net to blunt the rally.
USO long-term TAYou have to be a little bit cautious about oil trade, the long-term trend is still there yes, but the current momentum behind this price move is not as strong as it used to be, which is a slight problem, the current ongoing actions between US and Iran have not returned long-term holders in place, at least yet. While the trend hasn't been technically broken but we need to approach this recovery with caution.
Crude Oil and Exxon Mobil at Key Resistance as Bearish Patterns After the sharp rally toward 119 in early March, crude oil has spent the past several weeks in a corrective phase, and current price action may now be signaling the next major move lower. As previously discussed, the initial decline from the March highs unfolded in a strong impulsive structure for wave A, followed by a three-wave corrective rebound that reached the 118.55 resistance area. Although the market experienced an aggressive sell-off during the first half of April, prices managed to stabilize around the 82 region, where several additional swings have since developed.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the structure increasingly resembles a bearish triangle formation within wave B. Importantly, all five internal legs, labeled a-b-c-d-e, can now potentially be counted, suggesting that the correction may be approaching completion. In addition, the latest 24-hour price action has delivered another strong sell-off, reinforcing the idea that the energy sector could be preparing for another temporary move lower, likely toward the lower boundary of the broader triangle range. From a technical standpoint, we still believe that the unfilled gaps near 87 and 67 remain important downside targets that could eventually be revisited.
A very similar technical setup can also be observed on Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM). The stock experienced a sharp and impulsive decline, followed by an ABC corrective recovery that pushed directly into a major GAP resistance zone near the 164 level. From this area, Exxon Mobil may now be vulnerable to renewed downside pressure, especially if crude oil continues to weaken. The correlation between crude oil and energy equities remains strong, and if the bearish triangle scenario on oil is confirmed by a broken trendline support then Exxon Mobil could follow with a continuation lower as well.
It is also worth monitoring geopolitical developments, particularly ongoing discussions surrounding a potential agreement between the United States and Iran. Former President Donald Trump has repeatedly suggested that negotiations may be nearing completion. Any progress toward a deal could increase expectations of additional oil supply entering global markets, which may further pressure crude oil prices and energy-related stocks in the near term.
GH
XOM: Winners of the Venezuelan Oil-Poker!Hello There,
in the past days we have witnessed spectacular events that will be historically determining for the oil market and oil company stocks. One of the largest oil reserves country Venezuela changed from a socialist government to a state under U.S. influence. Since the government changed the plan is that oil companies can take up their business again, which was not possible before. As Venezuela has one of the largest oil reserves, this could mean massive changes for those companies.
One of those companies is ExxonMobil (XOM). The company already had big plans to expand their oil production before 2007. Since 1999, the Venezuelan government has begun expropriating private businesses and, in the majority, oil companies. This also led to the seizure of ExxonMobil in 2007, where thousands of millions of barrels of oil were expropriated into government control. The company has had no ability to get their reserves and continue their businesses in Venezuela since then.
As a government change happens in Venezuela, this will create major bullish foundations for XOM. The price already gained over 300% in a continuous uptrend since the corona pandemic in 2020. A potential continuation of their business will likely expand their revenues by up to 40% more. Such factors will have tremendous effects on the price action. As seen in my chart, XOM will likely complete this gigantic bull flag in the next time.
Already before this major event, XOM could complete this gigantic broadening wedge formation. The targets of this formation were already confirmed by the breakout. Now the bull flag formation forming above the upper boundary offers the next double confirmational formation. From this point of view this creates a fundamentally and technically bullish perspective for XOM. The targets marked in my chart are already active. When there are massive news in the oil industry there is a high likelihood for major price moves.
With this being said, it is great to consider the important trades upcoming.
We will watch out for the main market evolutions.
Thank you very much for watching!
Exxon Mobil: Interim CorrectionExxon Mobil shares have recently climbed to a new all-time high, but then came under increasing downward pressure. We currently see price in a subordinate interim correction that still has some room to move lower in the near term. Once the associated low is in place, the ongoing larger upward impulse should resume, and we expect the stock to reach new all-time highs above resistance at $176.41. Alternatively, XOM could drop directly (without setting new highs) below support at $120.81. This would suggest that the high of the broader impulse move is already in and the stock has entered the larger correction phase (probability: 34%).
XOM Near Record Highs as Bulls Eye a Fresh BreakoutHello, traders!
Momentum remains firmly with the upside
Exxon Mobil is still trading in a strong bullish trend, with the daily structure showing repeated breaks higher and only shallow pullbacks so far. The broader backdrop also supports that strength, as rising energy prices and improving LNG execution continue to reinforce the market’s confidence in XOM. On the chart, the stock remains well above its major moving averages, with price holding the bullish alignment of Price > MA20 > MA60 > MA120. That keeps the primary path pointed higher while the stock stays above its key trend support.
The short-term map is clear
Immediate support sits at $158.71, which lines up with the MA20 and a prior breakout area, while the near-term resistance zone stands at $178.00 near the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The key trigger on the upside is a daily close above $174.50, which would confirm continuation and open the way toward $178.00 first, then $180-$185, with $187.50 as an extended objective. As long as price remains inside this rising channel, the trend still favors buyers on dips rather than sellers into strength.
The alternative path matters here
If XOM fails to hold the channel and closes below $164.00, the bullish structure starts to weaken and the move likely shifts into a deeper correction. A break under $158.71 would strengthen that view further and expose the next downside area near $150, with $148.00 and the MA60 at $146.39 becoming more relevant. For now, though, the bigger picture stays constructive. Bulls remain in control unless price loses those supports decisively, and the market still looks positioned for another attempt higher before any larger trend reversal is in play.
EXXON MOBIL can almost double within 3 years.Exxon Mobil (XOM) has started a new Bull Cycle, one sequence that is recurring within its 58-year trading history. Helped to a large extent by the current geopolitics (U.S. - Iran war), the price is extending this month a rally that started after the April 2025 Low on the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line).
Historically it looks like the we are at least half-way inside a Bull Cycle like the previous one where in January 2022 the Ukraine - Russia war started. We believe that as long as the 1M MA50 supports, the market should complete at least a +218.50% rally from the April 2025 Low, which is historically the minimum Bull Cycle it had % wise.
This gives a $310 Target on a 3-year horizon. Even when the 1M RSI hits the 87.00 Resistance, it historically means that the Bull Cycle isn't over yet.
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Significant breakout for $EQT after 12 years of consolidationSignificant breakout for NYSE:EQT after 12 years of consolidation
Here's why I think it's one of the most underappreciated setups out there right now.
QatarEnergy offline with the 20% of global LNG gone. The only terminals still shipping run on Appalachian gas. EQT's gas.
But here's what most people miss: AI data centres are also creating a completely separate, long-term gas demand story that has nothing to do with the war.
Largest US gas producer. 4-5x cash flow. $6B+ hedged revenue. Clean balance sheet.
Two different tailwinds are hitting the same stock
Energy Collapse Nat Gas vs Crude OilNatural Gas and crude oil gapped up this morning on escalating tension in middle east.
Oil pulled back all night and into the morning.
Midday saw a pretty hard collapse in energy as Trump basically came out and said the war is going to be over sooner than they thought.
This type of headline is tricky to trade off of and has a strong chance at being false.
Oil over the next couple days will probably confirm if trump is telling the truth.
Oil on the daily chart still looks very strong.
Natural Gas on the daily chart looks very weak and likely wants to make new lows.
Exxon Mobil (XOM) Simple Market Breakdown!XOM’s sitting at a key level right now; momentum could go either way depending on the next breakout ⚡
Here’s what I’m watching:
📈 If we break above 117.28, that could open the door for a push up toward 123–125; that’s our next major target zone.
📉 But if we drop below 110.49, then we could see a move down toward 109, and possibly even 101 if selling pressure continues.
💡 So, short-term watch those breakout and breakdown levels closely.
Long-term ; whichever side breaks first will likely set the direction for the next big move.
Want to see how I’m tracking these levels and the signals I’m using to confirm the breakout?
💬 DM me “XOM” and I’ll share my private chart breakdown directly.
ExxonMobil: Fresh Selling PressureExxonMobil recently came under renewed pressure, pulling back from resistance at $126.34. In our primary scenario, we continue to expect the high of the magenta wave (B) to remain below the resistance at $134.38, before wave (C) drives the stock into our green Target Zone between $75.37 and $50.05. However, if the stock soon drops below support at $95.77, we may have to assume that the high of the turquoise wave alt.2 is already in place, which would likely result in an earlier move toward our Target Zone (probability: 35%).
EXXON MOBIL Critical crossroads.Exxon Mobil (XOM) has been trading within a Channel Down since the June 17 2024 Low and just recently on the July 11 2025 High, it made a Lower High pattern similar to November 22 2024.
As long as the price trades below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), we expect to start the new Bearish Leg and test at least Support 1 (97.85).
If however it breaks above the 1D MA200 it will invalidate all prior Lower High patterns, and will most likely follow the (blue) Channel Up to break above the Channel Down. In that case, we will be targeting Resistance 1 (120.00).
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