We Are Witnessing A Historical Event With A Clear Outcome!!!

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The S&P 500             has gone 43 trading days without a 1% daily move, up or down.
which is the equivalent of two months and one day in trading days.

During this stretch, the S&P             has gained more than 4%,
and it has notched a 52-week high recently as well.

Since 1952, there were nine other precedents. All of
these went 42 trading days without a 1% move, all of
them saw the S&P             gain at least 4% during their streaks,
and all of them saw the S&P             close at a 52-week highs.

***There was consistent weakness a week later, with only three
gainers, and all below +0.5%.
***After that, stocks did better, often continuing an Extraordinary move higher.

Charts can sometimes give us a better nuance than
numbers from a table, and from the charts we can see a
general pattern -
***if stocks held up well in the following
weeks, then they tended to do extremely well in the
months ahead.
***If stocks started to stumble after this two-
month period of calm, however, then the following months
tended to show a lot more volatility.

We already know we're seeing an exceptional market
environment at the moment, going against a large number
of precedents that argued for weakness here, instead of
the rally we've seen. If we continue to head higher in
spite of everything, these precedents would suggest that
we're in the midst of something that could be TRULY EXTRAORDINARY.
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//Created by ChrisMoody on 6-19-2014
//Plots the % of the closing price based on the close of the previous day.
study("_CM_Range_Percent", overlay=false)
thr = input(1, minval=0, title="Threshold Percentile, 1=1% - 1.5=1.5%, etc.")
tspcy = input(60, minval=0, title="Transparency Fill, 100 = No Fill, Default = 60")

upday = close > close[1]
downday = close < close[1]

rnge_UpDay = close - close[1]
rnge_DownDay = close[1] - close

rnge_pct_upday = upday ? (rnge_UpDay/close)*100 : na
rnge_pct_DownDay = downday ? -(rnge_DownDay/close)*100 : na

col = rnge_pct_upday > thr ? lime : rnge_pct_DownDay < -thr ? red : yellow

plot(rnge_pct_upday, style=histogram, linewidth=3, color=col)
plot(rnge_pct_DownDay, style=histogram, linewidth=3, color=col)
p1=plot(thr, title="Upper Threshold Line", style=line, linewidth=3, color=white)
p2=plot(-(thr), title="Lower Threshold Line", style=line, linewidth=3, color=white)
fill(p1, p2, color=silver, transp=tspcy)
ChrisMoody PRO
2 years ago
If any one wants the lower indicator I'll have it in the Indicators section by early next week. The code gives correct values but it is not coded the best way currently. Both Indicators have a setting in the Inputs Tab where you can adjust the "Threshold" from 1% to 1.5% or .75% etc...
+1 Reply
sublimares2 ChrisMoody
2 years ago
As usual nice work. I was thinking if you have handy a script for a slow stoch? I do have one but it looks that is not showing accurate values.
ChrisMoody PRO sublimares2
2 years ago
Get me alink to a couple of online examples that give codes...and I'll code it for you
pcmourao ChrisMoody
2 years ago
Hey Chris, is it possible for you to write a script that automatically identify's Gartley and Harmonic Patterns? Something like this script for MT4 . It automatically draws on the chart the pattern as it's forming based on price and Fib levels until the pattern is complete.
ChrisMoody PRO pcmourao
2 years ago
I would ask GLAZ or LazyBear in the Pinescript chat room if they have any "Out Of The Box Ideas"...But No...this would require being able to plot lines on the charts that start and end at a certain condition. In coding this requires "Loops"...not implemented in Pinescript yet but coming to a theatre near you...just not sure if it will be released in 3 weeks or 3 months...

The only thing I can think of is defining the criteria in the code and that plots something in order to give you the heads up there is likely a pattern there....If they are willing to give it a shot this is something that would be more in there league...(The two names mentioned above)...
2 years ago
Until rates rise... but... the catalyst would be inflation. Yellen says there is No Inflation. But I am paying inflated goods and services, and we all are. So why the lie, which has extended this 43 day cycle? The EXTRAORDINARY thing is rates must stay low, so "no inflation", the facts stay hidden, until the next election (November), so no matter what, this market goes up, and does not correct until after the election. The dems don't get re-elected in a bear market. But the price for that, 30% to 50% correction. Allow the super rich to get filthy rich, so they can redistribute it after the crash comes, creating a dependent social class of no middle class govt dependent society.
ZigaZaga PRO
2 years ago
Thank you for interpreting this!

So am I correct in understanding that the typical 20-day (14 bar) bull-trap set-up of the last notable 3 cycles has now carried on for 62 days (42 bars)?
ChrisMoody PRO ZigaZaga
2 years ago
Not 100% sure what your referring to as far as cycles...but as of close today I show 47 Trading days on the SPX and SPY
Awesomeness! Chris you rock man! I always go back to your indicators, and have them all saved on as my favorites.

ChrisMoody PRO HermanBrummer
2 years ago
Thanks man...Hope your doing well
2 years ago
Chris, I came across this on stocktwits. A chart by sentimentraders and wondered if this can be scripted.
Fascinating chart.
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