Hi, today we are going to talk about Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF and its current landscape. The emerging markets today can face an increase of volatility and perhaps pessimism as Trump's stated that will reinstate Steel and Aluminum tariffs for Brazil and Argentina since, in his perspective, both countries are devaluating their currencies to be "unfairly"...
No major change since June. Still, either EM is very cheap vs DM or Gold is very expensive. This should correct in coming weeks
Very high correlation btw relative value of EM vs DM stocks and Gold price At the moment, either EM is very cheap vs DM or Gold is very expensive. This should correct in coming weeks Idea stolen from TickByTick_Team on Twitter. Sorry not allowed to paste links here
If the $USD continues to fall it will add some fuel to the performance of Emerging Markets.
The rising dollar, increased interest rates, trade wars and all it entails mean that the emerging markets are NOT DONE trending down. The index has been mean-reverting and will probably go even further down. This is a great buy opportunity for long-term investors.
A lot of action will be based on fundamentals but I can see this ETF continuing its mean-reverting move and going further down by 5-10%. If it keeps on going down, it will be a great buying opportunity (long-term) and with a nice dividend yield.
There are many on this site that are claiming to know where BTC and other cryptos are heading in the short to intermediate term. The only issue? Their analysis is absolute hogwash. This chart shows the Vanguard Emerging Market index (which shows a diversified performance of equities in many of the emerging markets). Notice the stark similarity. As you can see,...
The sma50 acting as dynamic resistance in this downtrend, looks like a good spot to start a short with 2 atr (14) as stop on close.
It is more obvious now, as VWO has been outperforming for several months. As the ratio is still turning, we should be moving into emerging market but only gradually.
Part 3. Three days ago I published Parts 1 and 2 for the-S&P and-IWM. (2,500 stocks total). I wanted to share with you the emerging markets. In my opinion they are weak, trend-less with a downward bias, and the risk/ reward ratio is to the down side. VWO-is an ETF consisting of shares in the following countries: China 23.23% Taiwan, Province of China ...
The ratio has a breakout, held a higher high, is above 10 month MA, RSI broke out. So I guess it is time to BEGIN to overweight emerging market.
This is another reason we pay close attention to emerging market. Still in its early stage so we will give it this summer to approve itself.
Price and RSI broke out, MACD positive. Overbought already on hourly chart so short term pull back likely. Wait and see.
May still range bound so it may become worse before get better. More bullish if it can go above the red resistance.
1. Emerging market shows strength, as shown on the VWo/VTI ratio chart. 2. As of last trading day of April, it broke a major resistance line that has been there since April 2011. 3. 3 month moving average crossed above 5 month moving average, a buy signal.