The Human Cycle
In the previous post, we looked at standard or commonly used moving averages due to the simplicity of calculation given our base 10 number system. Now we consider if the cycles we experience as humans on earth provide us insight into the patterns seen on the charts.
Using daily closes, I have overlaid the SMAs and EMAs. The same colors represent...
Moving Averages provide us with a dynamic metric to monitor current price in relation to past periods. A Simple Moving Average (SMA) is the average closing price for a set number of periods. An Exponential Moving Average (EMA) weights the most recent closing prices more than the closing prices toward the beginning of the set number of periods.
The current price...
If we can break and hold a monthly above the blue fib spiral, then this model is broken and can be ignored.
See the image below for the correct scaling.
The halving in April 2024 will serve as catalyst to trigger the active hidden bullish divergence in RSI vs. the all-time monthly log chart resulting in a 2-year rally up to $750,000 by end of year 2025
This is a cleaner chart with the relevant channel and price levels using weekly closes.
Next we will take a look at Moving Averages using standard and nonstandard time periods.
Simplicity is significant. When viewing a price chart, what are the first things we notice?
Highs, Lows, and Slopes
As we begin to analyze a chart, note the major and highs. Like a magnet, these are price levels that price will gravitate toward and repel from over time. How price approaches these levels will give us insight into the likelihood of a continuation...
Also known as phi, the Golden Ratio can be derived by determining the proportion at which dividing the whole equals the proportion between the smaller and larger segment that together make up the whole.
Algebraically, this can be describes as:
x + y = 1
|x| = y / x
x (and y) must be positive since they make up a whole.
Isolate the variable:
y = 1 - x
y =...
The right channel contains the price, but it would be a mistake to simply discard the channel once it seemingly become invalidated.
The chart speaks for itself; who's listening?
While the usefulness of a channel diminishes over time, I notice bitcoin moving along the same angle as it has in years past. Interestingly, the space between channels may not be coincidental.
How long will bitcoin continue to appreciate at this rate?
At this rate bitcoin will be back to a new all time of $70k in October 2024.
Will bitcoin reach the bottom of...
G'day,
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily)
Orange = Daily
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD...
In the video linked below featuring this chart, I discussed the potential range of 6 trillion within a 65 trillion context. The distinction in measurement depends on whether you assess it in terms of percentage or a linear scale. The underlying rationale is rooted in the concept that if Wave 2 can undergo a 200 million percent expansion during an expanded...
To begin with, it's crucial to emphasize that this approach differs significantly from Elliott Wave analysis. Utilizing the AriasWave methodology involves years of observation and ongoing pattern analysis, making it distinct from conventional techniques. This video may seem out of the ordinary for this channel, as I've consistently held a contrarian view on...
