NQ is setting up for long as well. Which will win, Not in my hands, wait and watch. Make sure to Navigate the market with caution, Until we find the confirmed direction.
Early signs of topping on ZB futures. Distribution candles on the top, and failing yet again at familiar spot. Setup is not yet confirmed by RSI or MACD, though, and the long bond bounced a bit off the MA(9).
I'm inclined to open half of my position here. A daily close below MA(9) would lead me to open the second half of the short on ZB, targetting MA(200),...
Interesting enough, with the pending interest rate decision from the FEDs, The Bond market is experiencing a Squeeze.
Higher interest rates, affects the Bonds and Stocks negative, while the former being more sensitive, Keeping an eye on the Bonds may Shed some lights. If the interest rates will raise or not.
1. ISM index reported low
2. ADP Employment change...
The weekly chart on the Bonds is developing a signal. No matter what direction the wedge breaks we expect a 6-10 week move. Keep this chart front and center on computer.
The chart presented is a Comparison of the 30 Year Bond and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Notice how the extreme Peaks in bond prices (hitting the upper trend line) starts a strong rally in Equities and also vise versa. Its a good time to buy stocks, and short bonds. With the Feb raising rate some time in the future, I expect bond price to fall and the the...
All markets move the same. There is always accumulation which sets up a pop and leg up. Once the leg is complete we will always see distribution, followed by a leg back down to test every level that was gained and lost.
Most people can't recognize accumulation or distribution. Instead they call it chop, which is technically not incorrect, but it limits our...
Three weeks ago T-Bond saw this level. Likely to penetrate. Next level is a revisit to 140 not seen since Nov 2014. Note the high level excess supply signals in late Dec.
Make Sure no squeezes are forming in Intraday chart setup.
100% Symmetry Support / Sling Shot Entry. Watch for a TLT / ZB Reversal. Again Not betting it will make a new high, if it does, Thats BONUS.
In a deflationary environment, yields will continue to fall and bond prices will rise. In many countries, we are seeing structural deflationary pressures that can't seemed to be fixed by adding money supply.
This trade setup looks to buy a pull-back to the P-Pivot level, which also coincides with the up-trending blue slope
As of 13 Jan 2015, price has broken...
No entry for now. Bonds gapped down and didn't even get close to our entry area. We will watch for a bounce...below the zone we will continue to look short.
Time to short yields. Trajectory on reduction of LSAPs is what's important now, Not the fact that they're reducting, that's priced in and happenin. It's going to be data dependent, which means we're in for another round of this psychological waterboarding of strong highly opinionated market views. This combined with big positioning to the downside for bonds, i.e...
30-Year T-Bonds have broken out of their descending trading range. The measured move from this breakout targets the 137' region. Old resistance is new support at 132'-133' where both trend line and 50 SMA support resides.
30 year bonds as well as 10 year bonds have been under pressure. It's overshot, and about to abate imo. If you look at the ZB/ZN ratio, you can see, (much better) the very well defined support bounce.
