Get started
Bitcoin Futures (Nov 2021)Bitcoin Futures (Nov 2021)Bitcoin Futures (Nov 2021)

Bitcoin Futures (Nov 2021)

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Forward curve Contracts

BTCX2021 trade ideas

🔒Bitcoin Breakout:The 5 Benefits Of Using Bitcoin 💰💸Bitcoin, a decentralized digital currency, offers several benefits that have contributed to its popularity and adoption. Here are five key advantages of using Bitcoin: 1. Decentralization and Security: Bitcoin operates on a decentralized network, meaning it is not controlled by any single government, institution, or individual. This decentralization reduces the risk of censorship, government interference, or manipulation. The use of blockchain technology ensures the security of transactions through cryptographic techniques, making it highly resistant to fraud and hacking. 2. Global Accessibility: Bitcoin transactions can be conducted globally, providing financial services to people who may not have access to traditional banking systems. Anyone with an internet connection and a compatible device can send and receive Bitcoin, promoting financial inclusion and accessibility to a borderless financial system. 3. Limited Supply and Deflationary Nature: Bitcoin has a capped supply of 21 million coins, creating scarcity and limiting inflationary pressures. This fixed supply is programmed into its protocol, making it resistant to manipulation by governments or central banks. This scarcity is often cited as a feature that can potentially preserve the value of Bitcoin over time. 4. Reduced Transaction Costs: Bitcoin transactions typically have lower fees compared to traditional financial systems, especially for international transfers. Traditional banking and payment systems may involve intermediary banks, currency conversion fees, and transaction delays, which can be mitigated by using Bitcoin for peer-to-peer transactions. 5. Financial Privacy: While Bitcoin transactions are recorded on a public ledger called the blockchain, they are pseudonymous and do not directly reveal the identities of the parties involved. Users have greater control over their financial information, reducing the risk of identity theft and protecting their privacy compared to traditional banking systems where personal information is often required for transactions. It's important to note that while Bitcoin offers these advantages, it also faces challenges and criticisms, such as price volatility, regulatory uncertainty, and environmental concerns related to energy consumption in the mining process. Individuals should carefully consider these factors and conduct thorough research before engaging in Bitcoin transactions. Disclaimer: The information provided here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments, including Bitcoin, carry inherent risks, and individuals should conduct their own research and seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and the value of cryptocurrencies can fluctuate significantly. The user is solely responsible for any actions or decisions made based on the information provided.
CME:BTC1!Long
by lubosi
What does the arrival of Spot Bitcoin ETFs mean for US investorsAfter a long journey, the first spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) were approved in the United States of America. This is the latest step on the path to bitcoin, and digital assets more generally, becoming mainstream. To help clarify how this chain of events unfolded, and where the story could go next, this is an edited summary of a discussion with Ryan Louvar, Chief Legal Officer at WisdomTree, which took place in full on the Crypto Clarified podcast1. The main points covered were: The main obstacles that had to be overcome for approval The reasons why a spot bitcoin ETF is a positive for investors and digital assets’ place in a portfolio as a diversifier What to expect in terms of uptake over different timeframes What to expect in the near future as the asset class becomes more mainstream Benjamin Dean (BD): Ryan, happy bitcoin spot ETF effective date to you. Ryan Louvar (RL): It’s a super exciting day. Even going back six months ago, I can’t say I was on the optimist side. But seeing the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) grant an effective registration statement to allow bitcoin ETFs, as well as the listings, is great. Obstacles to overcome BD: What were those final obstacles that had to be overcome and how have almost a dozen different issuers had their applications approved and become effective? RL: I was on a panel at Bitcoin 2021 with a couple of other ETF issuers. We were asked to predict if we thought that 2021 would be the year. There was some optimism because the new chairman of the SEC, Gary Gensler, had spoken at MIT about this topic. However, there were hurdles before through that prior SEC administration. I said that there was a decent chance 2021 would be the year. But we have a new SEC administration now, and the similar denials continued. The rationale was that there just aren’t enough protective mechanisms in place to create a market that would be resistant to fraud and manipulation. Ultimately, the focus was on the spot bitcoin market, and the SEC said there needs to be a regulated spot bitcoin market of sufficient size to be able to trade. This was really against historical precedent because if you think about other spot markets like gold in particular, those ETFs had been approved and there isn’t a regulated gold market, certainly not one overseen by the SEC, and not one as had been described by the SEC as a requirement. A watershed moment occurred when the SEC allowed futures ETFs, including bitcoin futures ETFs. They allowed a percentage of the underlying exposure to be futures and then allowed 100% futures exposure. Even at that point, WisdomTree was the first ETF to have any bitcoin futures exposure, with under 5% in one of our US-listed ETFs. The thought was that we were right there, almost at the finish line to then have a spot ETF. We chose at the time to have limited exposure because we thought that it had the potential to be a diversifier in a portfolio. We chose not to launch a 100% bitcoin futures product just because of the potential issues in a 100% bitcoin futures product, such as contango and not tracking the price of bitcoin. We were very steadfast in our belief that a spot bitcoin product was the best execution for investors seeking exposure to the spot price of bitcoin. We leveraged our experience in Europe where we have a successful crypto exchange-traded product (ETP) range including a spot bitcoin ETP. There was really no action from the SEC until they got sued by Grayscale. There was a lawsuit from Grayscale, and they said that the SEC’s decision here, the denials, were just arbitrary and capricious. A court agreed with them. It’s not often that the SEC loses. The court made it possible for the SEC to essentially include additional information for their decision. Based upon the past ten years, I thought that the SEC would continue to deny an approval and produce additional reasons for it. Ultimately, they had until 10 January to make that decision. Going back just three months ago, it wasn’t clear what path the SEC was going to take. It only became clear once the SEC started to comment on the prospectuses after a few years of silence, that cleared the way for progress. Then you saw ETF issuers filing updated S-1 type of registration statements that include the prospectus. This was really a couple of months ago. Then you saw a flurry of activity from the regulatory side, updated prospectuses every couple of weeks, then updated prospectuses every couple of days, to now, we are launching this morning. Yes, that’s the history, it’s hard to believe. It’s really been truly historic. I mean, just the historical, call it a roller coaster ride. Today we’re excited to be an issuer launching a spot bitcoin ETF, but it’s also historic to have all the other issuers launching as well. Our experience in ETFs both in Europe and digital assets is going to be a differentiator for us. It will be an interesting few months for sure. Role in a portfolio as a potential diversifier BD: Do you have any views or thoughts around how one should conceive the coming days, months, and years? What does success look like? RL: If we look back on the birth of the US ETF industry with the SPDR, it took a couple of years for the SPDR to really take off and gain traction. Now it’s over 20 years old, and I think it’s over $300 billion at this point. I think we’ll see the same with bitcoin, in taking time to fully gain traction. Going back a couple of years, financial advisors told us they have clients who’d like to have at least a portion of their portfolio in an asset that can serve as a diversifier. It’s got to be the right client as bitcoin is a volatile asset, so there’s risk there. Bitcoin can certainly serve its place in the right client’s portfolio. Those advisors will now be trying to work with their clients to understand the full financial picture. Their client might say, “By the way, I have bitcoin as well and it’s sitting in my personal wallets or on this third-party platform or wherever.” So, really, by having the vehicle that's suited to many investors in the ETF, it will really help from a financial advisory standpoint as well as a general investor standpoint to have that access. The other thing is the transparency. ETFs have to disclose their holdings, so the amount of bitcoin a spot ETF holds will be available on the issuer website every day. Holding bitcoin in your own wallet can have some merit for a lot of people, but many don’t understand that mechanism or don’t want to. An ETF is a wrapper they do understand, and it comes with traditional third-party oversight from a trusted organisation like WisdomTree. It’s bringing a lot to the table but like any new asset, I think it’s going to take time for the marketplace to really absorb it. Certainly, a lot of the traditional ETF platforms are going to have to conduct diligence. A lot of that requires some track record, six months in some cases for some assets. I think there will be demand, but it’s a journey. Today’s just the beginning. It’s not dissimilar to a floating rate Treasury ETF. Treasuries are renowned for being plain vanilla, but that took a little while to gain a bit of traction. Bitcoin is a very different asset to treasuries in terms of risk profile, but it can potentially have its place. What could uptake look like in the near term? BD: It’s an interesting moment in the United States because the couple of years really, have been negative and so acrimonious. You go to Asia or Latin America and people don’t have the same hangups. But in the US, it has been different. RL: I was surprised when I travelled to many Asian countries over the summer and saw that bitcoin is widely available and used as a currency. Here in the US, being US-centric, we sometimes lose that perspective. We’re getting used to inflation in the US but not hyperinflation. So, it’s a great point that we don’t see in the US much, so it surprised me during my travels abroad. Where does the digital asset industry go from here BD: Looking at the US, what does this round of approvals mean for the digital asset industry? What do you see coming forward? RL: I think the next turning point is Ether, the second largest cryptocurrency. There are now ETFs that hold Ethereum futures. So, if you think about the history, ETFs were first allowed by the SEC to hold bitcoin futures and then some months later, Ether futures. I do think those will be the next that might get attention. To me, the biggest thing is that bitcoin and digital assets more broadly are being talked about as investable assets. For us at WisdomTree it’s important because we’re not only focused on ETFs, which has been our historical focus, we’re also bringing a direct-to-retail platform to investors in the US. Right now, they can directly access bitcoin via an app on their phone. They can directly access Ether, SEC-registered blockchain-enabled mutual funds and work with those in one portfolio. So, I think having these avenues and bringing more attention to the asset class is only going to put a spotlight on how investors might be able to think about this new asset class and bitcoin in particular. Sources 1 open.spotify.com This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
CME:BTC1!
by aneekaguptaWTE
🅱️ Lower High Daily TF Confirmed | Last Chance!Today Bitcoin closed the day at 47,770, which is the highest close (moving up) since March 2022, almost two years ago. ➖ The daily session wicked to hit as high as 48,505 —February 9, 2024. ➖ January 11, 2024 —Bitcoin peaked at 49,435 on a wick, with the session closing at 46,350. I will not go into all the details but the dynamic between Bitcoin's price, the trading volume and RSI all point toward the end of this current move. We can refer to this type of move in several ways: A "dead-cat-bounce," a "pull-back," wave b of a Zig-zag, etc. The truth is the chart is screaming SHORT! 👉 The minimum target for this correction is set in the 30,000 - 32,000 price range. 👉 My projected bottom target goes much lower, between 22,000 and 26,000. Remember to do your own research. You are appreciated. Your support is appreciated. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
CME:BTC1!Short
by AlanSantana
24
Gap closed on Bitcoin futures.With a candle that can be seen as a hammer, the price closed the gap by taking buy orders that were in the majority compared to sells, the candle is evident. In the related analysis I had written that it would be a very useful level, given that gaps often work well as supports or resistances, in this case it has become a very useful support, a perforation of the minimum of this candle would be a sign of weakness, but let's see better the context in which we find ourselves. At this moment the price of btc is correcting in the medium term (2/3 months), therefore faced with a movement of approximately 88 days, a correction could occur (which has drawn a new high) linked to this cycle, of course if if the scenario changes, the session count would also change. So far the price is moving higher and there is no reason to think otherwise, so my bullish hypothesis or scenario continues to be useful in understanding where we are now. Possible even very violent increases could appear before long, we are at the end of this correction which has not yet given the final blow, the classic strong decline, unless it was this weekly candle which we can call hammer, the last decline of the correction. Now we need caution and above all trust in the trend.
CME:BTC1!
by Melupira89
Trading Bitcoin FuturesTo keep actively trading Bitcoin short... I am watching and trading Bitcoin futures. This morning there was a 30 minute timeframe Spike right at the level I have been watching since after the ETF launch: the 50% Retracement of the "Sell the News" phase. I am looking for price to hold this level as Resistance and retrace at least back to 41000 in short time. Higher Timeframe Update: The area of Resistance that is the 50% of the ETF Selloff is where Bitcoin has retraced to over the last week. On Monday 1/22 I was able to hedge my Puts by selling shorter dated Puts against them to hedge and offset theta. I closed them yesterday. Broadly, Bitcoin is still in this battle zone from the ATH to the November 22 low. Mainstream Adoption Back in the old days... Bitcoin was best traded spot on margin on exchanges. Now, all the reputable exchanges are KYC and the new ones popping up would never fool an old timer like me into putting money there. I have even received spam here on Tradingview from exchange reps trying to get me to do affiliate programs. No, never. Bitcoin is now a heavily traded asset with countless derivatives. It is truly mainstream.
CME:MBT1!Short
by norok
2
Market overview: China finally introduces new stimulus measuresMarket overview: China finally introduces new stimulus measures. New rises expected for oil? Welcome to our weekly market overview. My column focuses on analyzing the most promising stocks and futures contracts in today's financial markets. Let's discover together the most attractive investment opportunities and how to make the most of them. We will also analyze the general macroeconomic situation and I will provide information on my open positions to share my views and investment strategies. Macroeconomics Despite some disappointments in quarterly results, there is a positive mood for stock markets. Wall Street continued to reach new highs, buoyed by the stability of the U.S. economy and the prospect of an upcoming interest rate cut. Europe is enjoying the benefits of decelerating inflation and good performance by large companies, while Asia is catching up after the announcement of new support measures in China. The ECB held a meeting but was completely eclipsed by data on U.S. economic activity. Although the central bank kept rates and its rhetoric unchanged, U.S. GDP rose 3.3 percent in the fourth quarter, exceeding forecasts of 2 percent. This suggests that the economy may have a soft landing, as also indicated by the U.S. manufacturing and services PMIs that have returned to the expansion zone. In addition, the risk of recession is easing further. The Future S&P 500 Mar 2024 reached new all-time highs and the yield on the 10-year U.S. bond reached a low from 4.23/25 percent. Stocks Highlighted this week are Netflix Inc and Tesla Inc. Netflix overcame market doubts about its growth. The streaming giant reported a 12.5 percent increase in revenues for the quarter thanks to growth in the number of subscribers to 260 million (+12.8 percent). The company reported operating income of $1.49 billion, nearly tripling that of the previous year, and net income exploded from $55 million to $938 million. However, Netflix's stock price is currently very high, so I do not recommend buying at these levels. Tesla is facing several obstacles at the moment. The group reported lower-than-expected fourth quarter results, with lower-than-expected sales growth and an annual decline in non-GAAP earnings. The recall of 200,000 vehicles in the United States due to a software problem with rearview mirrors is just the latest blow to the company after a major recall just two months ago. In addition, management's comments about profitability in 2024 and forecasts of a further decline in profitability have made the situation worse. In the near future, we may see a price decrease of up to 20 percent. Futures Futures in the energy and fossil fuel sector are performing well. Future Crude Oil WTI - Mar 2024 prices have been supported by encouraging economic data and ongoing Red Sea issues. Brent passed the $80 per barrel mark, while the U.S. economy grew faster than expected in the fourth quarter. This was also confirmed by January PMIs, which exceeded economists' expectations. In addition, U.S. weekly inventories fell significantly from consensus (-9.2 million instead of -1.2 million), providing further support for rising prices. Due to recent tensions in the Red Sea, the price of crude oil, could exceed $80. The Natural Gas Future - U.S. Mar 2024 are trading around $2.09/MMBtu with a weekly increase of 4.4 percent, indicating a slight recovery from the previous 24 percent slump. According to the most recent government data, U.S. utilities withdrew 326 billion cubic feet of natural gas from storage facilities last week, exceeding market expectations of 322 bcf. This was the highest weekly withdrawal since February 2021 due to strong gas demand caused by extreme cold weather. Although storage levels are decreasing, they still remain above the seasonal average of 5.2 percent. Heating demand is expected to be low in the coming weeks due to higher-than-average temperatures until at least Feb. 7. This situation makes optimistic forecasts for natural gas in the near future difficult. We may also see new lows in prices during this quarter, possibly falling as low as $1.60. The value of Future Gold - Apr 2024 is stable at 2020 USD, pending the Fed's rate cut. Personally, I do not expect the Fed to cut its interest rate in the short term, so I maintain a bearish position on gold with a target at 1980 USD in the short term. There is a technical rebound going on in the cryptocurrency market. Last week was negative, the CME Bitcoin Future - Feb 2024 declined, dropping to around $41,000 and down more than 1 percent since Monday. The ether, on the other hand, suffered a more significant drop, falling more than 8 percent over the same period and now hovers around $2,250. Among the reasons for the decrease in the ether's valuation is the postponement of the SEC's decision on Grayscale and BlackRock's Ethereum Spot ETFs. On the other hand, the approval of the eleven Bitcoin Spot ETFs had an effect opposite to investors' expectations. Since the ETFs were approved on January 11, the value of Bitcoin has fallen by 15 percent, leading to an overall loss of nearly $200 billion in the cryptocurrency market. This was all predicted in my recent articles on cryptocurrency price movements. Currently, the Bitcoin market is highly promising and I may consider buying to benefit from the possible increase in value in the second quarter. Here are my current positions: I have confirmed my purchase on the Hang Seng Future Feb 2024. The arrival of effective stimulus measures in China has reinforced my bullish strategy. I am currently investing in Chinese stocks through a certificate offering an 18.5 percent annual return on two electric car manufacturers. I have also confirmed my bearish position on gold, which is currently generating excellent profits, and a short position on the Future Nikkei 225 Mar 2024. Given the high prices and the Japanese central bank's intention to abandon ultra accommodative policy this year, I expect a technical correction in the near future.
CME:BTC1!Long
by Antonio_Ferlito
Bitcoin ETFs now available on TV. Easy Money As Never Before 😅Bitcoin ETFs now available on TradingView NASDAQ:IBIT - iShares Bitcoin AMEX:BITB - Bitwise Bitcoin AMEX:DEFI - Tidal Bitcoin AMEX:ARKB - ARK Bitcoin AMEX:GBTC - Grayscale Bitcoin AMEX:FBTC - Fidelity Bitcoin AMEX:BTCW - WisdomTree Bitcoin AMEX:BTCO - Invesco Bitcoin NASDAQ:BRRR - Valkyrie Bitcoin AMEX:HODL - VanEck Bitcoin AMEX:EZBC - Franklin Bitcoin SEC officially approves BTC Spot ETFs Tip #1: use TV search box to filter, find, and sort all Bitcoin funds, just like the attached screenshot. Tip #2: use TV search box to filter, find, and sort all Bitcoin futures, just like the attached screenshot. Tip #3: Long 1st, Short 2nd Tip #4: Enjoy the Money 🤣🤣🤣
CME:BTCZ2024
by Pandorra
$BYC gap filled & more dataGood Morning/Afternoon Update The CRYPTOCAP:BTC GAP was FILLED yesterday. 38k is minor support, don't expect a stand there but bounce possible. Dotted lines are Fibonacci levels. #BTC 37k price target very close. #Bitcoin 32k is a stretch but anything is possible with a volatile asset. Bearish moving avg crossover is shown by the yellow Circle ------ Shown elsewhere, see profile for more info: A big X account speaks about positive divergence on 4hr chart. Futures shows nothing of the sort. Spot #BTC shows TINY divergence but NOT what should be used to trade or step in, IMO. Bounce? Maybe, we said CRYPTOCAP:BTC is at small support Don't see any signs of turnaround for #bitcoin yet. Sell volume is reducing, that's a +.
CME:BTC1!
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Next BTC GAP 32K -35KAfter successfully closing the gap around 40K-41K, Bitcoin (BTC) is now eyeing the next significant gap formed in October 2023. It seems likely that the price will gravitate towards the next gap zone at 32K - 35K before signaling a potential change in direction. Traders, take a moment to catch your breath, prepare your coffee, and stay vigilant. The market is dynamic, and careful observation is key to navigating the upcoming movements. Keep a close watch and stay tuned for potential opportunities ahead!
CME:BTC1!
by MedAlgo
Bitcoin Weekly CME Gaps 2019 - 2024Here I've highlighted all the weekly CME gaps for Bitcion, showing all but One have now filled. Technically, there's still one open just under $10,000 at / around $9750. Unlikely this will ever fill at this point, but as of today Bitcoin filled the recent gap just under $40,000, which clears Bitcoin for runing higher. However I still believe we'll re-test $38,000, followed by a bounce. And potentially, if not likely, a deeper drop to re-test $32k before the bull run ensues. Interesting chart just showing how often these do back-fill and re-test.
CME:BTC1!
by BrettFogle