The exact bottoms looking week-over-week via 7-day momentum are perfectly spaced 107 bars apart. Continuing the cycle suggests a bottom on April 14th. Continuing it further and speculating what the possible trajectories may be, a good case of the end of the pandemic and a bad case of the continuation are shown.
Just to test a hypothesis... appears that recently, the US has lower COVID-19 cases.
However, the drop is slowing down, and appears to be rising back up again.
For now, it appears to be a small increase/spike incoming. Will review in a couple of weeks...
This chart analysis uses position equation terms from physics to show how covid total cases should be decelerating by the end of next week (December 4th) according to the linear trend of the acceleration chart which is approaching zero and should continue into the negative.
COVID-19 Confirmed cases for the USA, Great Britain, Germany, and China...
Clearly the Western (world) major economies are having trouble handling the COVID-19 pandemic.
Germany appears to be the most parabolic, then Great Britain is similar although not as steep.
USA is not far off in the speed of spread.
Opposing to that, China has been doing well, and numbers...
Part 1: FULL INTRO
The goal remains the application of 'derivatives of displacement' to describe the spread of COVID-19. The points made will apply to any application over time (not just virus spread).
This charts focus is on COVID19's "snap". Snap is the 4th derivative of displacement:
Rate of spread (how many each day)
Velocity of spread: Change in Rate over...
It is striking to me how much the new case counts of COVID in the US look like an Elliot wave. Alternate sentiments of panic and denial seem to create a similar fractal as greed and fear in trading. I hope a solution is found soon.
Deaths broke out in synchronization with cases during the first wave and lagged by 6 days during wave 1.5. We're now 14 days post-breakout of the 2nd wave and deaths are still flat. There is no established relationship between cases and deaths as far as I can tell. One thing that can be said is that deaths are currently way behind where they were in the...
We're not doing enough to reduce the rate of transmission... wear masks indoors, keep groups small and socially distance, it'll help.
COVID infections hit new ATH today just beating out last week, which had set a new ATH above July peak.
No good answers.
No good solutions.
Just do your best.
It will save lives.
Stock market. Stocks. IPO of Atea Pharmaceuticals (AVIR) - on October 29, 2020, an IPO of a company specializing in the development of antiviral drugs will take place. The placement is underwritten by J. P. Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Evercore ISI, and William Blair. The deadline for submitting an order with the broker is 20-00 Moscow time on 28.10.2020, the start...
The recent increase in acceleration (known as "jerk") of US COVID cases is "re-bending the curve". In this context the verbal descriptions of change, and its derivatives ,becomes both interesting and important Charts showing ongoing change in confirmed US COVID19 cases are themselves constantly changing....
The trader in me can't help but to notice the emotional component to the COVID response in the US. There is a large amount of altering panic and denial. This results in rapidly altering between tightening and loosening social distancing measures. With a several week timelag, this results in more and fewer new cases. Pumping like price action on a hot stock. ...
Using Projection, Sine Line, Gann 192 day time cycle, my educated "guess" is this virus will peak around August 2020 with approximately 3.7 million U.S. cases and start to decline until bottoming out in Feburary 2021. Squeeze Momentum Indicator by Lazy Bear showing 2nd wave of infection.