EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EURUSD was rejected from the resistance zone as expected after reaching the highlighted area.
Price is now moving toward a key support zone, where a rising trendline is also present. This confluence increases the probability of a bullish reaction from this area.
As long as price holds above the support zone and respects the ascending trendline, a bullish reaction is expected from this area.
The preferred scenario is a bullish move from the support zone, with price advancing at least toward the specified target zone.
A clear and sustained break below the support zone and the ascending trendline would weaken or invalidate the bullish scenario.
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Euro / U.S. Dollar
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EURUSD: Fake Breakdown from Support Signals Potential ReversalHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD previously traded inside a clearly defined range, where price moved sideways and showed equilibrium between buyers and sellers. From this range, price attempted a bullish breakout, but the move resulted in a fake breakout into the upper area, signaling strong selling pressure inside the Resistance Zone around 1.1750–1.1760. This zone was tested multiple times, and each attempt to hold above it failed, confirming it as a strong supply area.
Currently, price is trading below the key resistance and remains structurally bearish. The highlighted move suggests a potential corrective pullback from support toward the descending channel resistance, which aligns closely with the horizontal resistance zone around 1.1750.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario: as long as EURUSD holds above the 1.1680 Support Zone and no strong bearish acceptance occurs below it, the bullish bias is favored in the short term. I expect buyers to push price higher toward the descending channel resistance and horizontal Resistance Zone around 1.1740, which acts as TP1. A clean breakout and acceptance above the 1.1750 Resistance Zone would confirm stronger bullish continuation and open the door for a move toward higher highs.
However, a decisive breakdown and close below the support zone would invalidate the long scenario and signal renewed bearish continuation. For now, the market is at a key reaction area, and the long setup depends on buyers continuing to defend support.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURUSD Long: Bulls Defend 1.1620 Demand, Targeting Supply 1.1680Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of EURUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD initially traded within a well-defined range, where price moved sideways for an extended period, reflecting a balance between buyers and sellers. During this consolidation phase, the market attempted several breakouts, including a fake breakout to the upside, which signaled weakness and lack of bullish continuation. Eventually, price achieved a valid range breakout, initiating an impulsive bullish move. Following this breakout, EURUSD reached a pivot point, where bullish momentum stalled and sellers began to step in. From this pivot high, price structure shifted into a descending channel, characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, confirming short-term bearish control. Price respected the channel boundaries well, indicating an orderly corrective move rather than panic selling. As EURUSD continued lower, it approached a strong Demand Zone around 1.1620, which aligns with a rising higher-timeframe trend line. This confluence area acted as a key support, where buyers responded aggressively. From this demand zone, price broke out of the descending channel, signaling weakening bearish momentum and a potential shift back toward bullish control.
Currently, price is reacting positively from demand and attempting to move higher. The next key level to watch is the Supply Zone around 1.1680, where previous selling pressure is expected to reappear. This level also coincides with prior structural reactions, increasing the probability of a pause or rejection.
My scenario: as long as EURUSD holds above the 1.1620 Demand Zone and respects the rising trend line, the bullish bias remains valid. I expect buyers to push price toward the 1.1680 Supply Zone, where a reaction or short-term pullback may occur. A clean breakout and acceptance above supply would confirm bullish continuation. However, a strong rejection from supply or a breakdown below demand would increase the probability of bearish continuation. For now, price is at a key decision area, and disciplined risk management is essential. Manage your risk!
EURUSD Long: Compression Near Key Zones Signals Upcoming MoveHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of EURUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD previously traded within a well-defined ascending structure, respecting a rising trend line that acted as dynamic support during multiple pullbacks. This bullish phase showed consistent higher lows, confirming buyer control. After the impulsive upside move, price entered a consolidation range, highlighted on the chart, where buyers and sellers temporarily reached equilibrium. From this range, EURUSD executed a bullish breakout, confirming continuation and pushing price toward the upper structure. However, as price approached the Supply Zone around 1.1720–1.1750, bullish momentum started to fade. Multiple reactions, including fake breakouts and rejections near the pivot point, clearly signal strong selling pressure in this area. A descending Supply Line now caps price, reinforcing bearish pressure from above.
Currently, on the downside, price recently swept below short-term support, forming a fake breakout into the Demand Zone around 1.1670, which aligns with an ascending Demand Line. The quick recovery from this area suggests active buyers defending demand and preventing deeper downside for now. Currently, EURUSD is compressing between demand support and descending supply resistance, indicating a tightening structure and an upcoming directional move.
My scenario: as long as EURUSD holds above the 1.1670 Demand Zone and respects the rising demand line, a corrective bounce toward the 1.1710–1.1720 Supply Zone is possible. This area remains a key decision point. A strong rejection there would favor renewed bearish continuation, while a clean breakout and acceptance above supply would invalidate the bearish pressure and open the door for bullish continuation. Manage your risk!
EURUSD: Fake Breakout at Resistance Targets 1.1600 SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD previously traded within a well-defined upward channel, respecting both the rising support and resistance lines, which confirmed a short-term bullish structure. During this phase, price produced a series of higher highs and higher lows, showing steady buyer control. This bullish move eventually led to a breakout into a broader range, where price action shifted into consolidation, reflecting temporary balance between buyers and sellers.
Currently, EURUSD is trading below the key Resistance Zone and is moving toward the Support Zone near 1.1600, which aligns with prior demand and a structural reaction area. The sharp rejection from resistance suggests that the recent bullish move was corrective rather than impulsive, and momentum has now shifted in favor of sellers.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario: as long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1690 Resistance Zone, the bearish bias remains valid. I expect price to continue its downside move toward the 1.1600 Support Zone, which acts as the first key downside target. Acceptance below this support would open the door for further bearish continuation toward lower levels.
However, a strong bullish reclaim and acceptance back above the resistance zone would invalidate the short scenario and signal a potential return into the range. For now, sellers are in control after the fake breakout, and price action favors further downside as long as resistance holds.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURUSD Weekly CLS Model 1Hi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close.
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EURUSD Breakdown Confirmed, 1.1640 Support in FocusHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD initially traded within a well-defined ascending channel, showing a strong bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows after the market started to grow from the lower levels. This bullish phase reflected steady buyer control, supported by a rising support line and multiple clean reactions along the channel structure. Eventually, price broke above the channel resistance, signaling momentum expansion. Following the breakout, EURUSD entered a clear range, where price consolidated between key highs and lows, indicating temporary balance between buyers and sellers. Multiple internal reactions and false moves within this range highlighted uncertainty and distribution near the highs. After topping out, price turned around and transitioned into a short-term descending channel, marking a shift in momentum. During this pullback, EURUSD broke below the range support and the descending channel support, confirming increasing bearish pressure. Price is now trading below the Resistance Level near 1.1720, which aligns with the former breakout area and the Seller Zone, reinforcing it as a strong supply region. The recent breakout below this level suggests sellers are gaining control in the short term. Currently, price is reacting around the Buyer Zone near the Support Level around 1.1670. This area aligns with prior demand and has already produced a small bounce, indicating potential short-term reaction. However, the overall structure remains corrective within the broader move. My scenario: as long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1720 Resistance Level, bearish pressure is likely to persist, with TP1 targeting the 1.1640 Support Level. A clear breakdown below support would open the door for further downside continuation. Conversely, a strong reclaim and acceptance back above resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and signal a potential trend shift. For now, price is at a key decision zone where sellers hold the advantage while support is being tested. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Selena | EURUSD – 4H | Higher-Timeframe Channel Support ReactionFX:EURUSD
After a strong bullish expansion toward the upper range highs, price entered a corrective phase. The current decline has reached a confluence zone consisting of prior support and channel support, where selling momentum has slowed. This suggests potential for a technical bounce as long as structure holds.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
If price holds above the current demand zone and respects the ascending channel:
🎯 Target 1: 1.1720
🎯 Target 2: 1.1800
🎯 Target 3: 1.1880 – 1.1900
❌ Bearish Case 📉
A decisive 4H close below 1.1575 would break the channel structure and open the door toward lower liquidity levels near 1.1510 – 1.1485.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 1.1720 – 1.1800 – 1.1880
Support 🟢: 1.1640 – 1.1575
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
EUR/USD 1D CHART PATTERNThe EUR/USD daily chart shows price reacting strongly from a well-defined resistance zone, marked by multiple rejections in the highlighted supply area. These repeated failures to break higher suggest weakening bullish momentum and increasing selling pressure. Price has recently broken below the rising trendline that was supporting the previous upward structure, indicating a possible trend shift or deeper correction. The Ichimoku cloud reflects market indecision, with price hovering near the cloud and struggling to regain strong bullish control. This structure favors a cautious bearish outlook while below resistance. A sustained move downward could open the path toward the first support zone near 1.16744. If bearish momentum continues and sellers remain in control, the second downside objective around 1.15980 becomes likely. Risk management remains essential.
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EURUSD Bearish Continuation After PullbackQuick Summary
EURUSD broke below 1.16824, A corrective move toward the orderblock at 1.17143 is possible
This pullback is expected to act as a continuation zone for further downside and The main objective remains which is filling the liquidity void after the bullish trendline break
Full Analysis
After EURUSD successfully broke below the 1.16824 level the bearish structure remains valid
This break confirms that sellers are still in control following the loss of the previous bullish trendline
From here price may attempt a corrective move higher toward the orderblock around 1.17143
This area is viewed as a potential mitigation zone rather than a reversal point
If price reacts from this orderblock the expectation is continuation to the downside
The overall objective of this move is to continue filling the liquidity void that was left behind during the previous impulsive bullish move
As long as price remains below the broken structure this pullback is considered corrective
The bearish bias remains intact and the focus stays on downside continuation.
Technical Rebound at Key EMA, Medium-Term Uptrend Remains IntactHello everyone,
EUR/USD has just completed a fairly deep but well-controlled correction. The prior sell-off pulled price back toward the medium-term EMA zone around 1.1680–1.1700, and the subsequent rebound suggests selling pressure is no longer expanding, while buyers have started to step in to defend the broader structure.
Although price briefly printed a lower low in the short term, the medium-term picture has not been broken. At the moment, EUR/USD is fluctuating around the confluence of EMA 34 and EMA 89 near 1.1730–1.1740 — a key decision area. Holding above this zone would give the market room to continue consolidating and recovering; failure here could open the door for a retest of the prior lows.
From a macro perspective, the current backdrop does not place significant pressure on the euro. The Fed remains cautious and data-dependent, limiting the upside in US Treasury yields. Meanwhile, the ECB continues to maintain a moderately firm stance, helping EUR hold a stable price base. Upcoming data such as services PMI and US jobless claims may trigger short-term volatility, but in my view, they are unlikely to alter the medium-term trend unless a major surprise emerges.
EURUSD Price Action - Support Holds at 1.1670, TP Near 1.1720Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. After trading inside a clearly defined range, EURUSD broke to the upside, showing initial buyer strength. However, this bullish move failed to sustain, and price turned around, transitioning into a descending channel. Within this channel, price respected both the falling resistance line and the internal support, forming a consistent sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirming short-term bearish control. During the decline, EURUSD moved into the Seller Zone, where selling pressure remained active and pushed price lower toward the Buyer Zone. This Buyer Zone aligns with a key Support Level and represents an area where demand previously entered the market. From this level, price reacted strongly, producing an impulsive move up and a clear breakout from the descending channel, signaling a potential shift in short-term structure. Currently, price is holding above the reclaimed support, suggesting acceptance above the former bearish structure. My scenario: as long as EURUSD holds above the Buyer Zone and maintains support, a continuation move toward the Resistance Level around 1.1720 (TP1) is possible. This area also overlaps with the Seller Zone, where selling pressure may reappear. If price fails to hold above support and falls back below the Buyer Zone, the bullish scenario would weaken and the broader bearish structure could resume. For now, price is at a key decision area, with buyers attempting to confirm the breakout and build further upside momentum. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Rejection From Key Resistance, Target 1.1640Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of EURUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. After a strong bullish impulse earlier, EURUSD transitioned into a corrective phase and started trading inside a well-defined descending channel, indicating controlled bearish pressure rather than an aggressive sell-off. Price respected both the channel resistance and channel support, confirming the validity of this corrective structure. On the left side of the chart, we can see a breakout from a prior consolidation, followed by an impulsive bullish move. This rally eventually stalled and turned around near the upper highs, where selling pressure emerged and pushed price into the descending channel. During this phase, multiple reactions from the channel boundaries showed balanced participation from both buyers and sellers. As price moved lower, it approached the highlighted Seller Zone / Resistance Level around 1.1680. A short-term fake breakout above channel resistance occurred, but buyers failed to hold acceptance above it, signaling that sellers are still active at higher levels. Price then continued lower within the channel. The primary bearish scenario comes into play if EURUSD fails to hold above the 1.1680 Resistance / Seller Zone and shows clear rejection from this area. This zone aligns with the descending channel resistance, making it a high-probability area for sellers to step in. If price retests the 1.1680–1.1700 resistance area and forms bearish rejection signals (long upper wicks, bearish engulfing candles, or failure to hold above channel resistance), it would confirm that the move higher is corrective in nature. In this case, sellers are likely defending the structure and maintaining overall bearish control. Once rejection is confirmed, I expect price to resume its move lower inside the descending channel, targeting the 1.1640 Buyer Zone / Support Level as the first downside objective (TP1). A clean break and acceptance below this support would strengthen bearish momentum and open the path toward lower support levels, extending the correction further. However, if price breaks and holds above the descending channel resistance and the 1.1700 level, the short scenario becomes invalid, signaling a potential trend shift or deeper bullish continuation. For now, the market remains in a corrective bearish structure, and shorts are favored on pullbacks into resistance, as long as price stays below the key resistance zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.16600 zone, EURUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.16600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD Liquidity Trap Short: Sweep 1.1700–1.1710 → Sell the Rip🔱 EURUSD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
✨ EURUSD positioned in a sell-the-rip environment
📍 Current context: price is below your premium sell liquidity pocket, favoring corrective rallies into resistance
🧱 Fresh sell-side liquidity: 1.1700 – 1.1710
💧 Fresh buy-side liquidity: 1.1600
📉 Bias: bearish while price fails to accept above 1.1710
⏳ Expectation: rallies get capped into 1.1700–1.1710 then delivery toward 1.1600
⚠️ Invalidation: sustained acceptance above 1.1710
🎯 Downside liquidity target this week
• Primary TP and full exit: 1.1600
🎯 Strategy: short sell rips into overhead resistance
🏦 Larger accumulation is more likely only after liquidity is swept near or below 1.1600
________________________________________
🧠 EURUSD MARKET LOGIC — Institutional Read
• Sellers defend premium zones, buyers are reactive
• Upside without acceptance is distribution
• The clean narrative is premium liquidity tap then bearish shift then delivery to 1.1600
• Expect volatility spikes around scheduled macro events this week, plan entries with confirmation
________________________________________
🎯 EXECUTION PLAN — SHORT FROM OVERHEAD RESISTANCE
✅ Entry zone: 1.1700 – 1.1710
Trigger options, pick one
1. Sweep above 1.1700–1.1710 then sharp rejection and close back below 1.1700
2. Lower timeframe market structure shift bearish after tapping the zone, then sell the retest
3. Tap zone then strong bearish displacement candle, enter on pullback into that move
🛑 Risk control
• Hard invalidation: sustained acceptance above 1.1710
• Practical stop placement: above 1.1720–1.1730 to allow for stop hunts
🎯 Take profit
• Full exit: 1.1600
Optional management
• Partial de-risk at intermediate supports on the way down, then trail toward 1.1600
________________________________________
🗳️ EURUSD WEEKLY SCENARIOS — WHAT’S YOUR PLAY
Which path do you expect for EURUSD this week?
🅰️ Tags 1.1700–1.1710 then rejects cleanly then sells off to 1.1600
🅱️ Range grind below 1.1700 then liquidity builds then breakdown to 1.1600
🅲 Wick above 1.1710 bull trap then sharp rejection then impulsive drop to 1.1600
🅳 Your level: drop ONE price you’re watching most this week
________________________________________
🧩 LEVELS QUIZ — EURUSD TRADERS
1. If you’re bearish and want to short from premium, which zone is the best sell idea this week
A 1.1600
B 1.1700–1.1710
C 1.1500
2. What level is the planned full exit and liquidity draw
A 1.1710
B 1.1660
C 1.1600
3. What behavior most strongly invalidates the short idea
A Quick wick above 1.1710 then back below
B Sustained acceptance above 1.1710
C Slow drift down from 1.1680
4. True or False
A sweep into 1.1710 followed by a bearish close back under 1.1700 is a high-quality short trigger
Reply with your answers like this 1B 2C 3B 4True
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): SHORT to support area 1.16457 (ABC).Colleagues, judging by the nature of wave “2” movement, I assume that the correction is not yet complete. This movement is slightly stretched, and we can clearly see waves “A” and ‘B’, which means we can expect an update of wave “A” minimum and reaching at least the support level of 1.16457.
Somewhere below, I expect the completion of wave “C” and wave “2”, but that will be a slightly different forecast.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
EURUSD Liquidity Driven ScenarioQuick Summary
EURUSD left trendline liquidity during the early week selloff, Price is expected to first target the low at 1.16580
After that a move higher toward an orderflow zone is possible
From that area continuation to the downside will be considered only with a clear reversal signal
Full Analysis
During the strong bearish move at the beginning of the week EURUSD left behind clear trendline liquidity
This type of liquidity is often revisited later as price seeks to rebalance and collect resting orders
Before any move higher price is expected to continue its decline and target the low at 1.16580
This level represents a logical downside objective and a liquidity area that has not yet been fully addressed
Once that low is swept EURUSD may start moving higher to sweep the trendline liquidity
This upward move is expected to lead price into an orderflow zone.
From that area I will look closely at price behavior If a clear reversal signal appears inside the orderflow zone I will look to rejoin the bearish move
Without a strong reversal signal there will be no sell entry as confirmation remains essential
EURUSD Tests Key Support — Is This the Base for a Bullish ReversFX:EURUSD on the H1 timeframe has been in a corrective bearish phase following a prolonged distribution period at the highs, with price trending lower beneath declining moving averages. Momentum weakened sharply during the selloff, culminating in a strong downside extension that swept liquidity below prior lows before price began to stabilize.
Current price action shows FX:EURUSD reacting directly from a clearly defined support zone around the 1.1670 region. The sharp rejection from this area suggests the presence of responsive buyers stepping in after the liquidity sweep, creating conditions for a potential short-term base. While the broader intraday structure remains corrective, this reaction indicates that selling pressure is beginning to lose momentum.
If price can continue to hold above the support zone and build higher lows, a corrective rebound toward the 1.1710 region becomes the first area of interest. This level aligns with prior intraday structure and represents the initial objective where sellers may attempt to re-engage. Acceptance above this zone would improve the probability of further upside rotation.
A sustained move beyond 1.1750 would signal a deeper mean reversion within the range, opening the path toward the 1.1780 region where prior distribution occurred. Such a move would reflect a broader corrective recovery rather than an immediate trend reversal, but it would still offer constructive upside potential in the near term.
However, failure to hold the 1.1670 support would invalidate the recovery scenario and expose the pair to further downside continuation. In that case, price could extend lower as the market searches for deeper liquidity before any meaningful structural shift develops.
EUR/USD CHART QUICK ANALYSIS IN LONDON SESSION I 01/071. Market Structure & Trend
Main Trend: The market is currently in a consolidation (sideways) phase following a previous sharp decline. Price is compressing inside a Symmetrical Triangle pattern, defined by the two converging trendlines.
Current Price Action: The price is trading around 1.16838, sitting right on the lower support trendline and near the POC (Point of Control) of the Volume Profile.
2. Key Technical Levels
Resistance: * The zone between 1.17145 – 1.17204 (the upper blue box). This is the recent local high and aligns with the descending trendline.
Support: * The zone between 1.16774 – 1.16876. This is the immediate "hard" support. If a 1h candle closes decisively below 1.16700, the bearish trend is likely to resume.
3. Volume Profile Analysis
The Volume Profile on the right shows a massive concentration of trades at the current level (1.16800 – 1.16900). This indicates a "tug-of-war" between buyers and sellers. Once the price breaks out of this high-volume node, a volatile move is expected.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 (Bearish Bias): If the price breaks below the triangle’s support and closes under 1.16770, the next target could be 1.16500 or lower.
Scenario 2 (Bullish Rebound): If a strong rejection (long wick) occurs at this support, the price may bounce toward the upper trendline near 1.17100. However, there is significant overhead resistance.
Pro Tip: Since the triangle is squeezing tightly, it is often safer to wait for a confirmed breakout and a retest before entering a position.
EURUSD SELL SETUPAfter price broke through the support level 1.16729,
I expect price to sweep the inducement liquidity formed above 1.16838 inside the 30min swing structure and then tap into the 30min order block which is the point of interest. This 30min poi is a valid poi as it swept liquidity before bos and has inducement liquidity protecting it.
Lingrid | EURUSD Bullish Setup from Key Support AreaFX:EURUSD has reacted sharply from the lower boundary of the descending channel, forming a clean bounce from the support zone. Price has already reclaimed short-term range resistance and is now attempting to stabilize above the broken structure, hinting that bearish momentum may be fading rather than accelerating. The recent breakout from the local base suggests buyers are stepping in with more intent.
If the pair continues to hold above 1.16615, a gradual push toward 1.17090 could develop, where the descending trendline and prior supply converge. A successful break and hold above that zone may open room for a broader corrective recovery toward higher levels.
➡️ Primary scenario: hold above 1.16615 → move toward 1.1709.
⚠️ Risk scenario: failure back below revives downside pressure toward the channel support.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
EURUSD Weekly analysis 10 JanuaryQuick Summary
On the daily timeframe the overall trend is still bullish
However, signs of weakness are appearing after a liquidity sweep of the previous high
Price is likely targeting the fair value gap at 1.14597
Lower timeframes support further downside but also leave room for a potential continuation of the higher timeframe uptrend
Full Analysis
On the daily timeframe EURUSD is still moving within a bullish structure and the primary trend has not been fully broken
Despite that there are warning signs that should not be ignored
A sweep of liquidity has already occurred above the previous high which often signals weakening bullish momentum
From this perspective EURUSD appears to be targeting the fair value gap at 1.14597
This makes buying in the current area difficult as downside objectives are still active
On the H4 chart price has formed an internal choch along with a clear orderflow structure
This combination supports the idea of continued downside movement in the short to medium term
At the same time this bearish behavior could also act as a liquidity driven move that later supports continuation of the broader bullish trend
On the hourly chart the descending price channel is much clearer
This channel will be key in determining whether price continues lower or starts reversing while respecting the higher timeframe bullish structure
Overall EURUSD is currently in a conflicted state across timeframes
The daily trend remains bullish but lower timeframe structure supports additional downside
The next reaction inside the hourly channel will likely clarify whether this move is a deeper correction or the beginning of a larger shift in market behavior
EURUSD Possible False Break ScenarioQuick Summary
EURUSD broke the bearish price channel without sweeping the previous low, This increases the probability of a return lower to take liquidity.
The strong bullish weekly open left a liquidity void behind thats mean the Price may drop again to rebalance the FVG or the channel break could be a false break to collect more liquidity.
Full Analysis
After EURUSD broke the bearish price channel, without performing a liquidity sweep of the previous low
This is an important detail because uncollected liquidity often attracts price back before any sustained continuation
The weekly open was strongly bullish which created a clear liquidity void below.
Such impulsive moves without proper rebalancing usually leave unfinished orders in the market
Because of this there is a strong possibility that price returns lower to rebalance the fair value gap and sweep the previous low.
Another scenario to consider is that the break of the bearish channel may be a false break
In this case price could be using the upside move only to attract additional liquidity before reversing back to the downside.






















