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10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate

Federal ReserveDGS10
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DGS10 chart

Ideas

Sum of every possible USTS Yield SpreadWhat happens if you take every possible US Treasury Yield spread and sum them all together? You get the chart shown on top. $SPX is shown on the bottom for comparison. Vertical lines show where it has crossed below zero in the past. It just crossed below zero again.
3
Stagflation is comingReal interest rates will probably start to fall soon because of stagflation. Real interest rates can be measured by subtracting inflation expectations FRED:T10YIE from US treasury yields FRED:DGS10 . Treasury yields will likely fall along with unemployment as measured by initial claims FRED:
2
will silver rise along with a drop in real rates?Real rates look like they are about to turn over. This should mean that interest rates should drop faster than the inflation. A good proxy for this is silver which looks like it is touching a support line and the 100 MMA.
Long
$spy $tlt The yield curve problemThe inversion of the yield curve becomes problematic when it starts reversing. This is starting to happen at a higher and higher levels where true inversion isn't necessary for economic destruction. What level will it stop at this time? each of the past 4 have been at higher levels. My guess is
$spy $tlt THE top is coming, but $ to be madeWhere spy tops out is questionable. 4800, 5000, 5250 ? Who know, We are now in the later stages in my opinion. Keep bets small and use stop losses and options to manage risk. A lot of money can be made or lost in this final stage. Don't be greedy and manage risk. Volatility will remain high so

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