Prices for gasoline and crude oil have been on the rise. When does demand destruction start to occur and what does this mean for the $SPY. Over the last couple years gasoline at $3.20 a gallon has preceded each major market correction. This may not be the point of demand destruction but is an important price level to watch in advance of the next decline. Keep an...
RBOB is in clear downtrend (good for the summer). The recent retracement started at 2.7000, reached the 20MA and down sloping parallel line (resistance). Downtrend seems ready to resume with a first target objective 3.6450. At this level I expect another small break before the continuation. Similar pattern on Heating Oil.
RBOB peaked in mid Feb and seems ready for a reversal. If the 20MA acts as resistance the price is poised to fall to 2.92-2.90 area quite quickly. 3.09 sell seems a good entry point. 2.00 Gain/risk ratio.
The price of gasoline isn’t one of the ten components of the Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) in the US. Nor is it included in the LEIs of the other major economies around the world. However, maybe it should be. That’s because rapidly rising gasoline prices led or coincided with all six recessions since 1973. It might be different this time because Fed...
