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SPx (Near to the another new record)SPx New Forecast The price of the S&P 500 reached the resistance line, and breaking this resistance, will support the price to reach the next resistance line which is 5350, If the price remains below 5305 and 5320, it will likely fall back to the support line at 5266. Breaking this level could extend the bearish trend towards 5226. Pivot Line: 5305 Resistance Levels: 5325, 5350, 5400 Support Levels: 5266, 5227, 5193 Today’s expected trading range is between the support 5266 and the resistance 5350.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SroshMayi
SPX: jobs data aheadThe S&P 500 Index saw modest gains during the previous week, closing the month at the level of 5.277. The index marked an increase of 4.8% for the month. The index started the week with some volatility, starting the week with a decline to 5.306, then rebounded and maintained a generally positive trajectory. Still, year-to-date, the index gained 11.3% reflecting strong performance relative to the broader market trends over the year. Certainly, there has been some investor nervousness prior to the release of the PCE data, however, as there were no surprises on this side, the market optimism was brought back. It especially cherished Nvidia`s positive earnings last week, whose price was up by nearly 27% for the month. Another interesting data from the stock market showed that companies included in the S&P 500 repurchased more than $202 billion of their own stocks during the Q1, while analysts are noting that this trend might continue also during the course of this year. The developments from the last two weeks are showing that the index went out from the overbought momentum. There is probability for a short reversal, but it might take even a few weeks until the index enters into clear oversold momentum. A week ahead brings US non-farm payrolls and unemployment data, which might increase volatility.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Hindenburg Crash Signal on US Stock Market Triggered !Throughout history, major crashes in the US stock market have been proceeded by a Sell Signal in a technical indicator known as the "Hindenburg Omen" Last week, the "Hindenburg Omen" triggered a potential crash signal on the market based on the 4 criteria of volume,volatility, momentum, and trend indicators that it follows. The McClellan Oscillator's NYSE move below the "zero "line last week, triggered the new potentially ominous signal. Traders are advised to be aware of the current deterioration of technical strength in the market, being masked or disguised by "moon shot" stocks like Nvidea. Market Vane's Bullish Percentage at 69% latest reading shows how super bullish the crowd is. There is almost no fear that the stock market could crash. Ask yourself...Do you know "any" traders thinking about that possibility.. right now ..? THE_UNWIND Woods Of Connecticut 5/29.24
SP:SPXShort
by The_Unwind
SPx (US Futures Dip Ahead of PCE Data with Technical) US Futures Dip Ahead of PCE Data US stock futures edged lower on Friday as investors braced for the April PCE price index report, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. Technical Analyse: The price dropped by approximately 0.27% from yesterday and reached our target, as mentioned in the previous analysis. For today, the price is expected to move between 5240 and 5220 until a breakout occurs. Bearish pressure remains , and stability below 5220 will likely support a further decline to 5192, with 5168 as the next target. Conversely, stability above 5240 will suggest an attempt to reach 5260. Pivot Line: 5226 Resistance Levels: 5260, 5284, 5320 Support Levels: 5193, 5168, 5114 Today’s expected trading range is between the support at 5168 and the resistance at 5262. previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
Another Perspective: "a great place to exit"Not financial advise, and anything could happen, but there is historically an 80% probability that this breaks down. The US Government and the Federal reserve have made some grave errors. Same mistakes over and over. This one looks real to me. Not a correction. Not a dip to buy. It's a maelstorm from hell. In real dollar terms, we touched 2021 highs here and rejected. Because people are slow to respond, it will be a very slow motion event I suspect. At this point, we have a setup likely to dip. You can check out here, let it drop, and buy back in if your greedy fingers want more more more. But if you're looking for safety, I think we are likely on the brink of something seriously salty. If there is a catalyst - a geopolitical event, or bank failures... If consumer confidence in the financial system is poisoned. Maybe by bots running in china suggesting people take their money out of the bank, then the world will go to shit. If the top in 2021 invoked terror in you, then you see it here in 2024. Divide the market by uscpi - it's a double top in real dollars. US gov't is going to spend today and take it from all of us tomorrow in inflation. "The things that surprised me the most were the things that had not happened in my lifetime." I don't know what happens next, but I'm very sure that things are gonna get weird.
SP:SPXShort
by decklyndubs
Do you think this path will happen for SPx500?Hello Dears Stay with me by analyzing stock charts After the strange growth of stocks, the correction in the coming days does not seem too unrealistic. In my analysis, I used light black dotted lines, which are high in number because I want to see the reaction of the candles to these resistance areas together. I considered three goals, of course, I set a loss limit with high confidence that if the price reaches that level, we should wait for the growth of the stock price. Comment your opinion Don't forget to support my page
SP:SPXShort
by hamidreza_FX
1
US500, pullback to 5300, then down againI´m expecting a small climb towards 5300, 5305-5320 looks like as an ideal resell zone. If you decide to trade this idea, don´t FOMO, do not buy (it is not a buy idea), wait for your chance above 5300, which is the supply zone. Enter just after clear rejection. If you are beginner, I will update this trade when-if entry conditions are met. You wont miss anything. Wish you good luck. P.S. I´m not a signal service, however I´m sharing signals. Don´t have 30K followers (consisted mostly from bots), so it is up to you to check what idea are you trading. Check my previous ideas to know. Instead of waiting for signals, invest(your time, not money) into your learning. It will be more profitable, more interesting for you.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Rendon1
1
S&P500 - Where will we go next?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at the S&P500 . -------- Explanation of my video analysis: Fore more than a decade, the S&P500 has been trading in a pretty clean rising channel formation. We had the last retest of support in 2022, which was followed by bullish confirmation and a rally of +45% in 1.5 years. At the moment the S&P500 is neither retesting support nor resistance and the path of least resistance is simply higher. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:SPXLong
by basictradingtv
4
SPx-Stocks Set to Open Higher on Rate Cut Bets and Key Jobs DataStocks Poised to Open Higher Amid Increased Rate Cut Bets and Key U.S. Jobs Data U.S. rate futures indicate a 0.1% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed’s monetary policy meeting later this month and a 14.5% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the July meeting. The highlight of the upcoming week will be the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report for May. Additionally, market participants will be closely monitoring other economic data releases, including U.S. JOLTs Job Openings, Factory Orders, ADP Nonfarm Employment Change, S&P Global Composite PMI, S&P Global Services PMI, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, Crude Oil Inventories, Exports, Imports, Initial Jobless Claims, Nonfarm Productivity, Unit Labor Costs, Average Hourly Earnings, Wholesale Inventories, and the Unemployment Rate. Technical Analysis of SPx The price is likely to attempt to reach 5306, after which it is expected to follow a bearish trend towards 5260. Overall, the price is anticipated to consolidate between 5306 and 5261 until a breakout occurs. Bearish Scenario: If the price remains below 5306, it is likely to decline towards 5260. Bullish Scenario: For a bullish trend to emerge, the price must stabilize above 5320, potentially pushing up to 5347. If the price surpasses this level, it may indicate the start of a new bullish trend with further gains. Pivot Line: 5305 Resistance Levels: 5320, 5347, 5390 Support Levels: 5260, 5226, 5193 Today’s expected trading range is between the support at 5260 and the resistance at 5320.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
What’s Next for the S&P 500?The S&P 500 tried to break out yesterday, but got rejected at the highs. Some traders might view the resulting bearish outside day as a potential reversal pattern. How much damage was actually done? The first pattern on today’s chart is the March 28 peak of 5265. Notice how SPX made a new high by crossing this level on May 15. Yesterday’s pullback tested it and prices have bounced today. That may suggest old resistance is becoming new support. Second, this chart includes our MA speed custom study. It shows the rate of change for the 10-day simple moving average. Notice how the oscillator jumped as the index recovered in early May. This sharp acceleration resembled the move in early November as the current bull run began. Third is the relatively tight consolidation following the surge. That’s similar to other moments in late 2023. It may reflect a lack of selling pressure. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
SP:SPX
by TradeStation
Is Now the Right Time to Invest in the S&P 500?Last week, the S&P 500 index, which comprises the 500 largest U.S. companies by market capitalization, reached a new all-time high, hitting $5,341.88 during intraday trading on Thursday, May 23. Warren Buffett has long recommended an S&P 500 index fund as the ideal investment for those who don't have the time to analyze individual stocks in depth. The recent milestone seems to support his advice. However, with the stock market at a new peak, enthusiasm for AI potentially becoming excessive, and both interest rates and inflation remaining persistently high, is now truly the best time to invest in the S&P 500? For those wary of the markets, there are numerous reasons to hesitate before buying into stock market averages. The S&P 500, a market-cap weighted index, is heavily influenced by large technology companies that have seen substantial gains recently, buoyed by a bull market that began in October 2022. Several factors have propelled these tech giants to new heights: interest rates seem to have peaked, inflation has dropped from its high of 9.1% in June 2022 to just 3.4% last month, and the surge in artificial intelligence has provided significant momentum. It's not just Nvidia (NVDA 6.79%) reaching new peaks, with a staggering market cap of $2.6 trillion and a high P/E ratio of 62. Many cloud giants and related semiconductor stocks have also soared, driven by strong growth expectations. But will this growth persist indefinitely? AI investments must ultimately prove their worth to companies and consumers. Currently, companies are spending unprecedented amounts on AI chips and data centers to avoid falling behind. This situation is reminiscent of the dot-com boom in the late 1990s, which led to an epic crash in 2000. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dropped 76.8% from peak to trough, while the S&P 500 fell by 49.1%. Could the AI bubble burst similarly? AI momentum seems unstoppable, but few predicted the 2000 crash, believing internet hypergrowth would continue indefinitely. A slowdown in growth from an AI company could trigger a significant correction. While this might not happen soon, it’s a possibility. Additionally, inflation impacts the Federal Reserve's decisions on interest rates, which in turn affect stock valuations and the economy. If inflation remains "sticky" and exceeds expectations, the Fed might keep interest rates higher for longer to meet its 2% target. This scenario poses a risk, as the S&P 500 is currently trading at a historically high valuation of 27.6 times trailing earnings, compared to the historical average of 16.1. If interest rates and inflation surge again, it could be a precarious time to invest in this frothy market. On the flip side, renowned investor Peter Lynch famously noted, "there is always something to worry about" in the markets. Although the historical average P/E ratio of the S&P 500 is significantly lower than today's, the market has generally traded at a higher P/E ratio in recent years, averaging around 22.5 over the past decade. While this is still below current levels, it is much closer. Additionally, avoiding the stock market over the past ten years due to fears of high valuations would have resulted in missing out on 236% gains, including dividends. Moreover, the average annual return of the S&P 500 from 1928 through 2023, since the Standard & Poor's index was first developed, is approximately 9.9% with dividends reinvested. Since the index expanded to 500 companies in 1957, the long-term annualized return has been an even better 10.3%. Certainly, there have been critical moments right before significant market crashes when investing would have seemed unwise. However, Ben Carlson, author of the blog A Wealth of Common Sense, highlights in his study that with a long enough time horizon, even investments made at market peaks before major crashes have yielded positive long-term results. Carlson examined hypothetical investments made just before eight of the market's worst crashes, from September 1929 to October 2007, prior to the Great Recession. Five years later, three of those investments still produced positive results. Ten years out, six of the eight investments were profitable, with three delivering triple-digit gains. Twenty years after investing at these worst possible times, all eight were profitable, with all but the September 1929 investment yielding multi-hundred-percent gains. Prudent investing, however, is not solely about one-time, large investments. By consistently saving a portion of income and dollar-cost averaging into an index fund monthly, it's inevitable to invest before some market peaks but also benefit from subsequent downturns. Market crashes are notoriously difficult, if not impossible, to predict. History shows that even investments made before the worst market peaks and crashes tend to recover over time, as the earnings of American businesses grow. Conversely, attempting to time the market can be costly, as demonstrated by those who have stayed out of the market for the past decade. Therefore, the S&P 500 still seems like a wise buy today, even at its elevated valuation, provided there is a consistent investment plan with regular monthly, quarterly, or annual allocations.
U
by FOREXN1
1
FewEveryone senses there is something coming, but nobody knows what it is. Regardless the markets will correct massively, technically because we haven't had a 0.61 fib correction in a decade, secondly because the bags are too heavy and everyone is bagholding, we need to shake those who call themselves diamond hands at +50% price discounts, i.e. cheaper prices. Capital is excessively cheap, Attention is overpriced. Manual Labor is underpriced we are living in a bubble state, some call it 'the everything bubble'. Call me bubble boy, chicken little, i don't care. A Nuke is coming.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by MarketsCreator
1
SHORTThis analysis is based on price and time expansion. We have three time points defining an alternate time relationship for (top-to-top) or (top to bottom) This time expansion alternating between tops and bottoms also puts the next point on 26th August 2024 weekly candle. We also have a time projection on 10th June 2024 weekly candle(+/-1) where we expect markets to top. That gives us a timezone between 10th June to 26th August 2024 to expect a heavy market reaction. The two indicated times 965 and 685 days have a Phi relation of 3 : 2 341.2 x 1.4142 x 1.4142 = (341.2 x 2) = 682.39 units 341.2 x 1.4142 x 1.4142 x 1.4142 = (341.2 x 2(Root 2)) = 965.03 units To narrow the time zone down we will need to align that with price expansion. The current cycle unfolding is the ending part of the 20-year cycle with its origin at the 07/10/2002 bottom. Considering the March 2009 bottom as the actual low of this cycle we would expect a 4669.47 points advance from 666.79 to complete a Phi³ price expansion, where Phi = 5/3 = 1.667 and unit value = 1008 units. That is: 666.79 + (1008 x 1.667³) = 5336.26 Current top = 5341.88 = 5336.28 + (5.6 pts) The progression of the Phi Expansion from 666.79 price level: 666.79 + (1008 x 3/2) = 2178.79 666.79 + (1008 x 1.667) = 2347.13 Second Phi Expansion 666.79 + (1008 x 1.667²) = 3467.91 Third Phi Expansion 666.79 + (1008 x 1.667³) = 5336.26 The progression of tops and bottoms furnish us with two projections 1. Since the Phi points are all bottoms, price can advance about 1540 points off 5336.26 and the correction that will follow will rather end at 5336.26. That will put the top at (5336.26 + 1540) = 6876.26 price level. This top has no relation to the two projected dates on the chat. 2. Cycle expansions usually terminate at cubic Phi progression, that is (Unity x Phi³). So the third expansion will actually be a mid-cycle top which will effect a minor correction.The base of this correction will be the bottom for an advance towards 6876.26 level From the above, any short entries should have tight stop levels Please check back as we break the analysis further down to the daily and hourly sub cycles. Trade safe, goodluck
SP:SPXShort
by Platinum-Markets
2