Trading Hours Showdown: Stocks, FX, Crypto and When to SleepSome markets close, some don’t, and some don’t care that you need rest.
If financial markets were people, they’d each have wildly different sleeping habits. Stocks tuck themselves in usually at 4 p.m. (that is, where they originate from), FX stays up all night but insists it’s “fine,” and crypto is that friend who messages you at 3 a.m. with a life-changing idea (and a 12% move for fun).
Understanding when each market is awake, liquid, and volatile is one of the most underrated skills a trader can have. It’s not just about timing entries; it’s about managing risk while you’re away from your devices.
Let’s break down the global sleep schedule and why your portfolio should care.
🌅 Stocks: The 9-to-5ers of the Financial World
US stocks like routine. They open at 9:30 a.m. ET, close at 4 p.m., and observe weekends and holidays like well-behaved citizens.
There’s also pre-market and after-hours trading, but liquidity dries up real fast and moves tend to be exaggerated.
Why it matters:
Limited hours = overnight gap risk
Most volume typically happens in the first and last 30 minutes
Big news after hours can cause violent opens the next day
Stops can’t protect you when price jumps over your level
Every trader eventually experiences the heartbreak of a perfect setup ruined by an overnight earnings surprise. Consider it a rite of passage.
🌍 Forex: The Market with No Bedtime
FX ( forex or foreign exchange) trades 24 hours a day, five days a week, rotating through global sessions:
Asia (Tokyo)
Europe (London)
US (New York)
That’s a 120-hour work week with no break. Think of it like a global relay race where someone is always awake and analyzing inflation differentials.
Why traders love it:
Continuous liquidity = fewer gaps
Beautiful macro-driven trends
Volatility waves follow session overlaps (London–NY especially)
But…
FX weekends could be silent killers. You’re unprotected from Friday close to Sunday open. That’s plenty of time for geopolitical headlines, surprise events, central bank drama, or a country deciding to unpeg its currency.
🔥 Crypto: The Market That Never Sleeps or Blinks
The cryptocurrency market trades 24/7/365. No days off, no weekends, no holidays, no rest. Just pure, unfiltered price action around the clock.
This sounds great until you realize you can never fully unplug. Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD does not respect your circadian rhythm.
Why it’s unique:
No “overnight gaps” because it never closes
But liquidity gaps may appear during low-volume hours
Late-night moves can be extreme due to thin order books
Leverage unwinds can trigger liquidation cascades at 3 a.m.
Global retail participation exaggerates emotional spikes
Crypto doesn’t gap like stocks, but it drifts, snaps, and rips through levels and can make your stomach churn.
🧭 Liquidity: The Real Story Behind the Sleep Schedule
Across markets, the one concept that ties them all together is liquidity. That is, how deep the order book is and how efficiently your trades can execute.
Stocks
Thick liquidity during US hours
Thin, jumpy after-hours
Prone to large news-driven gaps
Forex
Deep liquidity almost 24 hours a day
Most volume during London–NY overlap
Macro news instantly reflected in price
Crypto
Liquidity pockets vary wildly
Exchanges differ in depth
Weekends and Asia-over-US crossovers can trigger whipsaws
😴 The Question of Sleep (And How Traders Manage It)
Traders eventually learn a few things about trading various asset classes.
If you:
Hate surprises → Avoid overnight stock positions
Love macro trends → FX is your playground
Enjoy volatility → Crypto keeps things interesting
Value sleep → Choose an asset class that aligns with your time zone and day trade it
Choosing a market to trade isn’t just about your strategy, but also about your lifestyle.
Volatility doesn’t just depend on the asset. It depends on when you’re watching.
Off to you : How do you deal with trading different assets in different time zones? Are you a niche player or a broader market maven? Share your comments below!
Trade ideas
S&P 500 Reversal Roadmap: Second Bottom Forming at PRZ?As I expected in the previous idea , the S&P 500 index has indeed reached its targets after breaking through the Support lines .
Currently, the S&P 500 is approaching the Support zone($6,580_$6,490) , Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) , and the 100_SMA(Daily) .
There’s a possibility of forming a second bottom and a descending channel in the S&P 500, suggesting that the second bottom could form near the PRZ .
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that the S&P 500 is completing the microwave 5 of the microwave C of the main wave Y .
I expect that, after entering the PRZ or approaching the 100_SMA(Daily) , the S&P 500 will resume its upward movement and potentially rise to around $6,664 .
Note: The S&P 500 currently has a significant impact on the markets, especially cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ). Therefore, a potential rise in the S&P 500 could positively influence Bitcoin as well.
First Target: $6,664
Second Target: $6,723
Stop Los(SL): $6,499
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
SPX 500: Bullish Rebound to 6760?FX:SPX500 is priming for a bullish rebound on the 4-hour chart , where price has pulled back to a critical support zone following a sharp decline, forming a potential bounce setup amid a broader uptrend—highlighted by the rebound pattern near key levels that could ignite buying if buyers defend against further downside. This confluence at the support offers a high-reward long opportunity in the index's volatile range.
Entry zone between 6530-6550 for a buy position. Target at 6760 🎯near the resistance zone, delivering a risk-reward ratio greater than 1:4 .Set a stop loss on a close below 6500 📊 to manage risk effectively. Watch for confirmation via a strong bullish candle with rising volume above the entry, capitalizing on the index's resilience despite recent pressures🌟.
Fundamentally , the S&P 500 closed at around 6646.7 on November 19, 2025, down over 2% in November amid economic concerns and high valuations, particularly in AI stocks, with the index dipping below its 50-day moving average for the first time since April—yet historical patterns suggest a median 15% upside to 7710 over the next year if it follows median rebounds. Earnings growth remains robust at 16.9% YoY, beating estimates, supporting potential recovery despite tariff worries. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry Zone (Buy): 6530 – 6550
🎯 Target:
• TP: 6760 (major resistance)
❌ Stop Loss: Close below 6500
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: Greater than 1:4
What's your outlook on this rebound? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6775.Dear colleagues, according to the last forecast the price is at the support level, but as it turned out, the correction in wave “4” is a bit more complicated than I thought.
Wave “4” consists of three waves “ABC” and should be over soon. The upward movement is still in priority, but I will target the not so distant resistance area of 6775.
Once it is reached, we will think about how to reach higher levels.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
S&P Key Trading LevelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6866
Resistance Level 2: 6890
Resistance Level 3: 6920
Support Level 1: 6704
Support Level 2: 6675
Support Level 3: 6650
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SPX – Deep Correction or Opportunity for a Rebound?While the S&P 500 has seen impressive recoveries recently, current technical signals and macroeconomic factors indicate a high likelihood of a deep decline in the short term.
From a macroeconomic perspective , rising bond yields and excessive optimism about tech stocks have contributed to a strong correction in the SPX. Additionally, concerns about the Fed not continuing to cut interest rates have increased caution in the market.
From a technical analysis standpoint, SPX is currently facing strong resistance around 6,850. The chart shows that the index is trading near an upward trendline, but if it breaks the 6,600 support, SPX could continue to fall sharply to 6,550 in the medium term.
Conclusion: With both technical and macroeconomic factors supporting a bearish trend, the likelihood of SPX continuing a sharp correction in the next 24-48 hours is very high. If the price fails to hold the 6,600 support, a deeper decline is a likely scenario.
Recommendation: Monitor key support and resistance levels and consider opening a SELL position if the price confirms a break of these critical support zones.
US 500 - Has All the Good News Been Priced?After a volatile and nervy 5 days for US stock indices the week ended on a slightly more stable and positive footing.
In relation to the US 500 index this volatility saw it open on Monday November 3rd around 6885, trade down to a low of 6633 early on Friday November 7th, before rallying by over 1% late in the session to close the week at 6742. The driver for the rally was news that Democrats and Republican lawmakers had restarted negotiations to try and resolve what has become the longest US government shutdown in history.
This shutdown has been reported by Bloomberg to be costing the US economy around $15 billion per week in lost productivity and has stopped the release of key US economic data readings, leaving Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers in the dark regarding the health of the US labour market (Non-farm Payrolls) and the direction of inflation (CPI/PPI/PCE). Two areas which are crucial in helping them decide whether they have room, or the need to cut interest rates again at their next meeting in December.
Perhaps unsurprisingly, after a jittery week where the lofty valuations of AI firms were called into question and weighed on the price of the US 500 index, traders may now be looking at whether a resolution to the shutdown, which would restart the economic data flow again ahead of the Fed’s next rate decision on December 10th could be possible, bringing with it a potentially much needed boost to flagging sentiment.
On Sunday, traders received the news that the Senate had moved closer to an agreement, an update which has helped the US 500 to register an early gain of 0.5% (6790 at 0700 GMT) to start this new trading week. However, even if the agreed bill is eventually passed by the Senate, it must be approved by the House of Representatives and signed by President Trump (Reuters), meaning there could be more volatility ahead for the US 500.
Technical Update: Conflicting Signals Within Weekly & Daily Perspectives
Since the October 30th all-time high at 6925, the US 500 index has slipped just over 4.2%, reflecting an unwind of potentially over-extended upside conditions.
Looking at the charts there appears to be conflicting technical signals between the weekly and daily perspectives at present, leaving the directional bias uncertain heading into the new week.
Upcoming sessions could offer clarity on whether the constructive themes emerging on the daily chart or the possibly negative developments evident in the weekly view may take control.
Weekly Chart – Potential Negative Outlook?:
Over the past three weeks, a possible Evening Star pattern has emerged on the weekly chart, a potentially negative development. Last week’s price weakness may have completed a sentiment shift, and if downside momentum builds, it could lead to further declines in the sessions ahead.
It remains to be seen whether this leads to further price weakness, but downside pressure may now build. If developed further, breaks below support at 6503, the October 2025 low could materialise, opening the door to a deeper phase of weakness toward 6214, a level equal to the August 2025 low, potentially even 6105, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the April to October 2025 rally.
Daily Chart – Potential Positive Sentiment Shift?:
Following the recent sharp price decline, the daily chart presents a dilemma for traders, especially against the backdrop of a potentially negative weekly setup. Friday’s session initially extended recent downside moves but found support at 6647, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the April to October rally. From there, fresh strength emerged, and the session closed near its opening level at the upper end of the day’s range.
Candlestick analysis suggests a potentially positive Dragonfly Doji has formed, hinting at an attempt to resume price strength. Confirmation is key, a positive candle on Monday, seen with a close above todays 6769 opening level, would offer weight to this pattern.
While not a guarantee of further upside, such activity might also see a close above resistance at 6779 (half the latest decline) a level at present being tested (0700 GMT), to potentially suggest a retest of 6925, the October 30th high.
Initially it is unclear whether the weekly or daily outlook will gain the upper hand in the US 500 index, but next week’s price action, especially the moves on Monday, could be important.
With the weekly chart hinting at a negative reversal risk and the daily chart showing signs of potential stabilisation, even possible positive risks, Monday’s candle direction may offer clues, and traders may be watching closely for evidence of the next directional themes.
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SPX Possibly Breaking SupportPreviously support held on this Higher Low, but it is now creating a bear trend by showing us a Lower High, and now breaking support to possibly create a Lower Low. Wait for a retest on the support which will act as resistance, or on the trendline for a low risk short entry. Feel free to drop your thoughts/opinions!
Larger Drop Incoming?The move up since the liberation day dump has been epic. I called the low on the markets at the time. I was long AppLovin, AMD, Reddit, Arm, Alab, REMX, amongst many other names that far outperformed the market. I warned you about the imminent dump before it happened, and then took positions on the long side as the market capitulated and we hit the golden ratio.
Now it's time to zoom out and remind you that this will not grind up forever. My interpretation of the chart is the move is nearing the end, the risk of strong downside move (7-12% drop) is increasing significantly and greed will catch many people out.
The inverse head and shoulders pattern is almost complete, we are grinding up in this channel and will start to come up against the resistance over these coming days/weeks. I had an upside target of 7000-7250 and we are almost there. The dips are getting brought up, so bulls may have more time to make gains but I am not convinced that the gains are worth the risk at this stage.
I will start taking some chips off the table here. Not financial advice, do what's best for you.
S&P At The End Of The Trend?Seems like on the weekly and monthly charts, the S&P has completed a 5 wave Elliott which started in fall 2022, exactly 3 years ago. The indicators also seem getting weaker on both time frames. Probably there is a distribution going on. Everybody you see is talking about a recession in 2026, mostly towards the middle of the year and we will have a Christmas rally this year. Well, by now we have learned that if everybody is expecting something to happen, either it doesn’t happen or it happens earlier . We’ll see because nobody knows the future. Though, as I see, most people now are in the mood that every fall is a buying opportunity and “this time it’s different” with ai. So many cocky opinions flying around. Maybe this time it’s different but for now, I am thinking that we will have a 3 wave Elliott downwards. Actually, I didn’t like the sentiment that is going around. We’ll see if we will wear our shorts in winter.
S&P500 H4 | Bearish Reaction off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 6,706.19
- Strong pullback resistance
- 61.8% Fib retracement
- 100% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 6,790.06
- Swing high resistance
Take Profit: 6,602.91
- Swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
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Ray Dalio’s bubble warning aged fast today Ray Dalio’s warning not to “sell just because there’s a bubble” didn’t land today as a delayed September jobs report showing 119,000 new jobs cut into hopes of a December Fed rate cut.
The S&P 500 swung from a 1.9% gain to a 1.1% loss, and the Nasdaq flipped from up 2.6% to down 1.5%. The S&P 500 chart now shows declining momentum with lower highs forming. That kind of engulfing behaviour can mark exhaustion phases in extended rallies.
Bitcoin also unraveled, dropping nearly 5% and sinking back under 87,000 as liquidations accelerated. The current monthly candle could be confirming a potential shift in trend momentum after a multi-year climb.
S&P500 close to confirming the new Bear Cycle.The S&P500 index (SPX) broke below its 1D MA50 again yesterday (even closed the day below) and is showing clear signs of weakness at least for the short-term.
This can't be ignored as it may be transferred to the long-term time-frames where the market has been forming a Bearish Divergence on its 1W RSI since October 27. RSI Lower Highs against the market's Higher Highs.
This is similar to the November 15 2021 1W RSI Bearish Divergence, which led to one last quick rally and 1.5 month later the Bull Cycle topped and the 2022 inflation crisis Bear Cycle started.
The signal was given by a weekly closing below the 1D MA100 (red trend-line), which has been the market's natural Support in the past 5 months and also during every major Bullish Leg of the Bull Cycle.
As a result, if the index closes a 1W candle below its 1D MA100, we will call the start of a new Bear Cycle, potentially aiming for the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which is where the 2022 Bear Cycle bottomed after a -27.62% correction. Our Target Zone for the next long-term buying will be 5300 - 5000, assuming the top is already in. If not, the -27.62% decline will be re-adjusted to the new top.
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SPX500 Breakdown Warning: Major Supports— Bigger Crash Ahead?The S&P 500 index ( SP:SPX ) has become increasingly significant recently, and it has a notable impact on cryptocurrency markets, especially Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ). Therefore, analyzing the S&P 500 not only benefits its own market but also enhances our understanding of related markets.
Fundamental Analysis:
Volume confirms distribution, while the ongoing U.S. government shutdown delays critical data (CPI, PPI), fueling uncertainty and risk-off sentiment. Fed’s hawkish pause on rate cuts and tech sector rotation (TSLA -6%( NASDAQ:TSLA ), NVDA -3.5%( NASDAQ:NVDA )) reinforce bearish momentum. Also, YTD performance now -3.2% in November — on pace for the worst monthly drop since 2008 (-7.5%
Technical Analysis:
From a technical perspective, the S&P 500 index is breaking the Support zone($6,773_$6,710) and moving near the Support lines and 50_SMA(Daily) . Given recent data, there’s a possibility that these supports may break.
Additionally, according to Elliott Wave Theory , we can expect more corrective waves ahead.
I expect the SPX500 index to decline to $6,633 after the support cluster is broken in the first step.
First Target: $6,633
Second Target: $6,583
Stop Los(SL): $6,815
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
How to Trade the Double Top Pattern Like a ProHow to Trade the Double Top Pattern Like a Pro
The Double Top is one of the most reliable patterns in technical analysis. It often marks the beginning of a resistance zone and signals that bullish momentum is losing strength.
The first top is hard to anticipate, it’s usually just a continuation of the existing rally. But when the second top fails to break above the previous high, that’s when things get interesting . This failure creates a resistance level, and it’s the first warning sign that buyers may be running out of steam.
🔵 Why Do Double Tops Form?
There are usually two main reasons why a Double Top appears:
Profit-taking after a strong rally.Bulls start to lock in profits, causing the momentum to fade.
Lack of new buyers . Demand weakens, and bears begin to take control gradually.
Learning to tell which case you’re facing can help you decide whether it’s a great buying opportunity during a healthy pullback, or a signal to take profits, or even go short .
🧭 Step 1: How to Identify a Real Double Top
Before trading it, make sure it’s a true Double Top:
- Both peaks must form after a strong upward move . If the market was falling before, it’s not a classic pattern.
- The two tops should be at almost the same price level (no more than a 0.5% difference).
- The most important part is the neckline , the lowest point between the two tops.
That neckline defines whether the move is just a healthy pullback or the beginning of a new downtrend.
If the neckline doesn’t break, there is no Double Top yet.
The pattern is only confirmed after the neckline breaks downward.
💥 Step 2: Trading the Pattern
There are three main scenarios to understand:
1️⃣ A Confirmed Double Top (Breaks Down)
When the neckline breaks, the market often drops about 61.8% of the pattern’s height, with a probability above 70%.
A small pullback to retest the neckline is possible, but usually, the price won’t return to the previous highs.
A Double Top is spotted:
The neckline is broken:
A decline happens sharply:
2️⃣ A Fake Double Top (Break Fails)
If the price fails to break the neckline and instead makes new highs, it’s not a real Double Top.
This typically means we’re in a profit-taking phase, not a trend reversal.
In these cases, it’s often best to stay out, as the market tends to move sideways or show mixed signals.
A spotted double Top:
Fails to break down, instead breaks up:
The rally unfolds:
3️⃣ A Double Top Trap in a Strong Bull Market
Sometimes, a small break below the neckline triggers stops before the price explodes higher again.
These are common during powerful bull runs.
A spotted double Top:
The neckline is broken:
Inmediately the price reverse and break upwards.
The price rallies:
💲 Real Double Tops:
Theory is simportant, but let's go real!
A Double Top is now unfolding in Microsoft , and as you can see the neckline is almost there! Is this a signal? Wil a fake breakout occur? Are we witnesing the end of AI rally?
And some previous Double Tops:
❗ A final recommendation
Tradingview offers a great indicato r to Spot Double Top patterns easily.
Once you are in a chart, click on indicators and search Double Top Chart Pattern indicator. It's only for paid users and works fine!
Take a look how it spots the Double Top pattern and also gives you and idea of the posible target price!
Or the current one in NASDAQ:MSFT
In short:
Double Tops work roughly 70% of the time , but context matters.
They perform best in sideways or slowing markets, and are less reliable in strong rallies , where false breaks can easily trap traders.
Always confirm the neckline break, watch for volume, and never forget:
A pattern is just a probability, not a guarantee.
US500: Breaking Out of the Falling ChannelUS500: Breaking Out of the Falling Channel
The US500 index has finally broken out from its falling channel, signaling a potential continuation of the broader bullish trend.
After a strong recovery from recent lows, price action suggests a possible pullback to retest the breakout zone before targeting higher levels.
If momentum continues, we could see buyers pushing the index toward the 6,875 resistance zone first — and if that level gives way, the next target sits around 6,985.
Key levels to watch:
🎯Target 1: 6,875
🎯Target 2: 6,985
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
US500: Strong Reversal Zone Holding | Potential Rally AheadUS500 – Strong Reversal Zone Holding | Potential Rally Ahead
US500 has once again reacted strongly from the major support zone marked on the chart — an area that has held multiple times in the past.
Buyers stepped in aggressively, preventing further downside and maintaining the broader bullish structure.
After forming a broadening wedge pattern followed by a sharp decline, price has stabilized and is now showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal.
If momentum continues building, the next upside targets are:
6,800
6,870
6,985 (major target)
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Get ready for 7000Price has completed a clean 5-wave impulse followed by an ABC correction, now landing right on trendline support. If this C-wave holds, the setup hints at the beginning of a fresh bullish leg toward the 7000 psychological level. Watching for confirmation—momentum shift, higher lows, and volume pickup. Bulls might not be tired of winning just yet.
Remember to ignore the noise, follow technicals and you’ll always end up on the right side of the trade ! Good luck and wait for confirmation
SPX about to come crashing down hard. Buckle up.The parabolic growth curve that started almost 30 years ago in the US stock market is about to come to a dramatic conclusion.
We saw a test example of what happened in April when the market for the first time in 27 years broke through the parabolic growth curve, how quickly things just fell apart. Falling more than 10% in just a few days and then sharply rebounding to reclaim the parabolic growth curve.
Well, get prepared for an even more disorderly crash about to hit the market. We are for the second time in a year, right now losing the parabolic ascent.
No one actually believes the US economy is growing parabolically right? Even viruses don't achieve this level of "growth".
It's all built on a phony baloney house of cards called the US Dollar backed by nothing but the "full faith and credit" of the US. Well guess what? The credit of the US is constantly being downgraded by bond rating agencies. And we elected a leader who destroyed every other countries' faith in us. Consider poor Canada and the faith they have in us now. You might laugh and think these kinds of things are silly, but I promise you it's deadly serious. We have NOTHING but hot air backing the US dollar now because we have no faith and our credit is in the dumpster.
Also for comparison sake, I included the angle of growth (copy and pasted the small yellow line) that we had in the "raging" 1990s bull market. If you were alive during that time, the market was truly considered raging. But compare the angle of ascent to the last 6 months since Taco trump announced his worldwide agenda to destroy the US. The angle of ascent is almost pornographic compared to the 90s rager.
Parabolas don't unwind. They crash.
What other confluence do we have in the indicators to prior year crashes?
1) VIX 8day RSI achieved its lowest ever stochastic %D this summer, numbers 2 and 3 were 2007 and 2000.
2) P/E ratios are the highest they have ever been at 40+, only exceeded by one other time +44, just before the dot com crash.
3) 2y 10 y bond yield differential maintaining above .42% like every prior recessionary crash.
SPX: Makes equities affordable againThe previous week was quite an interesting one on equity markets. A lot of swing movements, but the general trend was toward the downside, or a general correction. The weekly peak of the S&P 500 was at the level of 6.870, but the next two days were traded with a huge market correction. Futures on Friday were traded with a significant discount, when the market opened at 6.648. The dip buyers immediately stepped on the market, and managed to push the index toward the higher grounds, where the index closed the week at 6.734. Many analysts are questioning whether this Friday's move was pointing to the reverse of investors sentiment, or was it just a short term correction to the upside?
The week started with an interesting news that the SoftBank Group has sold its entire stake in Nvidia Corporation for around $5,8B, with aim to transfer these funds in AI investments, including OpenAI. Amazon shares jumped after it struck a $38 billion deal with OpenAI to provide AWS capacity, signalling strong demand for AI infrastructure. Apple reported strong earnings, with its services business growing significantly, helping it stay resilient even amid broader market worries.
Based on the previous week's market movements, it could be noted that broad-based profit-taking hit big tech as investors expressed renewed valuation concerns on AI-focused companies, with Nvidia, Microsoft, AMD, and others seeing notable declines. Meanwhile, analysts are closely watching capital-expenditure plans from major companies as these will test whether the current AI-driven rally is sustainable.
Topping Signal?To me this looks like Wave 5 of the Elliott Wave supercycle in the stock market. We had a monster rally since the liberation day dump, now we are coming up against some strong resistance.
Should we be concerned? So far I have taken a lot of chips of the table. I am still very much long, we don't fight the tape, but if you haven't already started booking profits; have a good hard think about how much higher we could go from here.
The government shutdown will start to filter through the earnings reports next earnings season, especially if it persists over a month. Consumer stocks are showing weakness, whilst the AI trade continue to go vertical, but it will not go on forever - something will eventually give.






















