VIX to S&P and ATR modellingVIX to S&P and ATR modelling. This strategy looks at 50 day SMA, and VIX If Vix is high, and 50 day SMA is high then S&P falls, potentially over correcting, and creating buy opportunities.Longby sufianmalik1
SPX500 Outlook👁️ OUTLOOK 5hr chart: 30m chart: Context 5hr: Price has been bullish since the beginning of May. Trending nicely above the EMAs 10,50,200. We might get a slight pull back the beginning of the week then a push higher towards the end of the week. Validation 30m: Price is trending very nicely above the EMA's. Currently coming back to meet the 50ema. Bias: Bullish and I will be putting this on my watchlist for the week to look for buys.Longby angelvalentinx1
Week 20 Analysis (12MAY) + Week 19 ReviewWelcome Fellow Traders! Tech Analysis for the coming week + review of the current! Usually takes about 15-20 mins, sharing as much as possible, Stay Tuned! If you find the content useful to you, do follow me on trading view and give me a Rocket BOOST!U18:35by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys1
SP500 - Short - 1:1 / 1:4This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Remember to always research and consult with a professional before making investment decisions. Good luck! 📈💼🚀Shortby JorgeSotelo442
SPX500USD could go up little moreHi traders, Last week SPX500USD went up. For next week this pair could go up a little more before a small correction down. Trade idea: Wait for a correction down to trade longs. If you want to learn more about wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! EduwaveShortby EduwaveTrading4
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 10, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The index reached our projected Mean Res 5200 and swiftly jumped higher to press on to our Key Res 5260 and anticipated outcome of Outer Index Rally 5280; this upside move will trigger a strong squeeze pullback to Mean Sup 5178 and 5108. However, Spooz could go down to hit the two Mean Support levels from its current position before going to the mentioned support targets. by TradeSelecter3
The Dark Side of the Stocks SaloonThis metaphor based on the DSOTM album is an excellent reference for the market cycle. Have fun, but note that this is neither financial nor trading advice.by marcohf78110
Is SPX in wave 4 ? This is what I'm seeing rights now a regular flat of wave 4. it might push to 5350 as an expanded flat wave. 5350 will be the invalidation of the idea of wave 4. by ioalmadani2
SPX 15 min looing kind of tired,Taking a look at SPX on the 15, has 2 up gaps to fill and is nearing the top of this Ascending Channel. If it decides to break down, we could see a $100-120 gap down.Shortby impossiblebull0
And Down We Go... S&P 500After the Big run up, since October, we stop, and start a channel down, that ended 19th April. Since than, the S&P, forms another channel, and right now at the top of the channel (resistance), that open a little bit higher, try to go beyond, but fail So, my perspective is, that we must go to the support (the line on the bottom of the channel), Strategy - SELL TARGET - 5135Shortby SOUL-FOOD2
SPY 435; SPX 4380 July 24th. New low on Market by Oct 2024The yellow channel represents a rollover of the linear regression if we do not break all time highs. The top of the rollover channel was almost tapped today giving me confidence in the trade. I will remain short until either the weekly slow-stoch re-embeds above 80 or we break an all time high. If we get the roll over into the yellow-lined channel; then the 1970s playbook of "higher inflation and recession" will force the Fed to cut rates; spike inflation, crush the economy under said inflation which is the catalyst for crushing the SPY to new lows by October. This will be similar to a 5-wave impulse pattern. We just completed wave 2. The 3rd wave if measured leads us to the 200day MA at 4380 by July 24th if you extend it out to project where it should be. (White dotted line). That is an extremely reasonable expectation for a 3rd wave and the lining up with the 200day makes the trade almost too perfect. A weak wave 4 allows for a strong wave 5 to bring us to new lows without breaking the rules of Elliot Wave theory. Wave 5 cannot be bigger than wave 3.Shortby DarthTrader1357111
S&P 500Price is at the trend deciding zone 5200 - 5220. We had continuous uptrend for few days. Will price take a pause, have a pull back before moving up? Buy above 5230 with the stop loss of 5210 for the targets 5260, 5300, 5340 and 5380. Sell below 5180 with the stop loss of 5210 for the targets 5150, 5110, 5060 and 5020. Support is seen at 4980 - 5020. Check the live market updates. Hit the like button to Rock !! Show some energy !! Note : This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell. You are responsible for whatever you do.by vanathiUpdated 5
S&P500 ForecastS&P500 Currently, there is a bearish trend projected to reach 5190 from the pivot point at 5225. However, if it breaks above 5245, confirmed by a 4-hour candle closing above this level, it could potentially target higher levels at 5261 and 5280. Key Levels: Pivot Line: 5225 Bullish Lines: 5245, 5261, 5280 Bearish Lines: 5190, 5168, 5150, 5099Shortby RojBarwari5
SPx (Stock Index Futures Climb as Fed Rate Cut Hopes Grow)S&P 500 INDEX OANDA:SPX500USD New Forecast The price has breached the resistance zone and continues its upward trajectory, aiming to reach 5249. We anticipate a minor correction to 5225 before the price ascends further towards 5249, and potentially beyond to 5280. Conversely, a consolidation below the levels of 5224 and 5218 could indicate a downward movement towards 5196 and 5177. Pivot Line: 5224 Resistance Levels: 5249, 5280, 5302 Support Levels: 5196, 5177, 5150 Today’s expected trading range is between the support 5196 and the resistance 5280.by SroshMayi9
20 Point Move To The Upside Coming In SPX OandaHey Traders! Hope all is golden! 20 Point or more possible move on 1hr SPX Oanda. Target area 5207.4 area to start. Time will tell if she climbs higher from there but we should at least see 20 points. Best of luck in all your trades :) Cheers!Longby Trade-FarmerUpdated 112
SPX Breakout AltImportance surrounding 5225 area on SPX requires an alternative to a longer consolidation wave (presented in my prior idea). If 5225 is accepted as support, then we have an ATH breakout possibility with a measured move to ~5360. If we do not consolidate further then it is less likely to make a full measured move higher. An overthrow high, or series of overthrow highs, could occur. CPI next week hopefully offers an entry in either the bullish or bearish direction.Longby Brukks3
SPX Not bullish, not bearish, summertime deadishThe main view here is that the VIX is trading sub $13, likely sub $12 by CPI. So, based on structure, I don't really see a (probable) way that we complete the larger up-move to 5380+ without more accumulation. I think we will go through extremely painful high and tight consolidation and maybe make a breakout attempt in early fall. This idea will be invalidated by a break and hold of 5225. I am really really early in this view because of the options activity at the last few closes (monthly contracts). Anyways, I'm not interested in capturing these moves, and these posts are always for funsies, but this isn't financial advice. I think entering the market as a bull in fall if this plays out, would likely be a good move. I am showing the most bullish long-term outcome. A squeeze to 5300 (overthrow high), is the second most probable outcome if we can continue to grind higher, but it would not result in long-term bullish.by Brukks9
spx 5/8 retracement of spx 500chart based off recent big drop and retracement. in the coming days we will see if we are going to new highs or heading back down to make new recent low by cerquoneg0
SPX500 approaching overhead resistanceThe SPX500 has moved into an area where there is overhead resistance. If the short-term momentum holds with the stochastic remaining in its upper quartile, the index should overcome the resistance. However, a swift turnaround in the stochastic will see the overhead resistance holding out. This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM Group”). Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com) : CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com) : Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.Long02:59by FXCM112
Negative Momentum Divergence in the SPX Weekly After a Rally from the 4900 levels back to the 5200 a negative momentum divergence started to form in the chart. Still in the positive side, but this could mean a major correction is forming. Let's remember that the previous correction was 5% from the All Time Highs. It all depends if the S/R @5200 is breached or not. If not then the ATH will be left behind for while and the next target will be above the 20ma (5000), or the 50ma (4700). Still in a Bull Market. The VIX currently is at 13.27, which lately has been the bouncing level. The VIX could still be at those level and the leg could try to go to retest the ATH. by Madrid11
SP500 Mid term planOur friend Fibonacci is showing up a possible next move for SPX. Actually is ranging exactly on the 1.618 level of the last leg, and usually this level to a retrace till the level 1. There we could probably see a reversal that could lead the price into the resistance area at 5250, but it's probably too early for thatShortby CryptoForexGem443
Futures fall with rising Treasury yields; jobless claims loom.U.S. stock index futures declined on Thursday amid rising Treasury yields, as investors awaited jobless claims data that may clarify the Federal Reserve's interest rate strategy for the coming year. During a week short on significant catalysts, market momentum has somewhat faltered. Investors are seeking new insights into the monetary policy direction, especially after last week's weaker-than-anticipated payroll figures sparked speculation of one or two interest rate reductions this year. Technically: The S&P 500 is currently navigating between trends with boundaries at 5192 and 5150. In this context, we can anticipate two potential scenarios: In the first scenario, if the index stabilizes below the trend line, approximately at 5192, and subsequently drops to 5177, it is likely to continue its bearish descent, targeting levels at 5150 and then possibly extending to 5120. Conversely, the second scenario proposes a bullish outlook. Should the index consolidate above the trend line around 5192, it would be expected to sustain a bullish trajectory, aiming for an upward target of 5225. Pivot Line: 5186 Resistance Levels: 5224, 5249, 5280 Support Levels: 5150, 5120, 5103 Today’s expected trading range is between the support 5120 and the resistance 5224.by SroshMayi12
SPX500 waiting for 15% +/- drop..9/May/24SPX500 Wave 4 ( Red Circled) is an expanding flat wave pattern, where wave (B)( blue) could reach 5530 +/- before losing 15.98% +/-by SteveTan8