MACRO MONDAY 8 S&P500 / M2 Money Supply ( SP:SPX / $WMN2S) M2 is a broad measure of the US money supply that includes cash, checking deposits, and other types of deposits that are readily convertible to cash such as CDs. M2 is seen as a reliable metric for forecasting/predicting inflation and for this reason it can be used as leading economic indicator....
Hi traders, Last week SPX500USD went up. For next week this pair could go up a little more before a small correction down. Trade idea: Wait for a correction down to trade longs. If you want to learn more about wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: The index reached our projected Mean Res 5200 and swiftly jumped higher to press on to our Key Res 5260 and anticipated outcome of Outer Index Rally 5280; this upside move will trigger a strong squeeze pullback to Mean Sup 5178 and 5108. However, Spooz could go down to hit the two Mean Support levels from its current position...
Join FXCM senior market specialist Russell Shor for the morning market review.
The SPX has rallied approximately 3.5% since its lows on 19th April 2024 and well into the two-day FOMC meeting that kicks off today. In line with general market expectations, we do not anticipate any change to the central bank’s monetary policy, and just like on previous occasions, we expect Jerome Powell to reiterate the FED’s commitment to fighting inflation...
The index has made the abc correction I expected. This is a necessary abc drop to start reaching new heights. One of the most important things to understand when looking to buy various popular stocks. Also applies to Bitcoin. PS this index is designed to go up forever, at least as long as we exist on this planet. Pure logical thinking.
Developed in the 1930s by Ralph Nelson Elliott, Elliott Wave Theory proposes that markets unfold in a series of five-wave impulses followed by three-wave corrections. These "waves" represent the collective emotions of investors, shifting from optimism and bullishness (impulsive waves) to fear and bearishness (corrective waves). The Anatomy of a Wave: Impulse...
Too many traders think they are taking a Random Walk through these market streets. Well this post is to help them define a direction. Can you use this to target the exact price and day/hour/min? No (well sometimes you can nail it) But just like the Map App on your phone it will get you within a certain degree of accuracy AND you will definitely generally no...
Please, check our technical outlook for SPX. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 5187.64. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 5061.15 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can...
All the major US stock indices were firmer on Tuesday, building on gains from the latter half of last week. Investors were relieved to wave goodbye to April which proved to be an unsettling one in terms of increased volatility. Sentiment soured significantly last month, following an uninterrupted rally since the end of October. But US stock indices have had a...
In order to assess whether it is a good time to increase exposure to riskier assets such as equities, institutional traders often use correlation tools and inter-market analysis. Depending on the macro environment (uncertainties, market drivers, monetary narratives), traders periodically assess their exposure between offensive and defensive values (Risk-on vs...
SP500 reached a strong reversal area where price reacted in the previous week. I was expecting a little pump in my previous ideas, and honestly i wasn't expecting it to rise so much. But i am holding my short trades and i am adding more here, consider i expect a selloff this month. First target the support zone at 4990
The S&P 500 (US500) is rising towards the pivot. Could this index potentially reverse off this level to drop towards the 1st support? Pivot: 5,203.08 1st Support: 5,122.82 1st Resistance: 5,248.37 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and...
This is a short-term outlook on the S&P500 (SPX) following yesterday's Fed Rate Decision. The short-term pattern on the 4H time-frame is a Channel Up and is giving us some important developments. Even though yesterday's attempt to stay above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) failed, the index managed to stay on the Channel Up bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) and is...
The SPX500USD is currently in a favorable buying zone at 5048. Traders are eyeing potential profits at multiple levels: 5077.2, 5102.1, and 5118.8. These take-profit targets indicate strategic points where traders anticipate the price to reach, capitalizing on potential market movements. Additionally, a stop-loss order is set at 5019.1, serving as a precautionary...
Yesterday's FOMC meeting concluded with a decision to keep the monetary policy unchanged, leaving the federal funds rate at 5.25% to 5.5%. During the subsequent press conference, Jerome Powell outlined the solid state of the economy alongside heightened inflationary pressures. Notably, he disclosed plans to commence with the reduction in quantitative tightening...
Rally was short and sweet. Got 0.50. Fibo. Meta cracked it. Was fading all day already after the morning pump; just three up days. C legs typically extend farther and give a 1.62 extension, capitulation and panic prevail. May will be Bearish, at least to start, imo. Need to watch this correction carefully to gauge whether it takes ABC form or a more sinister...
We recently saw the AMEX:SPY index falling very fast and aggressively to the correction territory. The level found support around the 4950s. After all the events like Earnings, one day down, the other day up, and both very aggressive, plus the Fed meeting, also with a wild rollercoaster. At the end of the day the index found support above the 4950. Which is good...