Before the previous meltdown in stocks, in early February 2023, we warned that investors were trying to fight the FED, breaking the cardinal rule of Wall Street. With the recent rebound in SPX and people trying to call FED’s bluff (again), this trend seems to continue. Today, so much anticipated FOMC meeting is here, and central bankers are expected to increase...
My pre-market live forecast on Monday has not changed, a trend for the spx to rise and then fall this week Why do you say it's up and then down this week? It is clear that Downtrend2 is not divergence, and the decline is even stronger, even though there is a rebound on the 1-hour chart and the lows are moving up, the strength of the uptrend (pink line) is getting...
Gartley 222 short - entry at 30 min Close half at 1 to 1, then aim for 61% retracement of the AD leg
BIG SHORT for my colleagues. Please keep R&MM if trading. Good luck.
New trend emerging with a favorable set up. Risk 3.5% for 12%
Bullish signs pointing to a move towards 4400 this yearr
Stocks pushed higher again on Tuesday, adding to gains posted the previous day, as concerns about the banking sector continued to ease. Attention now focuses on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, set to be announced on Wednesday. As specially mentioned yesterday, the market is choosing direction and most likely it will go up, and I don't know how you...
Through-out the history of finance time decay happens, people forget its human nature. Federal funds climbs the wall, people panic followed by entering the market causing a return to normal, everything is fine this time is different. Whats that? the Federal funds start to fall faster than the Berlin wall, this is good right, cheaper effective cash. As the...
I switched the S&P500 to Regular Scale and it appears to have bounced off the Macro Descending Channel. This is good news for the Bulls. The main news I'm hearing is that some banks are getting bailed out in order to provide retail confidence (depositors are guaranteed to get their deposits back although the banks have billions in loses?). I feel like this would...
Price did not play out according to my analysis last week. Price is still well within the bearish POI at 4078.49 and if price invalidates this area, we could potentially see price rally to the bearish POI at 4201.41. If not, price will continue with the bearish order flow.
Main Spread Graph The graph represents (Equities & Crypto) / (Gold & Bonds). The aim of this spread graph is to account for inflows and outflows to other significant securities. Big = Significant trades are conducted by big institutions, which are likely to balance their portfolio equally adjusting each security's weight. The combination of equities and crypto...
The bottom was on track timewise from my last analysis, however, the bottom was not as low as projected. Intermediate wave C inside of Primary wave B ended higher than I would have liked but 86% retracement of an A wave in an overall corrective wave is not unusual. Here is the estimated path to the high. Analysis of historical data has Primary wave C lasting 34-67...
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Our short term trade paid off nicely even though it took 5 days. The price headed to our target price of 4,008. We now need to bank our profits and move on to the next trade. Now we have a gap that is still to fill and we have orders to still fill on the daily (Fair Value Gap). But I'll let you know!
The banking failures and constant layoffs happening in real time I believe will impact the Fed and Higher rates and recession may be imminent. We have been breaking structure to the upside and I am looking for a retrace between 3955.00 and 3980.00 with the first target at the 4027.1 level. Currently bullish until the market specifies a break of structure below...
AD is showing a confirmed 4080 target by showing me an Ascending triangle. Im expecting a huge breakout from this inverse head and shoulders pattern. Im anticipating $400 price target this week
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Its going to be a big day in the market, lets check out the levels