On the above 2-week chart the 2 year bond yield has increased an astonishing 4500% in a little over 2 years, perhaps you’ve noticed?. The chart is now indicating rising yields are a thing of the past, at least until 2026. From here on it is pauses and cuts until the real economy shows signs of recovery. This will likely be a difficult 2 years ahead for many. The...
The recent dot plot is quite interesting. It has 2 important notes: a) no recession b) you got to wait longer if you are looking for cuts. This caused yield to move UP - to price in a longer Fed pause. And I think both short and long yield to continue to be HIGH. In a situation with high DEBT load, a higher rate environment is trouble. $ FX and US yield...
We have a setup for another spiky move up in 2 year yield to a new high of the year 2023. The target for the subwave -c- of wave -iii- up = 5.365%
Looks like the bart is a real possibility here. This pattern is famous by now, you all know what it is.
The final exhaustive push higher in a subwave -c- of wave -v- up quite often comes as a strong rally resembling the heart of the rally in a subwave -c- of wave -iii- up.
simple chart if someone needs it for us treasuries and also added in the 30 year fixed avg mortgage. nice chart to track yields moving
When investors invest in short-term bonds it means they expect inflation -- to arrive inside the current economy this means higher food prices and tough economic living conditions -- for the poor and middle-class -- inside this video, you will see the yield curve and where to buy Bitcoin to save you -- from inflation -- Disclaimer: -- I am not a financial...
2 year yield keeps pushing to the target at 5.50% We are in the final wave v up. Upon completion of that five wave up rally we should get a large corrective a-b-c pullback to re-test the low made by the wave -iv- down
Sharing how Fib extension can catch tops and bottoms / support and resistance. Here we have the 2yr bond yield with the 3 pivot points (marked by blue price notes) for the fib extension at Mar 24 low, Mar 31 high and Apr 05 low. Last nights .5-ish move was suppressed by the Fib 3 boundary. From an elliott wave perspective, there are so many 1-2 waves from the...
The yield market is going absolutely bonkers tonight in the futures. What is the bond market telling us? likely inflation is entrenched. If the 2 year yield closes at or above the Fed Fund Rate before we hear from Powell expect the fed to do a surprise rate hike or remain extremely hawkish. This will no be good for stocks if this is the case.
-Bonds offset volatility for equity prices -Even though Bonds Are An Inflation Risk -Bonds Are Also At Risk Of Interest Rate TVC:US30Y are budget friendly even though they offer low returns To learn more about the financial markets watch this video -- Also Rocket boost this post and follow this channel for more content -- thanks Lubosi...
Top complete a five wave up structure of the rally off the March'23 low it should stretch higher to 5.50%. Upon completion of the five wave up structure yield should drop back down to 4.80%-4.70%
Just earning yield in cash for now. No positions in any stock commodity or crypto.
Bonds yields have been moving up at a fast pace recently - the 2 year bond yield moved between may and now nearly a full percentage point. Currently at the levels seen around 2008 right before the markets crashed. With real rates on the 3 Month bill actually reaching the exact rate before 08 crisis. One thing I noticed is that the longer end of the curve, i.e...
The ytm rate is expected to exhibit bearish attitude so be careful about trades.
Last week the US dollar index (DXY) closed at a 15-month low and beneath 100 for the first time since April 2022. Yet subsequent price action has seen a lack of conviction form bears, allowing prices to form a double bottom just above the March 2022 high and close with a Spinning Top doji yesterday. Given US yields are showing signs of stability (and hinting at...
US 2 Year Yield topped, I expect it to come down really fast. Buy bonds.
DXY and US yields were technically poised for that sell-off.