United States 3 Month Government Bonds Yield

MysteriousPersian

Typically an inversion of the yield curve signals a bear market between 2-12 months in advance. With inflation knocking at the doorstep and still pitiful economic data, the 10y treasury note is tumbling in value pushing yields and the yield curve back to normalcy but the recovery in yields has gone completely parabolic. With speculation reaching new extremes and...

rivchris

Publishing to track the movement of all the various bonds. TVC:MOVE is in the bottom pane.

lucky_human_foot

Which one will decide the stock market? The yield curve or the money supply? In the past the yield curve jumped, the stock market dropped and then came back to the money supply level.

smoki99

Rising long term interest rates and low short term rates are very good. Espacially for banks, because they can make profit with it. Selling longterm credits with higher interest rates and refinance them short term on the market. Its their business... So it should be now a good idea to invest in bank sectors.

Birgitbonander

Yeah. Yields boy. Its time. SHORT to 1500. LONG from 1500!

Birgitbonander

Joseph Robinette Biden Junior

Birgitbonander

NEW LEADER OF AMERICA: Joseph Robinette Biden Junior WWG1WGA: Market fail ----> Blame trump. PROTOCOL ACTIVATED PREMATURELY!

TayFx

This was the first chart that signaled a recession in April of 2020 when the curve first inverted last year in May. This was pure luck, by simply drawing a fractal of previous yield curve inversions from past recessions from May, which was around 360 days from the TA that suggested the market would recess in April of 2020. Obviously covid is a...

lucky_human_foot

Looking at the TVC:US10Y - TVC:US03MY and the AMEX:SPY it seems that during a recession like this TVC:US10Y - TVC:US03MY should rise and AMEX:SPY should fall. Will it be the case this time as well or is this time different? Maybe the FED cannot allow TVC:US10Y to rise this time due to the amount of debt and will instead impose yield curve control...

eirikb007

A measure of the Ted-spread using LIBOR based Eurodollar futures and 3 month US treasury bill rate. Higher Ted-spread signals stress in the interbank market (shadow-market), and is not a healthy sign with regards to liquidty.

productsall4u

This is a simple analysis of the yield curve vs. the sp500.

TayFx

May of last year, I predicted 10-12 months before the inversion would match the time-frame of inversion and un-inversion seen back in 08. Obviously, the catalyst I did not predict, but the underlying fundamentals were there and 12 months later, we are yet to technically be in a recession. Keep in mind, we need 8 months of data to print for GDP until the quants and...

vamp111

Mortgage bubble Lehman bankrupcy Stimulus package Obama and etc

lucky_human_foot

This chart shows the relationship between the 03 M Y on American treasury bonds and S&P 500. It shows a clear relationship during the last two crises and also shows that the downturn has just started.

19:49

PRO_Indicators

Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users. Kindly, Phil

hello77d86da044c14951

This chart gives the relationship between Yield Curve (10Year - 3Month treasury rates) Vs SPY. The yield curve is considered to be one of the predictors of recessions. Recent US recessions are also marked in the chart.

TayFx

10's minus 03 Mo's Reinversion of Sovereign Debt Yield Curve 19:34:22 (UTC) Thu Jan 30, 2020

TayFx

FRED:FEDFUNDS 01:37:23 (UTC) Fri Jan 3, 2020 ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ This is not financial advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Seek a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. I am not responsible for losses or gains that may or may...