AUDUSD Breakout Setup: Ready for Lift-Off!Hey Guys,
I’ve analyzed the AUDUSD pair for you. If the 0.65245 level breaks to the upside, my target will be 0.65416.
If it doesn’t break, I’ll be looking to buy around 0.65047 or 0.64954.
Either way, my final target remains 0.65416.
In this analysis, I’ve highlighted two key levels and shared my target. I’m planning to buy from these zones.
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AUDUSD InsightWelcome, subscribers.
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Key Points
- The U.S. July CPI rose 2.7% year-on-year, falling short of the expected 2.8%, while core CPI increased 3.0%, exceeding the expected 2.9%. Although the figures were mixed, the overall CPI result helped ease inflation concerns stemming from tariffs and strengthened expectations for a September rate cut.
- U.S. President Donald Trump said, “I am considering serious legal action against Powell because he performed terribly and with gross incompetence in managing the construction of the Federal Reserve building,” putting pressure on Fed Chair Powell while continuing to push the Fed to cut rates.
- Ahead of the U.S.-Russia summit on the 15th, Russia attacked eastern Ukraine. This move is seen as an attempt to expand occupied territory before the summit, where territorial issues are expected to be a key agenda item. Ukrainian President Zelensky stated that he could not accept any plan to concede Donbas territory to Russia.
- At its August monetary policy meeting, the Reserve Bank of Australia cut rates by 25bp. It noted that the effects of tariffs are expected to appear in second-half data, and reaffirmed that it will maintain a gradual rate-cut outlook until such data is confirmed.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ Aug 13: Germany July Consumer Price Index
+ Aug 14: U.K. Q2 GDP, U.S. July Producer Price Index
+ Aug 15: U.S. July Retail Sales
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
Based on the trend channel, the pair continues to show a gradual upward movement. If there are no major changes, the upward momentum is likely to persist. In the short term, it is important to check whether the 0.66000 level is broken; afterward, the 0.67000 level will serve as the second resistance point to watch. In the long term, a rise toward the 0.69000 level is possible, though short-term pullbacks may occur at each resistance level.
Heading into Fibonacci confluence?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 0.6573
1st Support: 0.6494
1st Resistance: 0.6619
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Lingrid | AUDUSD Swap Zone. Opportunity To Buy At Key ZoneFX:AUDUSD is consolidating inside a triangle pattern above 0.6485 support after rejecting from the 0.6540 resistance zone. Price is respecting the upward trendline while staying above the downward trendline break, hinting at potential upside. A push above 0.6500 could trigger a rally toward 0.6540, while a drop below 0.6485 would signal weakness.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: Break above 0.6500
Buy zone: 0.6485–0.6500
Target: 0.6540
Invalidation: Close below 0.6485
💡 Risks
False breakouts from triangle consolidation
USD strength weighing on AUD
Risk sentiment shift in global markets
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
AUDUSD: Gold Breakout & DXY Resistance Could Fuel Bulls!!Hey Traders,
In tomorrow’s session, we’re eyeing a buying opportunity on AUDUSD around the 0.65100 zone. The pair remains in an uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching a key support level at 0.65100.
We’re also keeping a bullish bias on Gold, which is attempting to break and hold above 3,400. Given the positive correlation between Gold and AUDUSD, this could lend additional upside momentum to the pair.
Meanwhile, the DXY is approaching the 98.300 resistance. A rejection from this level could serve as a strong catalyst for AUDUSD bulls.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUD/USD – 1H | FVG Rejection SetupPrice is approaching the Swing High and FVG zone.
Two potential scenarios from here:
📉 Bearish – Reject from FVG (~0.6540) → Break below P1D Low (~0.6500) → Target Swing Low (~0.6480).
📈 Bullish – Break and hold above FVG → Continuation toward higher liquidity levels.
Key Levels:
FVG: ~0.6540
Swing High: ~0.6530
P1D Low: ~0.6500
Swing Low: ~0.6480
Order Block (OB) Support: ~0.6430
⚠️ Watch price reaction at FVG for a short-term reversal or continuation.
RBA lowers rates, Aussie dips lower, US CPI expected to riseThe Australian dollar is lower on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6494, down 0.29% on the day.
The Reserve Bank of Australia lowered the cash rate by a quarter-point on Tuesday in a unanimous decision, bringing the cash rate to 3.60%. This is the lowest level since April 2023 and today's cut was the third this year.
This time around the RBA didn't shock the markets, unlike the July meeting when the RBA held rates and said it needed to see additional inflation data before lowering rates.
The rate statement began by noting that inflation has "fallen substantially" since 2022 and that inflation had fallen back within the target band of 2%-3% in the second quarter.
The Board noted that headline inflation was at 2.1% and trimmed mean (a key core CPI gauge) was at 2.7%. The Board said that underlying inflation is expected to continue to ease to the midpoint of the target band and the cash rate should continue to follow a "gradual easing path".
This dovish tune in the statement was balanced out by concerns that uncertainty remains in both the global economy and at home. The Board said it would remain cautious and would remain focused on price stabililty and employment.
At a post-meeting press conference, Governor Bullock said that the growth and inflation forecasts support further rate cuts but "there is still a lot of uncertainty" and future rate decisions would be data-dependent.
US inflation expected to rise to 2.8%
The US releases the July inflation report later today. Inflation is expected to nudge higher to 2.8% y/y, up from 2.7% y/y in June. This would mark a third straight acceleration and the highest inflation level since February. Core CPI is also expected to accelerate to 3.0%, up from 2.9%
Monthly, CPI is projected to ease to 0.2% from 0.3%. Core CPI is projected to rise to 0.3% from 0.2%.
Today's inflation data could shift market expectations for the September Fed meeting but the decision will very likely be rate cut, with a current likelihood of 84%, according to FedWatch's CME.
AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D12 | Y25 Daily Forecast 📊 AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W33 | D12 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
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Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
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FX:AUDUSD
AUDUSD H4 | Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support AUSSIE (AUD/USD) is falling towards the buy entry at 0.6471, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 0.6452, which is a swing low support that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.6539, which is a pullback resistance.
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RBA poised to lower rates, Australian dollar in holding patternThe Australian dollar is coming off a strong week, gaining almost 1% against the US dollar. In Monday's European session, AUD/USD is almost unchanged at 0.6521.
The Reserve Bank of Australia is virtually certain to lower rates at Tuesday's meeting. This would be the third cut of 2025 and would lower the cash rate to 3.60%, its lowest level since April 2023. This indicates a gradual, cautious approach to lowering rates.
The RBA had a trick up its sleeve in July, when it opted to hold rates. The markets had widely expected a rate cut but the RBA said that it wanted to see additional inflation data before delivering a rate cut.
Inflation has been cooling, as CPI for the second quarter nudged down to 2.1% y/y, down from 2.4% in Q1. This strongly supports the case for a rate cut as CPI has fallen close to the lower band of the RBA's 2%-3% target. Core inflation has also been easing lower. As well, the labor market is showing signs of cooling and the central bank wants to avoid a sharp deterioration in employment data.
With today's move practically a given, investors will be looking for hints about further cuts. Governor Bullock has sounded cautious, noting that inflation remains sticky and there is continuing uncertainty over US tariffs.
Australian goods face a low 10% US tariff, which is not expected to have a significant impact on the economy. However, US tariffs on China, which is Australia's largest trading partner, could weigh on economic growth.
In the US, it's a very light calendar with no tier-1 events. On Tuesday, the US releases CPI for July, which is expected to tick up to 2.8% from 2.7% in June.
AUD/USD is testing support at 0.6414. Below, there is support at 0.6506
There is resistance at 0.6529 and 0.6536
AUDUSD Continues the UP Move ??!!After touching strong downs on every larger time frame, AUDUSD Continues to catch the Bullish Momentum. Check your support and resistances and open positions accordingly. Wait for Price Again and strong solid breakouts to enter the market.
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The content presented in this IMAGE is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
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AUD/USD: Volume Profile & FVG Confluence Creates Strong Support On AUD/USD, it’s nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 0.65
There’s a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
(FVG) – Fair Value Gap and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 11 - 15 AugustMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: RBA Rate, US Inflation, UK Jobs & GDP, Earnings Reports
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets.
👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
— RBA Interest Rate Decision
— US Inflation Rate
— UK Unemployment Rate
— UK GDP Growth Rate
— Trade Tensions
— Earnings Reports
Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.
This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AUDUSD corrective pullback support at 0.6420Trend Overview:
The AUDUSD currency price remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 0.6420 (primary pivot), followed by 0.6400 and 0.6370
Resistance: 0.6560 (initial), then 0.6590 and 0.6620
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 0.6420 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 0.6560, 0.6590, and ultimately 0.6620.
Conversely, a daily close below 0.6420 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 0.6400 and 0.6370 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
AUDUSD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 0.6420 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern. The loss of this level and a daily close below would suggest deeper corrective risk.
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AUD/USD 15M – Short SetupAUD/USD 15M – Short Setup
Price has tapped into a key supply zone around 0.6530 after a corrective move and is showing signs of bearish pressure. The rejection from this area aligns with previous structure highs and liquidity sweep. My short position aims to target the 0.6488 low, with stops above the recent high to protect against false breakouts.
This trade idea follows a supply-and-demand + liquidity grab concept, focusing on selling from premium prices into discounted areas. Risk is kept tight, and reward is maximized by riding the momentum back to the lows.
Key Takeaway: Patience pays, wait for price to come into your zone, confirm rejection, then execute with discipline.
AUDUSD – Bearish Scenario (USD ahead of CPI / PPI)Monthly: - Bearish – macro downtrend intact.
Weekly: - Bearish – price making lower highs and lower lows.
Daily: + Bullish retracement, but struggling to expand higher.
4H Context:
• Price inside descending regression channel, currently in premium zone.
• Overhead confluence: -FVG (0.65414 – 0.65511) and -BreakerBlock from prior bullish failure.
• Minor Buy Side Liquidity rests at 0.65414; possible draw before continuation lower.
Scenario Observation:
– Expectation is for price to draw towards Minor Buy Side Liquidity and tap into the -FVG / -BreakerBlock overlap.
– Monitor for rejection/displacement within this zone in agreement with monthly and weekly bias.
– Downside liquidity rests at 0.64190 (Sell Side) aligning with channel lower boundary.
– Invalidation if price closes decisively above 0.65669 on the 4H.
AUD/USD Show Mixed Signals,Market Sentiment Remains Wait-and-SeeThe Dollar Index kicked off the new week with an optimistic tone; however, the overall outlook for the currency appears to be in a state of hesitation. In my view, August may likely see limited volatility, with few significant movements on the horizon. Meanwhile, AUD futures (6A1!) indicate a consolidation around a previous supply zone, suggesting a potential pullback before reaching the next major supply level. Additionally, data shows an increase in short positions among non-commercial traders, which could hint at a possible bearish trend emerging in the near future.
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