Going off the low from Election night we had a straight shoot up and haven't looked back yet. Taking the distance of the "pole" into the formation of the pennant formation, from the breakout level and moving up equidistant takes us to 2324. No particular time projection for this but that level could very well be the top of the Trump Election Rally. This also...
Tgif...So far this week the bulls have: closed a lower opening gap, blown through a triple top, and catapulted through two pennants. What's stopping the charge? Nothing so far. In order to continue to strong momentum the Jimmy Butler zone has to hold which coincides with a previous top channel line that can now be support. If not, then perhaps some profit taking...
I wanted to see a retracement closer to 49.25 but it appears 49.58 will be the closest it will get. Appears to be long flag pattern upside breakout, which is a continuation pattern. I'll be looking for opportunities to buy on Friday for a scalp/daily swing. I wouldn't take any position over the weekend with the non-OPEC party taking place over the weekend. A push...
Amazing power surge this week in ESZ. Two pennants formed, proving to be continuation patterns as they are. The length of each pole so far has been the length of the move to the next "water break" above. The breakout Thursday of the 2nd pennant should then theoretically take us to 2275 area. With the way things are going, maybe by the end of the week!
Wednesday was a "trend day". From the cash open, prices only went one direction, with basically no retracement, while closing on its highs. It's EXTREMELY rare to see two "trend days" in a row according to Market Profile studies. With that said I expect Thursday to see some active swings instead of the one direction rocket launch. ECB will only add to the...
2236 is the equivalent distance from the breakout of the pennant flag equal to the length of the "pole". Very good chance that this level will hold and be the end of this current, powerful, bull wave.
We saw the upside breakout of the pennant formation late afternoon Tuesday that should see some carry through into early Wednesday. The first Bear Zone should give some fight as it's the previous all time high level and a triple top. Triple tops rarely hold so if prices retreat I wouldn't be surprised if prices level off and make another charge through it making...
I wanted to short Crude on Tuesday but never got a good setup for an entry. My eyes are still on a short swing positional trade to ride down to at least 49.25. Potential right shoulder developing so special attention will be given to 51.50-52.00 area by me.
Doji top from from 11/30 still dominates the scene in my eyes. Hoping to find better swing setups today. Happy to fade either directional breakout of this minor congestion we're in but see more potential to the downside for a bigger move. More up is just slow, boring, grind so hopefully 2215 area can defend itself well.
I'm looking to short Crude somewhere between 51.75-52.00 for a positional swing. Stop at 52.50. Downside Target: 49.25.
Talk about a gap fill from Sunday night's gap lower open! Despite this current power surge, the rounding top pattern along with the doji top from 11/30 dominate the overall atmosphere still. This puts better odds for a push back to the Bull zone (24hr pivot is also there) than for an attempt back to all time high levels so we'll see what happens. Nice moves to...
New minor bear zone added (assuming low made on previous down wave)...and coincides with the magical pivot #
NFP Friday. Michael Jordan zone is key for the bulls to hold. I think another push higher is needed before the battle of 2200 is over. Despite the extension of the 20pt range over the previous 8 trading days, it's only an extension of 5pts...Weak. Volatility likely to get crushed after the # is released, especially if in line.
CL inverted H&S displayed on macro level. Approaching possible triple top area coinciding w/ downtrend line from June.
Updated Bear zone (2203.5-2205.5) where another potential swing setup exists if prices can push that high today. I'll stay away from another test of the 2192 area as it would be the 4th time tested on the macro level (past 8 days)and 3rd time on the micro level (intraday). Staying flat and patient and letting things develop here.
The battle for 2200 rages on. 1992-2012 is the 20pt range prices have been restricted to over the past 8 trading days. Something must give...eventually. Minor bull zone can be a nice long swing trade setup. What's concerning to me for the Bull run is the doji formed during yesterday's price action along with the downside break of the lower range of the price...
Prices have been stuck in a 20pt range for the past 6 trading days. The ongoing battle for 2200 will continue today as ES figures out if we're headed to 2184 or 2226. With that said, my strategy for the day is strictly scalps. I don't see a good setup (currently) for a nice swing trade. News on Crude will be volatile today which should have some spill-over on ES....