Adam-Cox

Adam-Cox

JNJ presents buying opportunities...in context to: 1. Beta trade with broad index growth 2. Recovery - idiosyncratic growth 3. Potential over reaction re: vaccines Wait for pull back into range. Buy on lower limits or wait and buy on a break trade! Earnings up next...another reactionay opportunity!

Adam-Cox

Re-capping: 1. no Russian-US escalation, 2. VIX down and no backwardation 3. Fiscal support good 4. No hyper inflation 5. Debt ceiling - end of July..expect jitters! Buy on pull backs and monitor potential off-risk. In the mean time: Curb the nood 😃😃

Adam-Cox

Don't be one those lucky noobs that buy at top. Plenty of time for a nice ..deep..pull bavk and buy on limits. Hype factor high - > happy to exit long on rallies 😃

Adam-Cox

Putting aside fiscal support...check out: 1) Vix short and medium term 2) Vix backwardation (if any) 3) Skew and Vix combo If we see any wardation in the Vix or Vix vs ETFs...its a short trade on: 1) SPX, DIA, DJIA 2) check off risk ..long Dollar Short Commodities. As a side note: will Gold out perform BTC in an off risk event?

Adam-Cox

A bit of a grind going-on..no need to chase price...buy on pull backs into the range. The word 'crypto' is too broad..so treat BTC as a unique case. My thoughts on Doge are different for obvious reasons.

Adam-Cox

This special little doggy lives on: 1) tweets from the Musk'tier, and 2) hope - wider adoption. In other words its an event play subject to: 1) dilution factor 2) boredom leading to selling 3) fear based selling on rallies/events Unless Musk, Amazon, Coinbase etc., comes to the rescue, I am looking to exit long on rallies. Its a question of capital use given...

Adam-Cox

Substantial fiscal response, no off-risk and no hyper inflation. Watch-out for: 1) debt ceiling wobbles 2) SLR (not a new issue) 3) tax payments for the 2021 tax year previously deferred.

Adam-Cox

Backwardation times the spikes.. Contango is a killer! No "Hodling" here!

Adam-Cox

Demand for Doge has yet picked-up! Dilution factor excerbates. Unless we starting seeing more Doge/crypto hype or buying at market its a Exit Long.

Adam-Cox

Follow policy. If you need to buy - wait for deep pull backs If you want to short - sell on rallies. ...But don't fight the FED!

Adam-Cox

Easy to manage this one... Look at an economy re-opening...so Hodling had well defined parameters !

Adam-Cox

I am still long oil with around 125% return on my position. The oil WTI futures Backwardated previously; now Contango indicating a normal growth market. I expect additional returns on a growth path. No hyper inflation. The "Green new deal' not affecting exports and world demand as economies re-open. I wil get into higher beta trades with oil's pick-up but...

Adam-Cox

Obvious to me is the fact that Doge ramped-up on a lot of excitement (buying at-market with volume) and now the market just sits and waits! Volume just flat lining with low turnover. I draw support lines in such a way as to provide a strong 'demarcation' point. I am currently Long, but currently not growing my position.

Adam-Cox

Review the intraday price action you see the ramp-up, and then the distribution. You also see this slight parabolic - so buy on pullbacks. Risk-reward are easy set-ups with limit longs or a break trade to the upside as price drops below key support. For key support, I am only using price defence areas on closing - the noise you use to execute trades in the 'wicks'

Adam-Cox

Instead of drawing lines on highs and lows or on patterns ...look for prices which are actually defended - with activity and volume.. The rest is noise...

Adam-Cox

Any time you see the rate of change speeding up, as in a parabolic curve, stand aside and wait for the consolidation or a pullback. Price going vertically is a time to exit longs..not a time for new longs. This will save you from buying at the top of a market and having to suffer large draw downs 😃.

Adam-Cox

Classic TA, looking for areas of price defence and flow updates...its a great market 😃

Adam-Cox

Two great things about BTC and crypto in general; they are: 1) able to trade 24/7 subject to US liquidity / intraday periodicities; and 2) techical / flow driven. So sharpen up your skills ...there's plenty of money to be made 😃