AlexandreNygal

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Last visit Joined 4 months ago
Markets Allocation
32 % forex 26 % stocks 11 % indices 32 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 10% | 2 XAUUSD 10% | 2 EURUSD 5% | 1 CAC 5% | 1
AlexandreNygal AlexandreNygal AUDUSD, D, 3 months ago
AUDUSD: AUDUSD : two breakdowns = first indications of weakness
100 0 4
AUDUSD, D
AUDUSD : two breakdowns = first indications of weakness

The AUDUSD pair is inside an upside trend, since June 2016. Higher tops and higher bottoms were defining that trend. Currently, there are the first signs of a potential weakening bullish dynamic : - The pace of the progression is slowing down, as shown by the break of the ascending trendline support. This was the first signal that should have raised our ...

AlexandreNygal AlexandreNygal DJI, D, 3 months ago
DJI: DJIA : The index should retrace after new ATH
224 0 2
DJI, D
DJIA : The index should retrace after new ATH

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has made a quick and powerful bounce from 17883 to 18873 points (Thursday). It represents a 5.5% increase in only one week. The victory of Donald Trump has apparently raised the idea that the new policies might spark a stronger economic growth. After that short term progression, we can clearly see that the underlying trend ...

AlexandreNygal AlexandreNygal NZDUSD, D, Long , 3 months ago
NZDUSD: NZDUSD : Get inside both short and mid term bullish trend
204 0 3
NZDUSD, D Long
NZDUSD : Get inside both short and mid term bullish trend

The NZDUSD pair is fluctuating inside both short term and mid term upside trends, with the easily recognizable tops and bottoms that are oriented upside. After a constructed drop in september and early october, NZDUSD has made a bounce at a great support point : - The ascending trendline support that shows the pace of the mid term trend - The 150 days moving ...

AlexandreNygal AlexandreNygal XAUUSD, 30, 3 months ago
XAUUSD: Gold VS Silver : Pick the right one either for long or short !
132 0 4
XAUUSD, 30
Gold VS Silver : Pick the right one either for long or short !

The US election is taking place as I am writing these lines... As a protection, a lot of investors and traders are willing to add some gold (or silver) to their portfolio, which sounds like a great idea because of the uncertaincy of this very particular event. But on that strategy, you should be careful to the one you are picking, weither you go for long or short ...

AlexandreNygal AlexandreNygal EURJPY, D, Short , 3 months ago
EURJPY: EURJPY : Continuation pattern in a mid term downside trend
286 3 11
EURJPY, D Short
EURJPY : Continuation pattern in a mid term downside trend

The EURJPY pair is in a downside trend since mid 2015 without any interruption. Currently, and this for four months, this pair is consolidating inside a triangle continuation pattern. This period of stabilization does not significantly put in danger the bearish momentum on the EURJPY, as shown by the long term 200 days Moving average which is still very well ...

AlexandreNygal AlexandreNygal SPX, D, 3 months ago
SPX: SPX : Be careful, wrong timing to enter short
130 0 2
SPX, D
SPX : Be careful, wrong timing to enter short

The S&P 500 has just broken its support area at 2119 points ; before that, we would have expected a bounce because that area prevented two bearish attemps. On a break out of a support like that, we usually search an opportunity to enter short. But here is the problem : - The previous peak (2154.80 points) seems too far to put a stop above it. The first obstacle ...

AlexandreNygal AlexandreNygal EURUSD, 240, Long , 3 months ago
EURUSD: EURUSD : Enter long, bullish dynamic in formation
240 0 6
EURUSD, 240 Long
EURUSD : Enter long, bullish dynamic in formation

The EURUSD pair was inside a downside trend (mid term, confirmed in daily charts). But on that general movement, we can notice on the 4h chart a bullish reversal construction taking place from the bounce at 1.08805 (Major support). The low and tops are getting higher, which is the basic definition of an upside trend. This change of dynamic in short term is ...

AlexandreNygal AlexandreNygal MOY0, D, Short , 3 months ago
MOY0: Eurostoxx 50 : Bearish dynamic & resistance areas, better short
93 0 6
MOY0, D Short
Eurostoxx 50 : Bearish dynamic & resistance areas, better short

The EU stocks index Eurostoxx 50 (MOY0) has made a nice rise since the Brexit (end June), but the buyers are currently facing some difficulties to go higher. In fact, the european stock market is inside a bearish dynamic since early 2015, as characterized by the downside trendline resistance (blue) and the bearish 200 days moving average. In this case, the ...

AlexandreNygal AlexandreNygal XOM, D, Long , 3 months ago
XOM: XOM : Open long before the Flag breakout !
52 2 2
XOM, D Long
XOM : Open long before the Flag breakout !

Exxon Mobil, major oil company, has just published its quarterly results. Its profits went down (2.7b$ vs 4.2b$ the previous year). Its cost reduction has not compensated the lower margins due falling oil prices. Due to this, the stock has opened today with a bearish gap and has drawn a shadow at 85.50$ which is the lower bound of the flag. Technically, we can ...

AlexandreNygal AlexandreNygal FP, D, Short , 3 months ago
FP: Total (FPP) : Open short ! The major resistance blocks buyers
39 0 3
FP, D Short
Total (FPP) : Open short ! The major resistance blocks buyers

The french blue chip Total (FP, 111b € of Market Cap), from the oil industry, is inside a bearish dynamic since June 2014. This is characterized by lower tops and lower bottoms. Currently, the buyers seemed to have taken back the advantage, but the Major resistance area at 45.00€ is still preventing the stock from going higher. As long as this level is not ...

AlexandreNygal AlexandreNygal MSFT, D, Long , 3 months ago
MSFT: MSFT : Almost time to enter LONG ! Wait 61.10$ !
45 0 0
MSFT, D Long
MSFT : Almost time to enter LONG ! Wait 61.10$ !

MSFT has passed its consolidation rectangle (blue) with a big gap, that is a sign of a strong buying trend. After that big jump, it is normal to see a breath on the stock. The first support is at 59.40 (upper bound of the gap). You can initiate a long position at 60.10$ approximately on Microsoft. Better to wait a bounce at 59.40$ for safety (confirmation) but ...

AlexandreNygal AlexandreNygal USDJPY, D, Long , 3 months ago
USDJPY: USDJPY long : The downside trend just reversed !
213 4 6
USDJPY, D Long
USDJPY long : The downside trend just reversed !

The USDJPY pair just made a trend change ; it has been confirmed at the beginning of the week. For the past 12 months, USDJPY was in a fast downside trend, losing approximately 20%. But once it has reached the very strong psychological level of 100Y for 1$, we have noticed a change in the bearish dynamic. After three bounces at this price (now Major support ...

AlexandreNygal AlexandreNygal VIX, D, 4 months ago
VIX: VIX : The fear index converging to 15%
96 0 2
VIX, D
VIX : The fear index converging to 15%

The VIX, also known as the fear index, is calculated from the price of options, in other words the cost of insurance against shifts in the market. When investors are willing to pay more to protect themselves, it means they are worried about the near future. Currently, and since a few months now, the evolution of VIX can be described on the following two points ...

AlexandreNygal AlexandreNygal EURGBP, D, Long , 4 months ago
EURGBP: EURGBP : Joining the upside trend with a great R/R
37 0 0
EURGBP, D Long
EURGBP : Joining the upside trend with a great R/R

Since the beginning of this year, the FX pair EURGBP has made a fast reverse, leaving its downside trend for a very bullish construction. On that situation, as long as the tops and bottoms remain higher than the previous ones, we should look for potentially interesting entry points. Here, we probably got one due to the following reasons : - beginning of a bounce ...

AlexandreNygal AlexandreNygal AMZN, D, Long , 4 months ago
AMZN: AMZN : Long trading idea
43 0 0
AMZN, D Long
AMZN : Long trading idea

Amazon is in a fast upside trend since early February (+72% in less than 9 months). The stock is making new historical highs frequently. On that situation, we are looking for short term regress in order to get long. Here is exactly what is happening : - Beginning of a bounce at a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement - Matches with neutrality area on the RSI (bounce at 50 ...

AlexandreNygal AlexandreNygal CAC40, D, Short , 4 months ago
CAC40: CAC40 : The rounding tops show a bearish momentum
35 0 1
CAC40, D Short
CAC40 : The rounding tops show a bearish momentum

The CAC40 is consolidating between 4300 and 4520 pts since the middle of July. The US indices are currently showing weaknesses, and so does the french equity market. The resistance area at 4550, doubled with the other one at 4520, definitely constitute a barrage for the buyers to go higher. The bearish forces are getting a bit stronger as weeks pass, as shown by ...

AlexandreNygal AlexandreNygal SPX, D, Long , 4 months ago
SPX: SPX500 : Great Risk Reward ratio for a long position
161 0 4
SPX, D Long
SPX500 : Great Risk Reward ratio for a long position

The S&P500 is following a bullish trend since many months, which is materialized by ascending top and bottoms, plus an ascending trendline support. Recently, the index is consolidating between 2120 and 2189 (ATH). Now, it has made a bounce at 2120 support. The hammer candle shows the domination of buyers at this price on the US stock market, probably for at least ...

AlexandreNygal AlexandreNygal FB, D, 4 months ago
FB: FB : Better to wait a pullback at 122.50$ to buy
29 0 0
FB, D
FB : Better to wait a pullback at 122.50$ to buy

Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) is evoluting in a long term bullish trend, but currently it is consolidating between 126.70 and 131$. On that situation, a short position is definitely to ban. But is today the right moment to initiate a long position ? The support à 126.70$ corresponds to 0.5 retracement of the last upper move (end Aug - beg Sept), it is not enough. It could ...

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