AuthenticTrader

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About me Born again, F/T trader, mainly Forex. S/R candle reversals, large TF. Ideas posted = trades I take - simple high probability, low risk. Christ be praised! See my live trades and history on fxjunction under same user name - AuthenticTrader
Joined
Trading!
Markets Allocation
54 % forex 37 % stocks 4 % indices 4 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USDCAD 8% | 4 VG 6% | 3 NZDUSD 6% | 3 STM 6% | 3
AuthenticTrader AuthenticTrader BTCUSD, 240, Long ,
BTCUSD: Bitcoin  Long - 4 hr chart for perspective - Wave 3 Underway?
183 1 2
BTCUSD, 240 Long
Bitcoin Long - 4 hr chart for perspective - Wave 3 Underway?

With so little market data it is hard to see the market longterm...there aren't any longterm action or patterns to observe! Still human behavior is human behavior, so we just zoom down to the 4 hour chart. We do know in ANY market a parabolic price action (like we saw with BTC) WILL see a big retracement. It has done that have eclipsed the 61.8 fib and coming ...

AuthenticTrader AuthenticTrader DJI, 1D, Short ,
DJI: VIX Spike - Here we go! Stocks, Indexes, ES, NQ, YM Elliot Right
144 0 3
DJI, 1D Short
VIX Spike - Here we go! Stocks, Indexes, ES, NQ, YM Elliot Right

People lot smarter than me saying this - this is what I see. Merrill lynch two Fridays ago said correction is on.

AuthenticTrader AuthenticTrader ESH2018, 30, Short ,
ESH2018: ES  Mid -Term Correction in Play? S+P 500 Down
24 0 0
ESH2018, 30 Short
ES Mid -Term Correction in Play? S+P 500 Down

We have two pretty good EW Counts - A complete eight cycle, followed by a another five wave impulse, meaning we could be looking at the start of at least a short correction Wave 8. Priced touched the 200% fib extension off the last high. Of course we all know we are at an all time high where we have bearish Tweezer Tops and Doji, and also bears divergence with ...

AuthenticTrader AuthenticTrader DJI, W, Short ,
DJI: Dow Time is Near? Robert Prechter Just Stuck his Neck Out
618 9 8
DJI, W Short
Dow Time is Near? Robert Prechter Just Stuck his Neck Out

Prechter was on Fox Business today, and made some pretty astonishing comments. He doesn't do that often: http://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/2017/11/01/bear-market-that-will-make-its-mark-is-looming-ahead-robert-prechter.html Check out the chart and be prepared!

AuthenticTrader AuthenticTrader NZDUSD, 60, Long ,
NZDUSD: NZD/USD LONG - Elliot and Gartley Agree
30 0 3
NZDUSD, 60 Long
NZD/USD LONG - Elliot and Gartley Agree

This is very simple, the Elliot Wave count begins at the X point for the Gartley. The Gartley B point and D point neat perfect ratios. The D point is the beginning of wave iii if you are and Elliot trader, or a Gartley reversal if you are a harmonic trader. The count and the wave both happen near long term support. Elliot folks like to get in at the start of wave ...

AuthenticTrader AuthenticTrader AUDJPY, D, Short ,
AUDJPY: AUDJPY Short
47 0 3
AUDJPY, D Short
AUDJPY Short

Bearish Bat has completed on the 1d with a T-bar and test of all harmonic numbers. X point is a bearish engulfing candle pattern to add confirmation to this strong resistance level. On the 4h chart a small AB=CD pattern, and a larger Alternate 3.14AB=CD have converged in this same area. On the four hour chart a shooting star has just completed as well. Stop can be ...

AuthenticTrader AuthenticTrader STM, D, Long ,
STM: STM -  61.8  of the Completed Harmonic Pattern - Retrace Now
132 0 5
STM, D Long
STM - 61.8 of the Completed Harmonic Pattern - Retrace Now

Reversal off the daily harmonic completion. Now it will retrace to at least 32.8 of wave 1, then back up for wave 3

AuthenticTrader AuthenticTrader DEPO, D, Long ,
DEPO: DEPO - Long - What do you see?
46 0 4
DEPO, D Long
DEPO - Long - What do you see?

Bullish Divergence with price lowest since Dec 2013. Bullish Candle Reversal. Price in the 1.13 - 1.27 fib extension. And AB=CD. Connors RSI Again oversold. https://www.tradingview.com/x/jMOWLNwy/

AuthenticTrader AuthenticTrader DEPO, D, Long ,
DEPO: DEPO - Long  - Get Ready - Harmonics, Connors RSI, and Elliot
100 0 4
DEPO, D Long
DEPO - Long - Get Ready - Harmonics, Connors RSI, and Elliot

These are the set ups we trade for. Connors RSI hit a low of 6, signaling possibly over sold. (Green rectangle). We have " near perfect Butterfly and a PERFECT 38.2 AB=CD that has completed inside this Butterfly. Price is trading at it's 52 year low on pretty good volume. Elliot Count preferred says this is beginning of new Wave 1. Alternate count would it ...

AuthenticTrader AuthenticTrader VG, 60, Long ,
VG: VG - Want some more? - Correction Over! Long!
53 0 4
VG, 60 Long
VG - Want some more? - Correction Over! Long!

Pulled back just like we thought, and has just completed the 3rd leg a Elliot wave A-B-C corrective wave. Also is wave 4 of the bigger wave. We have piercing pattern candle completed too, with a bullish confirming candle. Elliot says wave 4 cannot retrace into the high of wave one, so if our count is correct, we have a nice tight stop of $.15 to $.20 and we can ...

AuthenticTrader AuthenticTrader LKSD, D, Long ,
LKSD: LKSD Long - Near perfect Bat with Connors 2 period Confirming
35 0 5
LKSD, D Long
LKSD Long - Near perfect Bat with Connors 2 period Confirming

We have a Bat - We have Connors 2 period RSI Trigger below 8 for over sold. Not much more needs to be said. Already up 4 % since entry. Bullish Engulfing at point D on the 1h chart

AuthenticTrader AuthenticTrader AUDCHF, 60, Long ,
AUDCHF: AUDCHF Long  - Intraday Gartley Forming - Perfect Storm?
46 2 7
AUDCHF, 60 Long
AUDCHF Long - Intraday Gartley Forming - Perfect Storm?

Pretty good set up forming here. The Precise B pt ratio has hit, C is within spec. Pattern starts at convergence with a .382 level on 1d chart and the completeion of a AB=CD inside this retracement. Pattern also starts with a morning star candle reversal patter at this same point. That's a lot of good things to start the pattern. If pattern completes it will make ...

AuthenticTrader AuthenticTrader USDCAD, D, Short ,
USDCAD: USDCAD   POTENTIAL SHORT - Near Perfect Harmonic Convergences
91 0 4
USDCAD, D Short
USDCAD POTENTIAL SHORT - Near Perfect Harmonic Convergences

First the disclaimer. I am very new to harmonic patterns, so take what I say with agrain of salt, and if I am washed up feel free. This appears to be an excellent set up as we have Two D points from two different converging, and both near the same resistance area. The more harmonic numbers you have converging is a very good sign. Further, the 1.618 extension of ...

AuthenticTrader AuthenticTrader FBR, D, Long ,
FBR: FBR - Long Again - Multiple Harmonics at Restiance with Elliot
41 0 5
FBR, D Long
FBR - Long Again - Multiple Harmonics at Restiance with Elliot

Perhaps a little too aggressive not waiting for the candle. But It opened higher, XABCD pattern completed on 1h, and an AB=CD completed on the 1h. Classic Elliot wave count meeting all the rules and several of the most relaible guidlines. I lo=ve the support offered by the rising window as it converges with the start and completion of the pattern, and Elliot ...

AuthenticTrader AuthenticTrader NZDUSD, 60, Long ,
NZDUSD: NZDUSD - Double D's - Buy at D ! Whole lot of harmony goin' on!
68 0 4
NZDUSD, 60 Long
NZDUSD - Double D's - Buy at D ! Whole lot of harmony goin' on!

This is a GREAT long set up. We have the convergenc of multiple harmonics. A Bull Gartley has just formed on 1d chart. The XD ratio is a near perfect 78.6 retrace in that pattern. Zooming in to the 1h, we see a PERFECT AB=CD that has just completed in the same area. Multiple harmoni numbers and patterns convergence in different time frames is a strong signal. ...

AuthenticTrader AuthenticTrader VG, D, Long ,
VG: VG  - No Country for Weak Men - Big Boys Want You to Sell
188 5 9
VG, D Long
VG - No Country for Weak Men - Big Boys Want You to Sell

This is a new idea but relates to my earlier idea. Patience! I have drawn a a classic harmonic AB=CD pattern. I quote ( paraphrase ) from Carney's book, "....it's hard to make yourself believe the stock will reverse because the sell off has been dramatic and the stock appears weak....but you must sell at D...not believing this initially cost me a lot of money" ...

AuthenticTrader AuthenticTrader AUDCAD, D, Long ,
AUDCAD: EURAUD Short - Resistance, Candles, and Elliot say Yes
64 0 6
AUDCAD, D Long
EURAUD Short - Resistance, Candles, and Elliot say Yes

Price completed a bearish engulfing Yesterday. Trading close to four year high. Case can be made for the Elliot Count I have labeled as it violates no rules for the impulse wave up, and the correction wave guidelines for corrective waves are pretty clear. So it looks like we are just starting wave C down, which normally has a length approximately the same as ...

AuthenticTrader AuthenticTrader EURAUD, D, Long ,
EURAUD: EURAUD - Long and Long term
37 0 7
EURAUD, D Long
EURAUD - Long and Long term

Sorry about the late posting..I entered much earlier but got called away from PC before I could post. You have a a spinning top/doji, with a long lower wick, another doji, and a sash, and then an engulfing complete yesterday...all at a support level that is A FOUR YEAR LOW. I don't usually use Connors 2 period RSI for forex, but hey - it did register 3.1, ...

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