Welcome to my first ‘Market Structure’ analysis and what this is all about are my thoughts on various topics relating to markets inspired by current market conditions, commentary from other people and so on. This isn’t the first time I write with this style as one of my previous market snapshot had a similar theme. In my opinion this is a more constructive way to...
In this analysis I will go through the various trends, fundamentals and data around Bitcoin and the macro situation. It will have more of a bearish note because I think there are several people should be aware of and play safe. At the moment the USD is in an uptrend and all risk assets have sold off. SPX down 8%, NDX 11%, Gold 10%, Silver 24%, Bitcoin 14%,...
In this ‘Market Open’ there are a lot of thing I’d like to cover, and it is coming out late precisely because of that. Last week there wasn’t one although I’ve shared several ideas on Tradingview which I’d recommend you read. The reason I didn’t share them here is that they were a bit more chaotic and I was actively commending, while now I’d like to present...
Hello everyone! On this analysis I will make a brief summary of my previous analysis for traditional markets and crypto, but this time around I will focus mostly on crypto. I'd also recommend people to read my previous ideas and my recent threads on my twitter profile (@StakeSats) to get an idea of what I've been thinking and been playing with, as I don't want to...
Starting with the USD! In my opinion EM currencies are going to get stronger vs the USD in the next few months. I think that from here USDZAR and USDMXN could drop another 4-5%. That's bullish for the world and most assets. On the other hand people should be careful with their positions as EURUSD is looking extremely weak and USDCNH is about to fill the gap and...
As simple as it gets. The most important support levels and where the price is sitting... I'll leave it all in your imagination as the bottom half are not stocks, but assets that are showing signs of bullishness for the markets in general.
On this analysis I'd like to expand a bit on my previous analysis where I spoke about a potential Bitcoin correction. I still do believe that Bitcoin and altcoins could fall significantly from here, but only in the short-medium term... Here are a few reasons why I don't think the stock market bull run is over and that most assets will follow (charts at the bottom...
This ‘Market Snapshot’ is going to be an interesting one, as it is sharing some of my thoughts inspired by the markets and my trading rather than market action. The first thing I’d like to talk about is the correlation between Bitcoin, Altcoins, Gold, Stocks and the USD, as it is definitely a topic many people are discussing and it’s a heated one. Since the...
Hello everyone! This is a special market open analysis, as the markets went a bit crazy over the last few days and today US markets are closed (although futures and other markets are open). In this analysis I’ll go through most traditional markets, explain how I see things right now with a few charts as well and finish up with crypto markets. Let’s start with the...
I will give a brief analysis on all the major assets + charts with my TA -The Euro is getting somewhat overbought, but technically it is really strong. Most people are long USD and most people are bearish on Europe. With US rates falling so much and Europe most likely coming to an agreement about debt, as well as the potential of the Dollar cycle having turned...
Will go through some current FA and TA. Will start with the bear case and then the bull case. Bear Case: 1. Stock markets got really hot with new investors coming in, probably signalling the top. By many measures stocks are now overbought and hit key technical resistance. If stocks bottom near 2650 and the DXY near 99.5, then BTC would probably bottom around...
In this analysis to make the bullish and bearish cases for alts. I'll start with the pros, then move to the cons and finally have a wrap where I put more of my own input. It will contain technical, fundamental and quantitative analysis. My initial thesis before the halving was that we might had seen alts pop a few days before the halving, as Bitcoin wasn't really...
Quick summary of previous idea: 2900-3030 key resistance on the SPX, first rejection looked like it was the real top but there was another strong push higher before it was rejected even more strongly again. USD had 2-3% downside before going higher, but didn't drop enough as support held. USOIL target was 25$, but it has popped even higher. Gold was trapped...
Will try and do my best fundamental and technical analysis. Will separate the two, introduce my bullish/bearish points/opinion and then paint the big picture with a a brief analysis and charts. Bullish: 1. War on cash - People will get more accustomed to digital currencies and get over the idea that 'oh Bitcoin is only digital'. They will also need it to do...
Over the last few weeks I made a few analysis and in this one I will put all the pieces together. I just had my 'aha' moment where I've finally been able to get a very clear picture in my head. Could I be wrong? Of course, but now both Technical analysis and Fundamental analysis is starting to come together. I want this to be my masterpiece and from now on to put...
2900-3030on the SPX has so far proven to be a strong area of resistance, but stocks are still on an uptrend. They are at a make or break stage in my opinion. Lots of people are losing their minds as stocks keep rallying, and even though I believe it is very likely that we see new ATHs on the SPX500 & NAS100... I am still of the opinion that eventually the rally...
Brief summary of my previous analysis and things I've said on twitter: Bullish on stocks (risk on), but with 2900-3020 being resistance - area good for scalps. We did push into that area and got the first rejection. Today I stupidly didn't short and got carried out thinking the trend would continue not following my original plan. Bullish on Gold long term, but...
Incredibly nice retest after a really strong pullback. I think this one will see some further uspide. Pontential zone near this zone before making an even stronger move up.