There was a double bottom right at the key support zone. If market pulls back from the recent bullish momentum to 61.8% retracement level, we will have a 2618 setup to go long. At the moment, I'm shorting this pair (see idea in link below). Lets wait and see if market will play as per these ideas.
Technically, the daily chart is still in an uptrend. Market has now retraced down to key support zone 173.65, which is also 61.8% fib level from the recent upswing. It is also now re-testing the bullish pin bar formed on 16 Sep 2014 right at this key zone. Will be drilling down to H4 for confirmation to go long.
Overall trend in this market is down. We can see rejections of the minor resistance in H1 as reflected with the long upper wicks. This also rejected 50% retracement of the recent downswing. This looks tempting but I don't trade H1. Contented with just holding the existing two positions in this pair.
Market re-tested the daily resistance zone and failed, resulting in a bearish pin bar in H4. Two options in my plan to short this pair: (1) Enter at market now based on the bearish pin bar signal rejecting the daily resistance zone. (2) Wait for further retracement up for deeper re-test of the daily resistance zone and the re-test of the low of mother bar. My...
Update to my earlier post (see link below): Market has fall off nicely from the bearish pin at resistance zone. It has just broken and closed below a support level around 1980. The next KEY support zone is around 1900-1910. Nothing to do at the moment but wait to see if market presents another shorting opportunity with a retracement back into 1980 zone.
Market consolidated within previous day's pin bar, forming an inside bar below the resistance zone. Will be looking to add a second position at the break of the mother bar. Please refer to the link below for the idea on my first position. I will be treating these two positions as two separate setups and trades.
Medium term trend (3-6 months) is down. Market broke below key support zone and re-tested with a false break last Friday. Market has so far this week grinding its way up towards the now resistance zone. My short order has been triggered yesterday. Entry, SL and TP per chart.
Market seems to have stalled around 2000-2010 level. Bearish pin bar formed at this key level. This may be due to profit taking on Friday before the weekend. Or this may be the beginning of a reversal/correction. RSI is showing bearish divergence. Word of caution: This is counter-trend, and it is counter to a super uptrend. The potential risk-reward ratio may...