Tradeciety

PRO
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About me Technical trader. Using fundamentals to get a sense for direction and risk appetite. Mainly Forex and indices. Purely swing trading - momentum plays and fading momentum.
Joined Germany, Thailand, traveling the world... Tradeciety
Learn about my system: http://pro.tradeciety.com/a-powerful-and-simple-system/
Markets Allocation
77 % forex 13 % indices 4 % commodities 5 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
AUDUSD 12% | 12 USDCAD 11% | 11 EURUSD 6% | 6 SPX 6% | 6
Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO NZDCHF, 240,
NZDCHF: Swing trading an patience! NZDCHF TL
473 10 19
NZDCHF, 240
Swing trading an patience! NZDCHF TL

As a swing trader, patience is your greatest asset - you need patience when mapping out a trade - patience waiting for the right setup - patience when you're in a trade - patience when it comes to taking profits I have been following the TL setup for days and it's still not giving up. Most people will short on the way up and realize so many losses that once the ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO NZDCAD, 240,
NZDCAD: NZDCAD at important stage - TL setup
680 4 32
NZDCAD, 240
NZDCAD at important stage - TL setup

The NZDCAD is approaching an important area where the trendline and the previous support/resistance meet. We are already seeing some strong selling momentum but as long as price keeps trading above the trendline, there is NO reason to short this. Once the trendline is broken, the short momentum could accelerate and lead to a new trend. It's just early Monday ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO AUDSGD, D, Long ,
AUDSGD: Is this it for AUDSGD?
402 3 18
AUDSGD, D Long
Is this it for AUDSGD?

I have been waiting weeks for this to happen and pointed this out to our pro members during this week's Sunday watchlist and yesterday in the forum. Retests often happen after strong breakouts. Price does not move in one single line so give it time to work out. The current momentum clearly indicates a shift in buyer-seller balance but price does move in waves and ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO EURNZD, D, Short ,
EURNZD: Classic short reversal - keep it simple
941 4 20
EURNZD, D Short
Classic short reversal - keep it simple

Doesn't get simpler than this week's EUR/NZD short. It has all the things we need: fading momentum, an over-extended trend, a strong momentum move and a retest. Lots of pro members are in this already and we're up a lot. No need to make trading complicated... >> Create rules, stay patient and only wait for those A++ setups :) That's what we do day in and day out

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO EURCAD, 240,
EURCAD: Will EURCAD break down? The importance of patience
761 8 17
EURCAD, 240
Will EURCAD break down? The importance of patience

The EURCAD is a prime example for how hard trading can be or for how hard traders make their own lifes'. I have been stalking this pair for a long time and there has never been a real signal to short. The uptrend-structure is beautiful above the 20 SMA. I have received many emails and messages where people shorted way too early without confirmation just because ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO USDWTI, 240,
USDWTI: Textbook H&S in the making on crude
801 6 23
USDWTI, 240
Textbook H&S in the making on crude

The pattern we see on Crude 4H right now is very close to a textbook H&S. The signal happened a little ahead of the 54 resistance but the overall chart context looks promising. A break below the neckline would seal the deal here. If the neckline holds, sellers have no right to be in this trade.

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO AUDCAD, D,
AUDCAD: Is this is for AUDCAD?
634 1 17
AUDCAD, D
Is this is for AUDCAD?

Are we seeing the momentum that we have been waiting for for so many days? 1.012 is the last support level that needs to be broken but recent momentum suggests that more bearishness is likely. We have seen one lower high (no lower low yet) and more bearishness than in the past few months. At the same time, this is becoming a crowded trade and many traders are ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO AUDCAD, D,
AUDCAD: $AUDCAD - Head and Shoulders about to form
607 0 24
AUDCAD, D
$AUDCAD - Head and Shoulders about to form

Right now, AUDCAD is trading in a no-trade zone which means that price is in a transition phase where the next phase is unknown. A bounce off the 1.015 could lead to another run into the highs. A break lower, however, could trigger a short trade here. Gold has already led the way lower but AUDCAD still managed to hold up here which is also something that means ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO XAUUSD, 240,
XAUUSD: $Gold - NOT a head and shoulders yet
775 4 22
XAUUSD, 240
$Gold - NOT a head and shoulders yet

Great example of why waiting for the momentum is so important. Right now, the trade plan makes sense from a technical perspective but as long as 1245 holds, there is no reason to sell. Price has bounces multiple times here. Price made a lower high but NOT a lower low yet and price is trading just at a previous market top. A break below 1245 could mean more ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO EURJPY, 240,
EURJPY: Testing the impatient - trendline break
1013 0 15
EURJPY, 240
Testing the impatient - trendline break

I had an early short on the break of the 20 SMA. Then closed it ahead of FOMC and now I am waiting for a new opportunity on the break of the trendline (how to draw trendlines: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jfdhIGoCIHg&t) Very technical behavior here and the sup/res levels are tested and retested nicely. This is a common pattern you will learn to trade in our ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO NZDJPY, D,
NZDJPY: Retest + pinbar --> wait for momentum break
610 2 24
NZDJPY, D
Retest + pinbar --> wait for momentum break

It looks like NZD/JPY has put in a downtrend pattern now with lower lows and lower highs; previous sup/res areas get retested on the way down. Now all we need is a stronger momentum break lower to re-confirm the next downward-leg in the trend. Until then, just stay patient :)

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO USDJPY, 240,
USDJPY: The power of flipzone
1160 0 17
USDJPY, 240
The power of flipzone

Whatever you call them, "flipzones" are must-have levels on your charts. They show current highs and lows which go from being support to becoming resistance on the break. They are generally more short-term than conventional support and resistance but during rallies and reversals they act as great helpers and price barriers. Trading flipzones requires ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO USDCHF, D, Short ,
USDCHF: Head and shoulders and local trendline - USD short vs. FED
329 0 13
USDCHF, D Short
Head and shoulders and local trendline - USD short vs. FED

Despite the planned rate hike on Wednesday the USD is showing increasing weakness. The 20 SMA on the daily broke and price is challenging the local trendline. The FED rate hike would generally be considered bullish for the USD, although a lot will be priced in by now. Shorting the USD against the macro situation seems to be a high-risk trade if held throughout ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO EURAUD, 240,
EURAUD: EUR/AUD testing the flipzone
859 0 9
EURAUD, 240
EUR/AUD testing the flipzone

The EURO had a good rally last week but this week, price put in a retracement. We have a classic 2-wave trend into a 161 Fibonacci extension/ It's too early to short just jet as price is retesting the 1.405 area but a break below that could lead to more selling.

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO AUDCHF, D,
AUDCHF: AUD/CHF - Classic reversal setting up?
435 0 21
AUDCHF, D
AUD/CHF - Classic reversal setting up?

AUD/CHF almost there for a decent short but one thing is missing. So far, the AUDCHF has almost all the criteria: Head and shoulders, completed Fibonacci, break of 20 SMA, short momentum is increasing and outnumbering buying interest. The only thing missing is the break of the flipzone/neckline.

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO AUDCHF, D,
AUDCHF: AUDCHF - classic reversal setting up
192 5 17
AUDCHF, D
AUDCHF - classic reversal setting up

On a break below this flip zone, a short becomes very interesting. It has all things you need: Head and Shoulders, completed Fibonacci, break below the 20 SMA and momentum to the downside is becoming greater >> distribution between bullish and bearish candles is changing. Make sure to wait for the price to fully break the current zone.

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO DXY, 240,
DXY: Head and shoulders on the USD Index - what's next?
651 2 22
DXY, 240
Head and shoulders on the USD Index - what's next?

The macro situation is pointing more towards additional USD bullishness with the upcoming FED rate hike but the USD has been rallying for the past few weeks so a correction could also be likely. Right now, the USD Index is in a head and shoulders and as long as price doesn't break the neckline, it's a neutral chart. This will set the tone for the other USD ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO EURUSD, D,
EURUSD: Major demand/support ahead on EURUSD - 1.053
853 5 26
EURUSD, D
Major demand/support ahead on EURUSD - 1.053

With the major strength on the US-Dollar, the EURUSD is now back in the demand area. Lots of people got burned buying on the way down but waiting for key areas to time trades is the 'safe' way. potential long ideas will become more interesting soon again

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