Tradeciety

PRO
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About me Technical trader. Using fundamentals to get a sense for direction and risk appetite. Mainly Forex and indices. Purely swing trading - momentum plays and fading momentum.
Joined Germany, Thailand, traveling the world... Tradeciety
Learn about my system: http://pro.tradeciety.com/a-powerful-and-simple-system/
Markets Allocation
76 % forex 13 % indices 4 % commodities 8 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
AUDUSD 11% | 12 USDCAD 10% | 11 EURUSD 6% | 7 USDJPY 5% | 6
Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO DAX, W,
DAX: Will DAX break 12,000? Major support area ahead
430 1 12
DAX, W
Will DAX break 12,000? Major support area ahead

I don't trade stocks but the price principles are the same across asset classes and once you understand how to read buyer-sellee dynamics, you will be able to interpret any chart. The DAX broke it's 20 SMA a while back and is about to confirm the retest which is an important pattern. A break of 12,000 would open the room for more downside and it could start a ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO SPX, D,
SPX: SPX at important crossroad? Bullish/neutral until 2400
581 0 12
SPX, D
SPX at important crossroad? Bullish/neutral until 2400

The S&P is challenging a recent trendline and is also testing the previous highs. There is a longer term trendline waiting below. A break could open the room to 2400. A complete short reversal would happen, if we break 2400 to the downside as the last serious swing low.

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO NZDJPY, D,
NZDJPY: NZDJPY - easy trade or monster trap?
1299 6 23
NZDJPY, D
NZDJPY - easy trade or monster trap?

Those are the 'easy' charts that are so hard to trade. Right now, it "feels" like the price has a good chance of breaking lower after the long trend and the current range. Many traders will jump the gun and enter way too early. Of course, the short breakout looks like a no-brainer after the fact. FOMO is causing losing traders to get in too early and the pros ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO XAUUSD, 240,
XAUUSD: Head and shoulders on Gold?
1106 1 22
XAUUSD, 240
Head and shoulders on Gold?

The S&P made a new all-time high but Gold is showing us an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, indicating more potential upside pressure. 1240 is the level bulls have to watch since the resistance could easily turn into a place for sellers to get interested again. The AUDNZD is following and showing a very similar pattern to the one on Gold.

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO GBPUSD, 240,
GBPUSD: Classic trend continuation waves + Fib target
914 2 32
GBPUSD, 240
Classic trend continuation waves + Fib target

Price moves in waves and the GBPUSD -0.08% shows that nicely. Always wait for the last low to break to get the confirmation and don't try to get in early before the low is broken or you risk running into a reversal. Always go WITH momentum. The move lower also coincides with a classic Fib target extension.

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO EURUSD, 60,
EURUSD: Head and shoulders - the best price action pattern? Yes!
1293 7 33
EURUSD, 60
Head and shoulders - the best price action pattern? Yes!

If you just learn one trading pattern, it must be the head and shoulders . I think there is really no other pattern that provides such a high probability opportunity. It appears on all markets and on all timeframes. In combination with a good neckline trendline , that's all you need.

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO NZDUSD, D,
NZDUSD: A chart that will kill you - NZDUSD
1460 8 35
NZDUSD, D
A chart that will kill you - NZDUSD

Dozens of people messaged me about the NZDUSD and when it's finally going to sell off!? My answer: I don't know and I don't care. As long as price keeps moving higher and is not able to make a new low, there is no reason whatsoever to short this. Of course, with all the rejections at the top, it does look tempting but I am 100% certain that many people lost A ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO NZDCHF, 240,
NZDCHF: Swing trading an patience! NZDCHF TL
792 10 23
NZDCHF, 240
Swing trading an patience! NZDCHF TL

As a swing trader, patience is your greatest asset - you need patience when mapping out a trade - patience waiting for the right setup - patience when you're in a trade - patience when it comes to taking profits I have been following the TL setup for days and it's still not giving up. Most people will short on the way up and realize so many losses that once the ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO NZDCAD, 240,
NZDCAD: NZDCAD at important stage - TL setup
887 4 36
NZDCAD, 240
NZDCAD at important stage - TL setup

The NZDCAD is approaching an important area where the trendline and the previous support/resistance meet. We are already seeing some strong selling momentum but as long as price keeps trading above the trendline, there is NO reason to short this. Once the trendline is broken, the short momentum could accelerate and lead to a new trend. It's just early Monday ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO AUDSGD, D, Long
AUDSGD: Is this it for AUDSGD?
573 3 20
AUDSGD, D Long
Is this it for AUDSGD?

I have been waiting weeks for this to happen and pointed this out to our pro members during this week's Sunday watchlist and yesterday in the forum. Retests often happen after strong breakouts. Price does not move in one single line so give it time to work out. The current momentum clearly indicates a shift in buyer-seller balance but price does move in waves and ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO EURNZD, D, Short
EURNZD: Classic short reversal - keep it simple
1211 4 22
EURNZD, D Short
Classic short reversal - keep it simple

Doesn't get simpler than this week's EUR/NZD short. It has all the things we need: fading momentum, an over-extended trend, a strong momentum move and a retest. Lots of pro members are in this already and we're up a lot. No need to make trading complicated... >> Create rules, stay patient and only wait for those A++ setups :) That's what we do day in and day out

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO EURCAD, 240, Education
EURCAD: Will EURCAD break down? The importance of patience
883 8 17
EURCAD, 240 Education
Will EURCAD break down? The importance of patience

The EURCAD is a prime example for how hard trading can be or for how hard traders make their own lifes'. I have been stalking this pair for a long time and there has never been a real signal to short. The uptrend-structure is beautiful above the 20 SMA. I have received many emails and messages where people shorted way too early without confirmation just because ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO USDWTI, 240,
USDWTI: Textbook H&S in the making on crude
905 6 23
USDWTI, 240
Textbook H&S in the making on crude

The pattern we see on Crude 4H right now is very close to a textbook H&S. The signal happened a little ahead of the 54 resistance but the overall chart context looks promising. A break below the neckline would seal the deal here. If the neckline holds, sellers have no right to be in this trade.

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO AUDCAD, D,
AUDCAD: Is this is for AUDCAD?
719 1 18
AUDCAD, D
Is this is for AUDCAD?

Are we seeing the momentum that we have been waiting for for so many days? 1.012 is the last support level that needs to be broken but recent momentum suggests that more bearishness is likely. We have seen one lower high (no lower low yet) and more bearishness than in the past few months. At the same time, this is becoming a crowded trade and many traders are ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO AUDCAD, D,
AUDCAD: $AUDCAD - Head and Shoulders about to form
713 0 25
AUDCAD, D
$AUDCAD - Head and Shoulders about to form

Right now, AUDCAD is trading in a no-trade zone which means that price is in a transition phase where the next phase is unknown. A bounce off the 1.015 could lead to another run into the highs. A break lower, however, could trigger a short trade here. Gold has already led the way lower but AUDCAD still managed to hold up here which is also something that means ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO XAUUSD, 240,
XAUUSD: $Gold - NOT a head and shoulders yet
858 4 23
XAUUSD, 240
$Gold - NOT a head and shoulders yet

Great example of why waiting for the momentum is so important. Right now, the trade plan makes sense from a technical perspective but as long as 1245 holds, there is no reason to sell. Price has bounces multiple times here. Price made a lower high but NOT a lower low yet and price is trading just at a previous market top. A break below 1245 could mean more ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO EURJPY, 240,
EURJPY: Testing the impatient - trendline break
1282 0 16
EURJPY, 240
Testing the impatient - trendline break

I had an early short on the break of the 20 SMA. Then closed it ahead of FOMC and now I am waiting for a new opportunity on the break of the trendline (how to draw trendlines: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jfdhIGoCIHg&t) Very technical behavior here and the sup/res levels are tested and retested nicely. This is a common pattern you will learn to trade in our ...

Tradeciety Tradeciety PRO NZDJPY, D,
NZDJPY: Retest + pinbar --> wait for momentum break
673 2 25
NZDJPY, D
Retest + pinbar --> wait for momentum break

It looks like NZD/JPY has put in a downtrend pattern now with lower lows and lower highs; previous sup/res areas get retested on the way down. Now all we need is a stronger momentum break lower to re-confirm the next downward-leg in the trend. Until then, just stay patient :)

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