Exsilium

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BITFINEX:BTCUSD 92% | 12 BTCE:BTCUSD 7% | 1
Exsilium Exsilium BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: Long Term Trend Reversal Potential
252 0 6
BTCUSD, D
Long Term Trend Reversal Potential

A break of 233 would violate the trend-line from the 3/10 304 high. Furthermore, a break of 240ish would violate the trend-line from the 11/13/14 475 high. Both are relatively close to each other and a break of the second could push price quickly to 290 to test the long term bearish trend-line from the ATH. This would signal a reversal of the long term trend and ...

Exsilium Exsilium BTCUSD, D, Short ,
BTCUSD: BTC-e 545 to 610, or 555 to 655 repeat? Either way, Short.
101 0 2
BTCUSD, D Short
BTC-e 545 to 610, or 555 to 655 repeat? Either way, Short.

Monthly Pivot - As you can see from both June and July, price respects the Monthly Pivot points. In June Monthly R1 provided resistance and it very nearly touched Monthly Pivot - In July it the Monthly Pivot provided very clear support, as strong as it was, when it did break it broke pretty hard. That said, the Monthly Pivot is now 605 and is only 0.30 above the ...

Exsilium Exsilium BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: Update: Confluence of Support to 720 Target
240 1 7
BTCUSD, D Long
Update: Confluence of Support to 720 Target

see chart for notes - updated with a couple bullish signal confirmation signal areas and refined the precision of the graph as a whole. will be looking for a target of R2 642 today as PA targets the last swing high. Pivot 625 should retain support status with an absolute bottom of 620 by the end of the daily bar to maintain bullish long-term channel previous ...

Exsilium Exsilium BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: Slight Adjustment to 720, now 730, Target
152 0 1
BTCUSD, D Long
Slight Adjustment to 720, now 730, Target

see chart for details

Exsilium Exsilium BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: A more precise projection
159 3 4
BTCUSD, D Long
A more precise projection

I wanted to put my notes ON the actual chart pointing to important lines and areas. If you like this presentation better than explaining everything below the chart please let me know.

Exsilium Exsilium BTCUSD, D, Long ,
BTCUSD: Bottom Channel is Approaching - Targets
147 0 4
BTCUSD, D Long
Bottom Channel is Approaching - Targets

After studying the pattern in this channel I determined that the angle of rebound from the bottom channel line resulted in a 57-77 degree advance, with 60 degrees being the average. Assuming we stay flat in a 10-20 range we will hit bottom channel on 7/18. The rebound from there should take us to 730 at the mid-line, which has provided resistance/support 3 times ...

Exsilium Exsilium BTCUSD, 60, Long ,
BTCUSD: Next Leg Up Coming Soon to a Chart Near You
71 4 2
BTCUSD, 60 Long
Next Leg Up Coming Soon to a Chart Near You

Price was neatly rejected at R1 642 and has since retraced back to P 629 which is also the 0.5 fib retrace point. The 1H MACD is rising, with Fisher below 3. Occilators are neutral which provides enough energy for another push up. I picked up a new Indicator published by LazyBear which you can see at the bottom of my chart. In addition to the Impulse ...

Exsilium Exsilium BTCUSD, 15, Long ,
BTCUSD: Pre-Auction Results Notes
126 1 1
BTCUSD, 15 Long
Pre-Auction Results Notes

Review: Yesterday price was contained by R1 and S1 as expected, even with the breach of P early in the day. Late in the day price made another attempt to breach the previous high of 607 but was denied. As explained earlier, price will sometimes oscillate around P when the market is undecided and that is very much the case as you and I wait for the results from the ...

Exsilium Exsilium BTCUSD, 15, Long ,
BTCUSD: To The Moon Redux
44 0 0
BTCUSD, 15 Long
To The Moon Redux

After breaching P earlier and heading to R1 only to retrace to P I figure its a good time for an update. As stated in the previous Idea, I think price will be contained for the day between S1 and R1. With the breach of P upside we have established a bullish signal and it is entirely possible we will stretch past R1 to RM2 at 608. However, with a 500 ask wall on ...

Exsilium Exsilium BTCUSD, 15,
BTCUSD: Lines of the Day 6/28
64 1 0
BTCUSD, 15
Lines of the Day 6/28

Pivot range has decreased which is indicative of less PA range potential for the day - Price is currently under P, but has touched several times off SM1 which may provide the support for another wave up - However it should be noted that it is rare for price to rise above P if it starts out below it. I am expecting a tight range bounded by S1 and R1 excluding any ...

Exsilium Exsilium BTCUSD, 15,
BTCUSD: The Moon is Up
34 0 2
BTCUSD, 15
The Moon is Up

After the dip an hour or so ago (see previous chart), that was half the volume of the previous dip and with no follow through, the price rebounded to a new high smashing through the R1 Barrier that had proved solid resistance for several hours and is currently straining to hit R2 at 597.23. It is very unlikely that we will make it to R3 before the next daily bar, ...

Exsilium Exsilium BTCUSD, 15,
BTCUSD: Near Term Support For R1 Retrace
23 0 0
BTCUSD, 15
Near Term Support For R1 Retrace

After an extended failure to push through R1 @ 589 look for a retrace to P @ 576 which provided reliable support twice through the day. Failure of P would suggest potential near term reversal.

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