FernandoHilario

FernandoHilario

Baseado na análise do Canal Trinus Global, de Jonas Fagá Jr.

FernandoHilario

Chart showing lead time between the curve inversion and the start of the stock market crashes along the time. Longest lead time was around 760 days (+2 years) Shortest lead time was 4-5 months. Consider a 6 months as a rule for your readiness: - Build up cash reserves. - Partial sells of variable income equities (stocks, crypto, etc). - From 4-6 months forward,...

FernandoHilario

The clear inverse relationship between T-Bills and its yield curve.

FernandoHilario

SLB Bull Call Spread 32.5/35 Expiration date: 21/01/2021

FernandoHilario

KHC Bull Call Spread 40/42.50 Expiration date: 21/01/2021

FernandoHilario

Bought PUT, strike 85, IV 76% Sold PUT, strike 80, IV 82% Exp. date: 17/12/2021 IVx = 31% IV30 = 27%

FernandoHilario

Amount: 2.71 Price: 80 On 18/05/2021 to 24/05/2021

FernandoHilario

Amount: 0.5 Price: 146 On 24/05/2021

FernandoHilario

Amount: 2.10 Price: 222 On 17/05/2021 to 24/05/2021

FernandoHilario

Amount: 40 Acquisition price: 6.20 On 13/05/2021 to 24/05/2021

FernandoHilario

Amount bought: 10 Acquisition price: 4.29 On 24/05/2021

FernandoHilario

Covid crash movement x this week's crash. Same intesity. Intense purchases made by me. Let's see what it is to happen afterwards.

FernandoHilario

Gold has just reached the Fibo 23.6% retracement area. Oscilators indicate no divergence for now. Price may continue to go up until $2.100, where it shall find some resistance.

FernandoHilario

The US dollar keeps climbing its way to the next resistance around R$6.00, but I believe it will slow down a little bit before reaching this point. My general view is one of a rise in the price.

FernandoHilario

The US Dollar has reached and overcome the first projected resistence around R$5.30. It seems like its going to keep rising till the region of R$6.00, where it is going to retract to R$5.30 tops. On the other hand if this recent overcoming fails, the US Dollar may retreat back to the next support around R$4.80. What do you think? Does it make sense for you?

FernandoHilario

The USD has reached a strong resistance once again. Besides, the USD price has gone too far from the EMA200, there we can say the USD has become 'expensive'. To enforce my short-term bearish view, comes the divergence between the price direction and both MACD and RSI. That's a strong indication that this bullish move has exhausted its strenght during its...

FernandoHilario

After the US Dollar has reached the last resistance around R$4.25, it has gone through a strong correction, slowing down exactly at EMA200. It is clear for us Brazilians that we have now a very good opportunity to buy more US Dollars to add to our greater Portfolio allocation.

FernandoHilario

Price moving around the last channel support and Fibonacci's 38,20% resistance. No indications from the moving average. Next support zones around: U$6,400 / U$5,400