Filipo1

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About me I used to be indecisive but now... I am not so sure.
Joined Geneva, Switzerland
Markets Allocation
75 % forex 25 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USDJPY 13% | 7 EURUSD 11% | 6 AUDUSD 9% | 5 GBPUSD 9% | 5
Filipo1 Filipo1 GBPUSD, 240,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD H4: beware of this flag...
34 0 5
GBPUSD, 240
GBPUSD H4: beware of this flag...

If EUR tumbles on Monday's opening due to French presidential election 1st round's outome there are chances for GBP to be heavily bought.

Filipo1 Filipo1 EURAUD, D, Short ,
EURAUD: Potential bearish Kumo breakout on EURAUD daily.
6 0 4
EURAUD, D Short
Potential bearish Kumo breakout on EURAUD daily.

-Chikou Span below historic closes = bearish -Tenkan Sen crossed below Kijun Sen = bearish Indicators: RSI below 50, Stochastic in oversold territory. Pattern: H&S. Weekly check-list: -Price action below the cloud in bearish territory -Chikou Span below historic closes = bearish -Tenkan Sen below Kijun Sen = bearish -Last CS closed below Tenkan Sen = ...

Filipo1 Filipo1 XAUUSD, W, Long ,
XAUUSD: XAUUSD: potential Kumo breakout on the weekly.
44 0 4
XAUUSD, W Long
XAUUSD: potential Kumo breakout on the weekly.

-Chikou Span: ok -Tenkan/Kijun cross: ok -Stochastic: ok Watch for potential Kumo/resistance line breakout/retracement.

Filipo1 Filipo1 AUDJPY, D, Short ,
AUDJPY: AUDJPY bearish signals.
34 1 5
AUDJPY, D Short
AUDJPY bearish signals.

1) Price action rejected from the Fibonacci 50% retracement zone of the long-term downtrend that started on 21Nov2014. 2) Regular bearish divergence with RSI, which just crossed below the 50 line. 3) last daily candlestick broke short-term support line. As far as pacific currencies are concerned and moreover JPY I always check Ichimoku for confirmation. For the ...

Filipo1 Filipo1 NZDJPY, D, Short ,
NZDJPY: Short on close below 80.000.
32 0 3
NZDJPY, D Short
Short on close below 80.000.

View supported by Ichimoku 1D and H4 https://www.tradingview.com/x/2NhZfajd/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/1rpWxj3E/

Filipo1 Filipo1 SUGARUSD, D, Short ,
SUGARUSD: Sugar: short on clear break of 0.2000.
26 0 4
SUGARUSD, D Short
Sugar: short on clear break of 0.2000.

View supported by Ichimoku 1D and H4. https://www.tradingview.com/x/0ZWIFIcc/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/BQHyIQBI/

Filipo1 Filipo1 WHEATUSD, W, Short ,
WHEATUSD: Wheat: bearish hidden divergence.
26 0 3
WHEATUSD, W Short
Wheat: bearish hidden divergence.

Bollinger bands breakout with shooting star on weekly timeframe (similar bearish breakout already confirmed on the daily). BB are going wider after squeeze = increased volatility ahead = potential sharp reversal.

Filipo1 Filipo1 USOIL, 240, Short ,
USOIL: WTI: when  support becomes resistance... on a rising wedge =:(
61 0 5
USOIL, 240 Short
WTI: when support becomes resistance... on a rising wedge =:(

What do we have here? Price action below the Kumo, Tenkan Sen having crossed below Kijun Sen and the cherry on the cake... Chikou Span of course below historic candles!

Filipo1 Filipo1 USOIL, 60,
USOIL: WTI: possible reversal on 61.8% Fibo.
73 0 5
USOIL, 60
WTI: possible reversal on 61.8% Fibo.

Does that retracement even makes sense...?

Filipo1 Filipo1 AUDCAD, D, Long ,
AUDCAD: AUDCAD: inverse head & shoulders
17 0 3
AUDCAD, D Long
AUDCAD: inverse head & shoulders

Good support from rising Bollinger middle band so far. On Ichimoku a bit the same as my view of JPY earlier today: good support from Kumo / Fibonacci confluence ( see below) https://www.tradingview.com/x/54hSKeDK/

Filipo1 Filipo1 USDJPY, W, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY: Cup-and-Handle.
47 0 3
USDJPY, W Long
USDJPY: Cup-and-Handle.

No additional comment except the Tenkan-Kijun crossover now confirmed as price action is taking place over the Kumo.

Filipo1 Filipo1 EURUSD, 60, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD: H&S on H1
36 0 4
EURUSD, 60 Short
EURUSD: H&S on H1

To take with a pinch of salt as these famous patterns are less and less reliable...

Filipo1 Filipo1 XAUUSD, D, Short ,
XAUUSD: Gold: tough resistance at 1230.
86 0 7
XAUUSD, D Short
Gold: tough resistance at 1230.

Despite the piercing of the lower bound of the Kumo on the weekly chart with a bullish engulfing candle, Chikou Span is still way below historic candles and we have a bearish twist ahead. Here on the daily price action is still within the Kumo supposedly at equilibrium. Now that FOMC and NFP are behind us will the Trump-o-nomics sustain a Kumo breakout for Gold? ...

Filipo1 Filipo1 USOIL, D, Long ,
USOIL: WTI: bullish consolidation.
47 0 2
USOIL, D Long
WTI: bullish consolidation.

Price action is maintaining above the Kumo since December on the daily, and we just had a Tenkan-Kijun upward cross. However the Chikou Span is barely above historic candles and has to be monitored to confirm the bullish signal. Of course a lot will depend on how well optimism about OPEC production cuts will continue to offset DOE increasing stockpiles reports.

Filipo1 Filipo1 GBPNZD, W, Short ,
GBPNZD: GBPNZD: bearish from M1 to H1...
48 0 4
GBPNZD, W Short
GBPNZD: bearish from M1 to H1...

After a short break of the flat Tenkan Sen last week's candlestick closed lower than the Jan 09. Overall landscape stays bearish as price action remains below the Kumo and the Chikou Span below historic candles on all timeframes from monthly to hourly. The proximity of the Kijun Sen on the weekly supports the probability of the continuation of the downtrend.

Filipo1 Filipo1 EURUSD, W, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD: limited upside potential (bis)
58 0 5
EURUSD, W Short
EURUSD: limited upside potential (bis)

This time with a better Fibonacci plotting starting mid of August 2016. Same comment as my former post 5 hours ago approx.except for Kijun at 1.0853 now matching unbroken 50% retracement. In addition we now have projected Senkou Span B matching 61.8% retracement and Senkou Span A... 38.2% . Just another example of the multiple confluences between Ichimoku and ...

Filipo1 Filipo1 EURUSD, W, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD: limited upside potential.
67 0 5
EURUSD, W Short
EURUSD: limited upside potential.

On the daily we have: 1) Chikou Span above historic candles but below the Kumo. 2) Tenkan-Kijun cross upward but below the Kumo, so a moderate signal. 3) last candlesticks unable to break the Kumo after rejection down from Senkou Span B which as a matter of fact matches 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the downtrend in place since May 2016. On the weekly Ichimoku ...

Filipo1 Filipo1 GBPUSD, D, Long ,
GBPUSD: GBPUSD: moderate bullish view on daily.
30 0 5
GBPUSD, D Long
GBPUSD: moderate bullish view on daily.

We could re-visit the 1.2750 but then a lot will depend on the central banks discourse this week.

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