Moshkelgosha

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25% decline in less than 2 months for NFLX is not what many people expected, but option data suggest more volatile days ahead. Looking at the options date for the next 4 weeks, you can see 1.37 Put/Call ratio which is very high and indicate more bearish momentum! Option wall:400-580 Maxpain: 550 Be careful with the earning in the next 8 days! The big question...

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My answer to this question is: No this is not a good time and we are going to see lower prices in the next 2 weeks and then there could be recovery! 50 days rate of change is negative and SPY seems rejected from 50 days EMA. Most probable scenario: another leg of decline in the next week: You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red...

Moshkelgosha

On December 20, 2021, I published one article and discussed shorting Rivian could be the most profitable in comparison to shorting Tesla or Lucid..! As you can see in the one month, RIVN is -26.49%..! While Tesla is up 8.74 and Lucid is up 1.6%. I always said there are opportunities in any market if you are keen to find them, your trading mindset should be...

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Fear of stock market crash and Inflation push commodities higher and higher! Silver price experienced an 8.6% gain in the past month and this will not be the end of the story! My forecast is a 15-30% gain for silver in 2022! which is above the index funds! (10-15%) However, I like the yellow shiny metal more..! and physical is superior to paper..! ETFs have...

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Breaking below the 167 level could push apple prices to 150-155 level..! If you are looking at the chart from Time cycle and price point of view the last hour of today's market is very important! Watch it closely for price action! You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a...

Moshkelgosha

I learned technical analysis on Gold, and I can say there is no chart in the world that I looked at more than the gold chart..! I have published more than 109 Tesla analyses, 92 bitcoin, 80 S&P, and 65 NADAQ100 in the past few months! In 2022 all the markets were red except Gold and energy! Now you see why I chose the gold chart for my happy new year message to...

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Part one: April 2020 to February 2021: ARKK outperform NASDAQ 100: While ARKK gained 289%, NASDAQ 100 gained 84% in the same time frame! Part two: Feb 2021 to Jan 2022: While ARKK has lost more than 51% Nasdaq 100 gained +9.7% Part three: March 2020 to Jan 2022: ARKK gained 102% while NASDAQ 100 outperform with a 116% gain in the same time frame! Part 4:...

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Today We can say a Rectangular Top pattern has been confirmed and small-cap will experience another 10-15% decline! This is the lowest level since Jan 29th, 2021. This could happen very fast in the next 2-6 weeks! TZA (Small-cap 3x inverse ETF) volume doubled in volume in the past 3 months, and could go up to 37-42 levels! You can see the most important...

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In this analysis, I will try to cover the different possibilities for NASDAQ 100: Since we have not seen a lower low in the weekly chart, we can assume this could be a correction! Scenario A: Closing below the bullish channel could lead to a decline equal to the width of the former bullish channel: In 5 weeks we will see another 8% decline (total 16.5% from...

Moshkelgosha

As you can see in the charts lower prices are very likely in these 4 EV chargers companies..! You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance...

Moshkelgosha

Pandemic + jet fuel prices + selling pressure will take a toll on the airlines! In these weekly charts, it is clear that major airlines already are in a Downward channel, and they will retest their previous supports which could be another 10-15% correction in the coming weeks! You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line)...

Moshkelgosha

It seems Banks will correct in the coming days..! Considering their weight it will affect the S&P 500 and Dow! You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m...

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Smart money sell-off before earnings! Looking at charts and the option data I'm convinced a c10% correction is imminent! You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer....

Moshkelgosha

The Russell 2000 Index is a small-cap stock market index that makes up the smallest 2,000 stocks in the Russell 3000 Index. It was started by the Frank Russell Company in 1984. The index is maintained by FTSE Russell, a subsidiary of the London Stock Exchange Group. As you can see in this chart Small caps had a sinewave pattern in the past trading year, anytime...

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One of the best methods to do analysis on any asset is comparing the current situation with the previous behavior of the same asset! Having said that, Let's review the previous 3 corrections: 1-Sep 9th to Nov 12, 2021: 2-April 29 to May 20, 2021: 3- Feb 16 to March 25, 2021 As you can see there are similarities between the current chart pattern and...

Moshkelgosha

Correction in the market usually has complex patterns! I think from a price action point of view, there is a very good chance we see a bounce in the Tech sector in the next 2 weeks! Option data analysis:(These data needs to be updated everyday) Put/Call OI: 2.13 for the next month Option wall: 370-400 Maximum pain: 385 Forecasts for Giant Tech companies, based...

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These days everyone talks about inflation, Hyperinflation, Stagflation,..etc. You may want to know how you could protect yourself in the high inflation era? What would be the best assets? What are the measures governments would take to control inflation? What is the definition of Inflation, Hyperinflation, Stagflation? What history tells us about high...

Moshkelgosha

My answer to this question is No ..! Although this is one of the worst months ever for NASDAQ since 2010: we have had 14 months with lower performances, such as September 2021 and September 2020..! Monitoring the past 4 corrections since the pandemic clearly shows a correction between -7.7% and -11.9% could be considered as normal behavior in the...