OvidiuPublius

OvidiuPublius

BTC long setup I like the RR here nothing to fancy just a long based on PA

OvidiuPublius

Previous 2 expansion periods BTC did: 18x during the 2015-2017 expansion and then a 4x during the 2018-2020 for the 2023-2024 expansion cycle a 2x puts BTC at 122k and a 3x at 177k

OvidiuPublius

Going by the last move up on GETTEX:TAO after the first impulse in the 2-2.618 it retraced about 20% before going for a second run. 5.618 extension gets it to 1325 by the end of March. If that happens or not I have my bags and not selling until 2025 and beyond.

OvidiuPublius Updated 

This is probably the bit weird one but here it goes. Case 1: KAS looks to be in the timing bad of where a low is put in and in case we are there then I would target the 0.4-0.5 area for the next top. Case 2: If however price decides to do go deeper for a 50% or 70% retrace then I would lower the next ATH target to about 0.2 area. Looking at the history we have...

OvidiuPublius

Long term play for the bullrun Not going to take it since I need the capital but on a perps would have been perfect setup

OvidiuPublius

Given the already significant market cap of BTC and the taking into account previous halvings performance if BTC were to respect and asymptotic curve and price at halving would be 30k then we can reasonably expect an ATH of about USD 170.000 per 1 BTC around 1st August 2025. This will be updated as we move closer to the halving.

OvidiuPublius

Some data based on previous KAS cycles: - there were 3 types of corrections: 30% 50% and 70% - 70% corrections were after new ATH was established - duration of correction is between 6 days to 51 days for 70% Based on current PA: - if this is the 30% type of correction than 0.036 would be the low and we would finish the correction this week - if this is the 50%...

OvidiuPublius

Trading in a range between range high at 18 and 12-10 as range lows, 2 scenarios: is that we get one or more stabs into demand 10-12 area and we go for the liquidity at range highs 18 where we either go for higher targets or dump back down (depends very much on BTC and overall crypto env.) - green scenario or we get lower and tap into demand area around 8-7$ where...

OvidiuPublius

Good chance to test 50% retracement from ATH around 0.7 and make a low there, not sure which will come first, the low at 0.7$ or the retest of 1$, red and blue scenarios I think are equally probable at this point.

OvidiuPublius

Measured moves and similar fractal to January - February move. Looking for 32500 as an area where to TP some of my alt bags

OvidiuPublius Updated 

Shorting BTC and expecting a bottom around 21 March FOMC All pumps are for shorting. Good luck

OvidiuPublius Updated 

Started to build a swing short on ETH Going to add on the way up, only a 2R at the moment. Invalidation D1 close above 1900.

OvidiuPublius Updated 

Shorting the jpeg casino Not the best place to short so only doing half size

OvidiuPublius

Short the EV ponzi... Consistent with risk off environment seen across the board.

OvidiuPublius

I am expecting a massive pump and dump on BTC and all the crypto market. BTC levels are 26788 & 27419 which constitute potential targets where I would look to TP majority of my bags and wait and see what happens afterwards.

OvidiuPublius

I like LUNC chart, no clue about any FA, guess I would like to have a position before scam season is in full force

OvidiuPublius

Starting an ETH swing short, again. Stop loss not clear yet, this is just a a starter position, that if it gets stopped out I will look to short again.

OvidiuPublius

Good place to hedge now Either by at least taking profits or just shorting some weaker alts.