SMK83

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About me I am a long term oriented Investor and I am basing my investment decisions on my analysis of the current position of the Kondratieff Cycle. I created a publicly available wikifolio where I am testing this strategy with an unfalsifiable track record.
Joined Germany WFLONGWAVE
Markets Allocation
100 % indices
Top Mentioned Symbols
HUI 66% | 2 DJI 33% | 1
SMK83 SMK83 HUI, W, Long ,
HUI: Gold Bugs Index possibly at Wave 3 up at all degrees of trend.
100 1 3
HUI, W Long
Gold Bugs Index possibly at Wave 3 up at all degrees of trend.

Due to our position in the Kondratjew Cycle, I believe that the start of a multi year bull market for the gold miners is imminent. We are close to the final leg down in the real interest rate which will bottom out at the end of our current K-Cycle which will coincide with a secular low in the Dow/Gold Ratio and a corresponding high with the gold price.

SMK83 SMK83 DJI, M, Short ,
DJI: Dow Jones Long Term Kondratieff View
752 2 12
DJI, M Short
Dow Jones Long Term Kondratieff View

This is a long term chart of the Dow Jones Industrials Index showing the 4 different Kondratieff seasons (Spring, Summer, Autumn, Winter). Spring and Autumn are secular bull markets and Summer and Winter are secular bear markets. I reckon that the Winter bear market will take stocks down to about 4000 points and Gold to about 6000 USD/oz. This would result in a ...

SMK83 SMK83 HUI, M, Long ,
HUI: HUI Index long term secular bull market
166 0 5
HUI, M Long
HUI Index long term secular bull market

I believe that the Goldminers (and Gold) entered a secular bull market in 2000 right after the tech bubble burst. This event marked the beginning of the ongoing Kondratieff Winter, which is a big bull market for Gold and Goldstocks.

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