docibby

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About me Blue Chips & Global Brands as core holding, ETFs and Options as tactical risk management.
Joined Germany
Momentum stocks, motif investing, themes and mega-trends...
Markets Allocation
44 % stocks 17 % forex 39 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
DE30EUR 8% | 9 DXY 7% | 8 AAPL 6% | 7 AXP 3% | 4
docibby docibby DE30EUR, 240,
DE30EUR: Ger30 - wait for breakdown
48 0 2
DE30EUR, 240
Ger30 - wait for breakdown

We could see an attempt to break above the sideways range, wait for a break down below this range ( preferably on Daily and Weekly ) before going short.

docibby docibby EURUSD, 720, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD - fake move out of cloud higher, no stable bullish trend.
147 2 5
EURUSD, 720 Short
EURUSD - fake move out of cloud higher, no stable bullish trend.

EURUSD bulls might have to exercise patience, especially if the Dollar DXY does indeed move higher.

docibby docibby DXY, 720, Long ,
DXY: DXY - make or break time, watch for EURUSD etc
60 0 3
DXY, 720 Long
DXY - make or break time, watch for EURUSD etc

If we see that price holds above the cloud then a further bullish move higher could follow, see targets on chart. This might be bearish for EURUSD, Gold and Silver.

docibby docibby DE30EUR, 720, Long ,
DE30EUR: GE30 - could start bullish move after fake drop in Ichi cloud
46 1 5
DE30EUR, 720 Long
GE30 - could start bullish move after fake drop in Ichi cloud

If we do see a recovery after the selloff then today would be an opportunity. US Indices show similar recovery mode.

docibby docibby USDJPY, D,
USDJPY: USDJPY - critical level decides if price moves higher.
37 0 6
USDJPY, D
USDJPY - critical level decides if price moves higher.

You can see the down sloping trend line capping price and a very important horizontal area. Note how there was already 1 attempt to break higher ( sign of strength ). I will be watching this area and wait for confirmation.

docibby docibby AAPL, D,
AAPL: AAPL - watch area 151.17 - 152.00
44 0 3
AAPL, D
AAPL - watch area 151.17 - 152.00

Watching this area, if the recent rise was just corrective we could see significant downside until Sept / Oct. Cautious investors might wait until Earning release on August 1st.

docibby docibby MSFT, D,
MSFT: MSFT - bullish bounce from ascending trend....
53 0 3
MSFT, D
MSFT - bullish bounce from ascending trend....

We can see that price bounced from this ascending trend line, but I still expect a Summer correction - watch the growing bearish divergence and signs of weakness ( watch weekly chart as reference ).

docibby docibby DE30EUR, W,
DE30EUR: GER30 - indecision, effort versus result....
82 0 5
DE30EUR, W
GER30 - indecision, effort versus result....

Just a big picture look at the recent weekly action - despite the bullish engulfing candle you can see how price fails to make new highs. We might see an end of trend developing here, but I would wait with going short until the current candle turns decisively bearish ( red ). I am looking for a summer retreat to first target 12.400,00 approximately. Wait for ...

docibby docibby DE30EUR, 60, Short ,
DE30EUR: GER30 1hr - possible Wolfe wave idea....., stay short.
103 0 3
DE30EUR, 60 Short
GER30 1hr - possible Wolfe wave idea....., stay short.

Just as a very speculative idea to keep in the back of your mind - classic Wolfe Waves usually work out better on higher time frames, but let`s watch how far this moves.

docibby docibby USDCHF, 240, Long ,
USDCHF: USDCHF 4hr chart - very much oversold, look for bounce.
17 0 4
USDCHF, 240 Long
USDCHF 4hr chart - very much oversold, look for bounce.

Compare with EURUSD and DXY, I think it could correct higher.....

docibby docibby EURUSD, 60, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD 1hr chart - at top of supply area.
20 0 3
EURUSD, 60 Short
EURUSD 1hr chart - at top of supply area.

Price has reached the top supply level, I expect some kind of correction lower.

docibby docibby US30USD, 240,
US30USD: US30 - 4h chart - target achieved, could correct lower now.
66 0 2
US30USD, 240
US30 - 4h chart - target achieved, could correct lower now.

Price moved to the initial supply level, which looks like the ultimate " gap fill " of this complex pattern. Cautious short possible, or wait for confirmation ( see level on chart ).

docibby docibby AAPL, D,
AAPL: AAPL - topping action to fill gap......wait.
40 0 3
AAPL, D
AAPL - topping action to fill gap......wait.

I repeat my call to watch out here ! As we all know, the tech stocks and Nasdaq100 are holding the market up - once this is finished we should start a correction lower. With Apple I still see only topping activity such as filling the last gaps etc. ( just like in QQQ from the Wednesday gap ). Only a strong buying impulse above 155.00 USD, - accompanied with ...

docibby docibby VALE, W, Long ,
VALE: VALE - weekly chart still looks promising.
38 0 7
VALE, W Long
VALE - weekly chart still looks promising.

If you zoom out you can see the decline that VALE went through - I can imagine that further gains here are very well possible, even just as some sort of reverse to mean / fair value.

docibby docibby BUND, 720, Long ,
BUND: BUND 12h chart - risk-off mode supports next leg higher
70 0 6
BUND, 720 Long
BUND 12h chart - risk-off mode supports next leg higher

We had the Manchester terror attack overnight and Indices seem to continue with their correction mode. This is basically risk-off mode in early Europe trade environment, BUND should gain a bit short-term. Long-term I see downwards traction, but I`ll provide a big picture chart for that later. Other alternatives in risk-off mode : GER30 ( DAX ) short EURUSD ...

docibby docibby DXY, 720, Short ,
DXY: DXY - still short, but watch for support soon.
40 0 5
DXY, 720 Short
DXY - still short, but watch for support soon.

We have something like a preliminary break down, but still no macro bearish dollar until further levels broken. See chart. Careful with EURUSD longs now !

docibby docibby AAPL, 240, Short ,
AAPL: AAPL 4hr chart - Trend Correction possible
62 0 7
AAPL, 240 Short
AAPL 4hr chart - Trend Correction possible

I am watching tech stocks closely, as they had been holding the market up. AAPL = Indicator divergences ( bearish ) and a tentative trend change in Heikin Ashi candlesticks signals a possible correction lower. No serious going short unless we have a daily close below 150.00 USD. Watch the effect on XLK and NAS100 as well.

docibby docibby DE30EUR, 240, Short ,
DE30EUR: DAX30 // 4hr - short possible
68 0 4
DE30EUR, 240 Short
DAX30 // 4hr - short possible

Watch BUND as well.....if BUND is aggressively bought, then it is early warning for a more serious drop in DAX / GER30

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