docibby

PRO
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About me Blue Chips & Global Brands as core holding, ETFs and Options as tactical risk management.
Joined Germany
Momentum stocks, motif investing, themes and mega-trends...
Markets Allocation
45 % stocks 17 % forex 39 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
DXY 6% | 7 DE30EUR 6% | 7 AAPL 5% | 6 AXP 3% | 4
docibby docibby PRO DE30EUR, W,
DE30EUR: GER30 - indecision, effort versus result....
75 0 6
DE30EUR, W
GER30 - indecision, effort versus result....

Just a big picture look at the recent weekly action - despite the bullish engulfing candle you can see how price fails to make new highs. We might see an end of trend developing here, but I would wait with going short until the current candle turns decisively bearish ( red ). I am looking for a summer retreat to first target 12.400,00 approximately. Wait for ...

docibby docibby PRO DE30EUR, 60, Short ,
DE30EUR: GER30 1hr - possible Wolfe wave idea....., stay short.
95 0 4
DE30EUR, 60 Short
GER30 1hr - possible Wolfe wave idea....., stay short.

Just as a very speculative idea to keep in the back of your mind - classic Wolfe Waves usually work out better on higher time frames, but let`s watch how far this moves.

docibby docibby PRO USDCHF, 240, Long ,
USDCHF: USDCHF 4hr chart - very much oversold, look for bounce.
14 0 5
USDCHF, 240 Long
USDCHF 4hr chart - very much oversold, look for bounce.

Compare with EURUSD and DXY, I think it could correct higher.....

docibby docibby PRO EURUSD, 60, Short ,
EURUSD: EURUSD 1hr chart - at top of supply area.
19 0 4
EURUSD, 60 Short
EURUSD 1hr chart - at top of supply area.

Price has reached the top supply level, I expect some kind of correction lower.

docibby docibby PRO US30USD, 240,
US30USD: US30 - 4h chart - target achieved, could correct lower now.
61 0 3
US30USD, 240
US30 - 4h chart - target achieved, could correct lower now.

Price moved to the initial supply level, which looks like the ultimate " gap fill " of this complex pattern. Cautious short possible, or wait for confirmation ( see level on chart ).

docibby docibby PRO AAPL, D,
AAPL: AAPL - topping action to fill gap......wait.
37 0 4
AAPL, D
AAPL - topping action to fill gap......wait.

I repeat my call to watch out here ! As we all know, the tech stocks and Nasdaq100 are holding the market up - once this is finished we should start a correction lower. With Apple I still see only topping activity such as filling the last gaps etc. ( just like in QQQ from the Wednesday gap ). Only a strong buying impulse above 155.00 USD, - accompanied with ...

docibby docibby PRO VALE, W, Long ,
VALE: VALE - weekly chart still looks promising.
33 0 7
VALE, W Long
VALE - weekly chart still looks promising.

If you zoom out you can see the decline that VALE went through - I can imagine that further gains here are very well possible, even just as some sort of reverse to mean / fair value.

docibby docibby PRO BUND, 720, Long ,
BUND: BUND 12h chart - risk-off mode supports next leg higher
61 0 6
BUND, 720 Long
BUND 12h chart - risk-off mode supports next leg higher

We had the Manchester terror attack overnight and Indices seem to continue with their correction mode. This is basically risk-off mode in early Europe trade environment, BUND should gain a bit short-term. Long-term I see downwards traction, but I`ll provide a big picture chart for that later. Other alternatives in risk-off mode : GER30 ( DAX ) short EURUSD ...

docibby docibby PRO DXY, 720, Short ,
DXY: DXY - still short, but watch for support soon.
38 0 6
DXY, 720 Short
DXY - still short, but watch for support soon.

We have something like a preliminary break down, but still no macro bearish dollar until further levels broken. See chart. Careful with EURUSD longs now !

docibby docibby PRO AAPL, 240, Short ,
AAPL: AAPL 4hr chart - Trend Correction possible
59 0 8
AAPL, 240 Short
AAPL 4hr chart - Trend Correction possible

I am watching tech stocks closely, as they had been holding the market up. AAPL = Indicator divergences ( bearish ) and a tentative trend change in Heikin Ashi candlesticks signals a possible correction lower. No serious going short unless we have a daily close below 150.00 USD. Watch the effect on XLK and NAS100 as well.

docibby docibby PRO DE30EUR, 240, Short ,
DE30EUR: DAX30 // 4hr - short possible
67 0 5
DE30EUR, 240 Short
DAX30 // 4hr - short possible

Watch BUND as well.....if BUND is aggressively bought, then it is early warning for a more serious drop in DAX / GER30

docibby docibby PRO BUND, 240, Long ,
BUND: BUND 4h LONG
22 0 4
BUND, 240 Long
BUND 4h LONG

Price could find new demand here, big players will seek protection in case of a " sell in May " correction

docibby docibby PRO AUDUSD, 240, Long ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD 4h : rebound LONG
30 0 5
AUDUSD, 240 Long
AUDUSD 4h : rebound LONG

Have a look at the weekly chart first, there we have a big sideways action and NO break higher ( whereas we DO have breakouts higher in EURUSD and GBPUSD ). Some analysts are even seeing AUDUSD at 0.6500 and lower ( break down ). However, we have to watch DXY ( Dollar Index ). If there is a SUBSTANTIAL break lower below the 93.00 level, we could see AUDUSD break ...

docibby docibby PRO DE30EUR, W,
DE30EUR: DAX / GER30 - weekly view ( for options and warrants ).
44 0 4
DE30EUR, W
DAX / GER30 - weekly view ( for options and warrants ).

Most basic Fib tool applied - under the speculative assumption that this advance from Feb 2016 was corrective ( in the big picture view ). Careful, this is just an idea we have to keep in the back of our mind, price could just as well have another advance above the yearly high - before a typical Summer correction ( " sell in May " idea ). Main point I want to ...

docibby docibby PRO EURJPY, W, Short ,
EURJPY: EURJPY weekly chart - maybe in 5th wave ?
36 0 5
EURJPY, W Short
EURJPY weekly chart - maybe in 5th wave ?

Look for lower levels if price is not able to stabilise on Daily...here are some medium-term support levels to keep in mind.

docibby docibby PRO DE30EUR, 720,
DE30EUR: DAX 12h chart shows " Trump " trend line....
74 0 4
DE30EUR, 720
DAX 12h chart shows " Trump " trend line....

If we do correct lower in to April : watch the break of this ascending trend line first. Especially important as horizontal upper / lower boundaries : Top : 12326.9 Bottom ( below that = back to 10800 ) : 11563.8

docibby docibby PRO DE30EUR, 240,
DE30EUR: DE30 4h chart pattern - be careful.
77 0 7
DE30EUR, 240
DE30 4h chart pattern - be careful.

Just highlighting a possible topping pattern nearing completion.

docibby docibby PRO DE30EUR, D, Short ,
DE30EUR: GER30 - retest of breakout in play.
35 0 2
DE30EUR, D Short
GER30 - retest of breakout in play.

Price was capped at around the 11900 area, the exaggerated and very fast rise has to be retested. I will be watching this inflection point ( see chart ). A failure to hold in this 11460 -11530 area makes it possible to drop even further ( prior breakout higher area = 10800-10821 )

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US DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEX
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