What is "Market Capitulation I"? By definition, capitulation means to surrender or give up. In financial circles, this term is used to indicate the point in time when investors have decided to give up on trying to recapture lost gains as a result of falling stock prices. Suppose a stock you own has dropped by 10%. There are two options that can be taken: you...
I guess that everybody knows about the terror attack in Berlin from Monday night. Germany´s people gave their answer with quite and peacefull but strong and powerfull statements that terrorism no longer make people afraid or urge them to hate others. The German DAX also sends a strong and powerfull signal, that traders are no longer answering terror attacks...
If ever you follow the markets opinion than you know for sure: Interest Rates will go up. No matter what. Maybe this is true. But right now we see a counter trend rally. No one was expecting this. Also we have learned, that falling yiels are fueling the stockmarkets. We will see if this might happen this time as well. But we can not close our eyes and...
Nobody knows what happens in the future or even in the next hours or days. But what we can see now are multiple set ups for higher stockmarket and bond prices Maybe stocks and bond prices turns lower on monday or the weeks ahead. This can happen as well. But the intention of trading is to have an idea what can drive stockmarkets in any direction. What we...
Donald Trump is there. If we like this or not - we need "to trade" the next US-President. People are mostly scared about Donald Trump and there are enough reasons to be scared. But traders can not step to the sideline for four or more years. We have only three choices: Long, Neutral or Short. Today almost 80% of European Investors betting on falling...
Watch this chart closely. Falling yields are "fuel" for stockmarkets Watch US-Yields to come down now a bit and to push stockmarket higher. The set ups in all stockmarkets are there.
Have look to this powerfull momentum Italy`s FTSE/Mib ist showing all those Investors betting Billions of US-Dollar on a crashing stockmarket, the immediately failure of at least 8 Italien Banks, followed by a crash in the European Banking Sektors followed by a political change to right wing populists parties and finally the meltdown of the Euro and the EU. All...
Now turn your attention to France and Italy The CAC 40 and the FTSE/mib are ready for a new leg up. And be sure that no one is expecting this a few days before the End of 2016
Watch out on tuesday for a break of this triangle to the upside
This Chart is selfexplaining. If ever this might be a consolidation pattern what could the target be? No matter what number you might tell now: It´s above 20k Guess what the algos will do with this all.
If ever you follow all this trading ideas published here for the German DAX since december 3rd 2016 you might think: Higher High? So what? But guess how many Investors or Analyst are saying: Yes! I made it! Do not start counting ... It is allmost very closes to zero if you compare this with 10 thousands of them. Now guess how many investors are telling...
. Buy the rumor, sell the fact´s. The fed has announced three hikes in 2017 an the projection for the fed funds rate is 2,99% in 2020. All bad news for T-Bonds are well known now and any supriese short term based might be on the upside. Usually i do not trade countertrends because i follow the trend only. If this idea might be right than US-Treasuries...
Gold might be one indiactor to get an idea about the further direction of global stockmarkets. A falling gold price XAUUSD might indicates that "fear" is slowing down. I am publishing this idea to follow up if "fear" might disappear in the next 10-20 trading days.
If you read all this ideas published here in December 2016 you might see that nothing happened "suprisingly" in Europe. But everybody even the chart will tell you another story. But whatever you might hear isn´t true. The "German Angst" and the fears over Italy have been well over done. Germany´s larges Stockmarket Newspaper asked 5.000 Investors about there...
Please open this link first and scroll down: www.ig.com What can you read? Retail Investors are short for the DAX by 82% (!). If you open this link you can see, what a "runaway gap" means and that is not the same like a "Common Gap". en.wikipedia.org(chart_pattern) If ever this runaway gap might occur by tomorrow than keep in mind that "the machines"...
If you follow all this trading ideas published here in Dezember 2016 you can read precisely what has happened - before it happened. The fears about Italy have been well over done and the you have seen how all stockmarkets run after the Italien Referendum and you would had known this before. Is it to late to buy now? No - it s not. The Dax-Chart shows a...
France presidency: Francois Hollande decides not to run again Things in Europe changing very fast, obviously: By Monday is a crash expected to come - wich might not occur because to much investors betting on this crash to come. Only few Minutes ago Francoise Hollande said, that he will not run for a second France Presidency. Politics is still an issue in...
If you follow the trading ideas here you might see that the sentiment for Europe is changing dramaticaly, obviously. In the following days i will up date this trading idea for the ES50 with more information about the huge amount of cash wich Investors definitely draw out of Europe from January to October 2016. The number i remember was above a record 600 B...