TheOnlyVince

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About me Professional FX Trader and market junkie - Mix of technical, fundamental and market psychology. Each trade is taken with a sound risk approach. Simple trading follow at your own risk.
Joined The_Only_Vince
Building up my new trading station...
Markets Allocation
55 % forex 5 % commodities 5 % indices 35 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
XAUUSD 20% | 4 EURUSD 15% | 3 AUDUSD 15% | 3 GBPUSD 10% | 2
TheOnlyVince TheOnlyVince XAUUSD, D, Short ,
XAUUSD: Gold under pressure! Will it keep losing ground?
194 0 6
XAUUSD, D Short
Gold under pressure! Will it keep losing ground?

The precious metal took quite a hit for the last couple of days. Indeed it lost more than a hundred dollars per ounce since September going literally against it's seasonal end of year rally. Many different drivers are pushing the price of Gold lower, one being the prospect of further rate hikes upcoming in 2018, others being capital flight to other safe heaven ...

TheOnlyVince TheOnlyVince XAUUSD, W, Short ,
XAUUSD: Gold at a turning point
161 0 4
XAUUSD, W Short
Gold at a turning point

Weekly technical picture is really interesting! For the last 3 weeks gold has been attacking severely a key resistance zone made of the confluence of multiple technical indicators: upper bound of a mid-term down trending channel and the 200 weekly EMA. The weekly candlestick is a doji, it's a sign of indecision and can often be interpreted as a reversal signal ...

TheOnlyVince TheOnlyVince EURUSD, M, Short ,
EURUSD: Long term bearish flag on EUR/USD will it go below parity?
75 0 1
EURUSD, M Short
Long term bearish flag on EUR/USD will it go below parity?

Technical picture speaks for itself. SL 1.17 TP at 0.85 and below for the euro haters Fundamentals: Dollar is KING!

TheOnlyVince TheOnlyVince USDCAD, 240, Long ,
USDCAD: Nice confluence:50% retracement +price stalling at 200EMA in H4!
607 4 4
USDCAD, 240 Long
Nice confluence:50% retracement +price stalling at 200EMA in H4!

This technical picture is great to play the 1.3360 resistance breakout that occurred a couple of days ago. After the breakout the price retraced to the 50% of the last impulsive move and is now stalling right above the 200EMA. The overall trend is bullish which makes it a perfect entry point. In addition to that, the stochastic oscillator is now evolving in ...

TheOnlyVince TheOnlyVince AAPL, W, Long ,
AAPL: What about getting back long on AAPL
182 0 3
AAPL, W Long
What about getting back long on AAPL

Both technical picture and fundamentals are in place to get long in AAPL. Technical check the chart it speaks for itself. Fundamentals: US market perma bull, recent tech earnings encouraging (Cf Google), upcoming earnings can potentially trigger a new wave of strong buying. Target@145$ SL@120$ RR1/2

TheOnlyVince TheOnlyVince XAUUSD, M,
XAUUSD: Crucial time for gold!
486 0 2
XAUUSD, M
Crucial time for gold!

Gold is currently severely attacking a long term support zone made up by the confluence of multiple support lines both horizontal and oblique. If the breakout is confirmed and the price respects the projected supports breakout series initiated early 2013 we can expect the price to drop as low as 970$/ounce. Though the technical picture is pretty bearish, the ...

TheOnlyVince TheOnlyVince SPX500, M,
SPX500: S&P bulls stronger than ever!
59 0 2
SPX500, M
S&P bulls stronger than ever!

Today the SP500 is seriously attacking the upper bound of the Andrew's pitchfork. This breakout if confirmed could trigger another acceleration in the already strong one sided bullish rally that has been in force since 2009, otherwise in case of fakeout (fake breakout), this could trigger the much awaited market reversal. Beware the near term price action! You ...

TheOnlyVince TheOnlyVince CAC, D, Short ,
CAC: Short the CAC
88 0 3
CAC, D Short
Short the CAC

The technical picture on the CAC shows clear price weakness, the price remains inside a series Andrew's pitchforks and looks determined to head lower. In addition to that, the stochastic oscillator is now in oversold territory which is a signal that more upside potential is limited. From a fundamental point of view the renewal of the Grexit fear could trigger the ...

TheOnlyVince TheOnlyVince CL1!, M, Long ,
CL1!: Technical bounce due on oil?
559 5 5
CL1!, M Long
Technical bounce due on oil?

Oil is not my primary area of expertise and i know that currently the fundamentals are clearly bearish after that the OPEC countries agreed this afternoon not to cut their oil production to lift oil prices. As a result oil prices tumbled to post fresh lows below 70$. However looking at the long term picture, we'll notice that the price of oil is now ...

TheOnlyVince TheOnlyVince EURUSD, 240, Short ,
EURUSD: EUR/USD is a sell on rally but where to sell?
358 2 4
EURUSD, 240 Short
EUR/USD is a sell on rally but where to sell?

Fundamental picture: Following mister Draghi's dovish comments on Friday EUR/USD started a new leg of sell off and resumed its bearish trend. Don't be fooled by the corrective move we have seen this morning following the strong german data beat (IFO and ZEW) consider this as market noise, Draghi is determined to fight for inflation and the return of economic ...

TheOnlyVince TheOnlyVince USDZAR, D, Long ,
USDZAR: Time to come back in USDZAR like proud bull
97 4 6
USDZAR, D Long
Time to come back in USDZAR like proud bull

USD/ZAR has been up trending for the last two years with the precision of a Swiss watch. The current bullish channel is still in play and the pair is about to test the lower bound of it after two failed attempt to break above the 11.3388 resistance line. Here are the reasons why rebound is soon due: Fundamental background: The Dollar is still supported by the ...

TheOnlyVince TheOnlyVince AUDUSD, D, Short ,
AUDUSD: Short AUDUSD follow-up
108 0 1
AUDUSD, D Short
Short AUDUSD follow-up

The fundamental background didn't really change since the last analysis I published on AUD/USD (see:https://www.tradingview.com/v/9AtmZ0ez/) I'm just making an update following the session of today (19/11/14). Technically the price broke below a key support at 0.8650 as we can see on the daily picture. In lower timeframes this level has been retested a couple of ...

TheOnlyVince TheOnlyVince GBPCHF, D, Long ,
GBPCHF: A less risky way to play SNB intervention
139 2 3
GBPCHF, D Long
A less risky way to play SNB intervention

SNB is currently under pressure with the current attack of the 1.20 floor on EUR/CHF. Not maintaining this floor would represent a serious credibility risk for the Swiss central bank. According to recent comments from Danthine and Jordan they will do everything to maintain the floor even using "unconventional measures" (like negative interest rate or ultimately ...

TheOnlyVince TheOnlyVince AUDUSD, 240, Short ,
AUDUSD: Good short setup on the Aussie
123 0 3
AUDUSD, 240 Short
Good short setup on the Aussie

Here is a really interesting setup where both, the fundamentals and the technical background are in line. Fundamental: Monetary Policy divergence According to RBA official Christopher Kent, the central bank doesn't exclude to intervene. This comes after the RBA commented on the overvaluation of the Aussie recently which is bearish. The countercurrency (USD) ...

TheOnlyVince TheOnlyVince XAUUSD, D, Short ,
XAUUSD: Multi year support breakout attempt
77 0 0
XAUUSD, D Short
Multi year support breakout attempt

Gold is on the verge to break below a multi year support. The support line is the blue oblique line on the chart, the latest is currently being attacked and a confirmation of the breakout would trigger a free fall to 1046$-1050$.

TheOnlyVince TheOnlyVince GBPUSD, 60, Short ,
GBPUSD: Short Cable - Short term
49 0 1
GBPUSD, 60 Short
Short Cable - Short term

GBPUSD broke below the middle median line of the current Modified Schiff pitchfork. This is usually a continuation signal, in this case we should expect more downside potential. Looking at price action we see a short term supply zone just above the entry. The target will be placed at the confluence between the 0.5 downward median line and a mid term support at ...

TheOnlyVince TheOnlyVince XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: Long Gold post FOMC decision
93 0 4
XAUUSD, D Long
Long Gold post FOMC decision

Gold is currently anticipating the end of the QE for today. The price is declining firmly and heading to the the middle median line of the modified Schiff pitchfork where a horizontal support lies too. This area looks interesting for contrarian traders with a bullish bias on the precious metal. The bounce area will be found around 1205$, in case of confirmation ...

TheOnlyVince TheOnlyVince AUDUSD, 240, Short ,
AUDUSD: Limit short on AUDUSD
30 0 0
AUDUSD, 240 Short
Limit short on AUDUSD

AUDUSD is currently in a nice bullish move after breaking out a strong resistance found at 0.8875. So far the price action is looking rather firm and decided to reach the next resistance found at the 38.2% Fibo retracement (@0.89347). We can expect a price exhaustion there and probably a reversal at the entry of this supply zone formed by the confluence of two ...

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