charttrader

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Joined USA bobm
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Markets Allocation
70 % stocks 13 % commodities 11 % indices 7 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
AAPL 15% | 7 SPY 6% | 3 CL1! 6% | 3 TSLA 6% | 3
charttrader charttrader PRO FXCM, 60,
FXCM: FXCM is in trouble...
1346 9 18
FXCM, 60
FXCM is in trouble...

*FXCM: CLIENTS EXPERIENCED SIGNIFICANT LOSSES AFTER SNB MOVE *FXCM: NEGATIVE EQUITY BALANCES OWED TO FXCM ABOUT $225M *FXCM: MAY BE IN BREACH OF SOME REGULATORY CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS *FXCM DISCUSSING ALTERNATIVES TO RETURN CAPITAL TO PRIOR LEVELS FXCM an online provider of forex trading and related services worldwide, announced today due to unprecedented ...

charttrader charttrader PRO NG1!, D, Short ,
NG1!: Nat Gas Tumbles Below $3 For The First Time Since 2012, Plunges
222 3 13
NG1!, D Short
Nat Gas Tumbles Below $3 For The First Time Since 2012, Plunges

For the past few months, the one silver lining to the energy complex - with crude oil plummeting to levels not seen since 2009 - was nat gas, which soared to the mid-$4s in early November on expectations of a brutal polar vortex for the second year in a row sending heating demand surging. Well, so far the "harsh" weather, which was blamed for the epic collapse in ...

charttrader charttrader PRO CL1!, D,
CL1!: FLY THE FRIENDLY SKIES?
462 9 20
CL1!, D
FLY THE FRIENDLY SKIES?

The price of oil has been sliding in the second half of 2014, but airlines have not lowered their prices. Or brought back free meals. Or allowed domestic customers to check in luggage free of charge. So how can one turn flying friendly? Perhaps by purchasing U.S. airline stocks. The cost of oil has plunged nearly 48% since the end of June and the market remains ...

charttrader charttrader PRO SOX, D, Long ,
SOX: Copper Has Been Replaced
158 11 18
SOX, D Long
Copper Has Been Replaced

Copper in my opinion has been replaced by technology, specifically semiconductors. The market seems to be much more focused on the happenings of Silicon Valley rather than Milwaukee or Detroit. While the industrial sector still remains a large piece of our economy it no longer is the driver of growth. At least that’s what price action has been telling us. The ...

charttrader charttrader PRO CL1!, D,
CL1!: Don't panic! OPEC oil cut unlikely
1343 9 24
CL1!, D
Don't panic! OPEC oil cut unlikely

Thursday's OPEC meeting is set to be one of the most contentious since oil prices plummeted by more than $100 a barrel in 2008. Saudi Arabia's veteran energy minister Ali Al Naimi has carried the burden of trying to balance global oil supply with demand for nearly two decades. But there are signs that Saudi Arabia is no longer willing to play that role. And the ...

charttrader charttrader PRO MAT, D,
MAT: Top toys: Hasbro is way cooler than Mattel
52 0 8
MAT, D
Top toys: Hasbro is way cooler than Mattel

For what it's worth, this father of two thinks that Hasbro's current lineup of toys is much cooler than Mattel's. Investors seems to agree. Shares of Hasbro (HAS) are near an all-time high. Mattel (MAT) has been one of the worst performers in the S&P 500 this year. It's the misfit toy stock of Wall Street. And it's been that way for a few years. Why is Mattel ...

charttrader charttrader PRO UNRATE, D, Short ,
UNRATE: UNEMPLOYMENT RATE NOW WITHIN TOUCHING DISTANCE OF NAIRU ESTIMATE
135 3 14
UNRATE, D Short
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE NOW WITHIN TOUCHING DISTANCE OF NAIRU ESTIMATE

October was the ninth consecutive month where the headline payrolls figure came in above 200k, rendering this year’s January to October period the strongest in fifteen years. The US NAIRU may be 5.2% or it may be 5.7%. But wherever it lies, the actual unemployment rate is moving swiftly towards it. Friday’s Employment Situation Report showed that the US economy ...

charttrader charttrader PRO DXY, M, Long ,
DXY: $DXY Dollar trade-weighted cycles tend to last on average 8 year
881 12 30
DXY, M Long
$DXY Dollar trade-weighted cycles tend to last on average 8 year

$DXY Dollar trade-weighted cycles tend to last on average 8 years * There are many indicators that tell us interest rates are too low * There is no precedented history to have rates at zero. I think we are really behaving in a way which is outside of historical norms and that should make us nervous * Given the unemployment rate, and even given low inflation, we ...

charttrader charttrader PRO TNX, D, Short ,
TNX: Why Treasury Yields Have Further To Fall
67 2 12
TNX, D Short
Why Treasury Yields Have Further To Fall

Despite the powerful rally over the last several weeks that brought the US equity markets back to their all-time highs, treasury yields are up only slightly and are well below mid-September levels. Meanwhile, as Gavekal Capital notes, speculators are still carrying a hefty short position in 10-year treasury futures and options contracts, implying that yields have ...

charttrader charttrader PRO NY1!, M,
NY1!: JAPAN ANNOUNCES BIG JUMP IN ASSET BUYING
149 4 12
NY1!, M
JAPAN ANNOUNCES BIG JUMP IN ASSET BUYING

Japanese authorities surprised everyone on Friday by increasing their already aggressive bond purchases (QE) by a third. In addition, it will expand those purchases to include stocks and real estate investments. The Japanese pension fund also announced that it will increase its allocation to domestic and foreign stocks. That gave a huge boost to global stocks. The ...

charttrader charttrader PRO AAPL, D,
AAPL: APPLE SOARS, SAMSUNG SINKS
256 0 11
AAPL, D
APPLE SOARS, SAMSUNG SINKS

Apple’s latest success, the iPhone 6, only hit the markets on Sept. 19, but its stellar performance preceded it by several months. Apple resumed its uptrend back in May and marked record highs in September. Meanwhile, its cost-cutting phone rival, Samsung dug deeper to over two-year lows. There is little reason to expect these two stocks to change their ...

charttrader charttrader PRO ORB, 60, Short ,
ORB: Orbital Sciences Corp share price plunges
126 0 12
ORB, 60 Short
Orbital Sciences Corp share price plunges

Shares in Orbital Sciences Corp have fallen faster than its Antares rocket in US pre-market trading overnight, dropping as much as 16 per cent after its mission to the International Space Station exploded spectacularly seconds after launch. The unmanned rocket was taking 5,000 pounds of supplies to the space station, but exploded shortly after it took off at a ...

charttrader charttrader PRO QQQ, D, Short ,
QQQ: Is it a good timing to short NASDAQ?
149 1 10
QQQ, D Short
Is it a good timing to short NASDAQ?

Market often gives the second chance so we have that case with Nasdaq 100 now. Index was turbo-shortsqueezed and returned to its highs. At the same time all popular comoanies reported bad or very bad (NFLX,AMZN,FB,TWTR etc). Yes the index is outweighted by AAPL, where businness still going for strong but its more an exception. Many blue chips have reported badly — ...

charttrader charttrader PRO DXY, M,
DXY: FOMC today: Is dollar high enough to cause Fed a worry?
190 0 10
DXY, M
FOMC today: Is dollar high enough to cause Fed a worry?

Today we have major market event — FOMC meeting in Washington. There will be no press conference today, only statement. It's interesting that this major market event became minor market mover last year because of too much transparency and predictability of monetary policy. Consensus now is that this meeting won't have any surprising message. One thing that set ...

charttrader charttrader PRO USDJPY, W,
USDJPY: ARE ASIAN CURRENCY GIANTS TOO FAR APART?
159 0 12
USDJPY, W
ARE ASIAN CURRENCY GIANTS TOO FAR APART?

China and Japan may be the economic giants of Asia and the world, but the behavior of their currencies would indicate otherwise. Since August 2012, the Chinese yuan strengthened and the Japanese yen weakened considerably. The yuan trades at record highs against the yen. Given the negative impact of a strong currency on exports, China should seek to weaken its ...

charttrader charttrader PRO SPY, D, Long ,
SPY: S&P 500 IN OCTOBER: UP IN THREE OF THE PAST FOUR YEARS
140 0 9
SPY, D Long
S&P 500 IN OCTOBER: UP IN THREE OF THE PAST FOUR YEARS

October is supposed to be a down month for stocks, and the aggressive three-week slide at the start of the month would make a strong argument. However, recent history says otherwise. The S&P 500 rose in three of the past four years. With only four days left in the month, can the S&P 500 improve the statistics to four out of five? The answer is in the hands of the ...

charttrader charttrader PRO SPY, D,
SPY: QE Ends in the US… And Won't Begin in the EU…
316 6 12
SPY, D
QE Ends in the US… And Won't Begin in the EU…

The markets continue to operate based on complete delusions. The single biggest driver of stock prices has been the Fed’s QE programs. QE has accomplished nothing other than a higher stock market. EVERY-time that the Fed was not engaged in QE, the markets have fallen as the below chart shows. QE is over. It just ended. And the Fed will not be launching it ...

charttrader charttrader PRO SPY, D,
SPY: The Clear View on the SPY
324 1 9
SPY, D
The Clear View on the SPY

The chart above shows that it has mocked the 5-0 harmonic, rising well above the 191.80 level. It has also retraced more than 61.8%, a key Fibonacci level, of the move lower from the all-time high. The RSI has also continued up through the mid line and the MACD is rising. These are good things. But there are some characteristics on the chart that still warrant ...

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