Based on pullbacks/bounces this year (all during the downtrend) it should make it to/into the box. Unless this time is different, which it could be, however, based on price action relative to RSI and MACD behavior the current setup matches 7 previous setups this year. So far this position relative to RSI / MACD has yielded 8-26% bounces within a timeframe of 7-23 days.
