This_Guhy

This_Guhy Wizard Updated 

The main chart has the Wycoffian distribution spelled out and if you want to check it against the criterion you can follow the link below, hit ctrl-f and search for "Distribution: Wyckoff Events" and you will be right there. Not everything is annotated, the chart would be way too cluttered. school.stockcharts.com www.ltg-trading.com As it stands I am still...

This_Guhy Wizard

Price has moved up for the last couple of days and with what I see I have put a short on and will be planning to take profit on this descending triangle structure. The main chart goes over a lot but lets expound At the left of the chart the Keltner Channel bottom acted primarily as support and price often went above the the Keltner channel and moved the bollinger...

This_Guhy Wizard

So far Bitcoin has had a good couple of days and I see lots of people in real life as well online starting to get bullish and looking at putting on some big bets and so far I don't see the justification for that enthusiasm. I will link some ideas that make the macro bearish case to keep this post from ballooning even more. Analysis The bollinger bands can...

This_Guhy Wizard

The MACD is one of the most robust indicators that you can use due to the variety of signals you can use with hidden and traditional divergence on both the MACD itseft, as well as the histogram. Many people may tinker with the settings of the fast and slow EMA and they may look for crosses of the MACD and its own moving average, the signal line. Lots of...

This_Guhy Wizard Updated 

XMR is one of my favorite projects and so I kinda feel bad shorting it but there is no virtue in losing money in the market as a trader. Often on charting you can look left to right to see what is going on but to get the best understanding I am going to go through how this chart actually developed so you can see it as I do. The purple trendline has been on my...

This_Guhy Wizard

The main chart and title is pretty blunt. We see two rising wedges on BAC and the blue one predicted the 2008 crash, but because this is on the monthly chart it tools years for the price action to perform. We may again see this happen again as the crash begins moving in slow motion and is imperceptible to most as the problem becomes more and more severe. With...

This_Guhy Wizard

This is acting as an update to the linked idea below where I make the case that it appears a broad sell off in equities is very possible based on the behavior of the QQQ/SPY ratio. It is a very rigorous look at the pair and the implications of any breakdown. If you want the full idea please check that out. The candles can appear red SPY goes up quicker than QQQ...

This_Guhy Wizard Updated 

There is a lot on the main chart but lets go through it directly: Both had a parabolic run up and Over 80% corrections Both Created a W pattern with a higher low around the 0.236 retracement level from the height to initial low BTC intermediate high stalled at the 0.786 while NDX intermediate high was around the lower 0.500 (not shown on chart). ...

This_Guhy Wizard

Introduction Those familiar with my system won't find anything new here, just a simple reiteration of the same system I have used to call bear markets or local highs several times with a lot of sucess. This system helps us confirm a all time high and a top after a massive uptrend and it has many confirming components with each one by themselves should make a...

This_Guhy Wizard Updated 

Tezos is appearing to have a fundamental breakdown of the key trendline of this uptrend. What was support for over 900 days now appears to be acting as resistance and that is a very key rejection for Tezos to be facing. Simple targeting on the overall structure is shows with the bold black and red fib retracement and the the fib retracement of the head and...

This_Guhy Wizard Updated 

I have been very, very, patiently watching this trade for a buy entry on TLSA and it has been a couple of months now as you will be able to see from my linked idea. I have used this chart to help me time some SPXU calls due to its inclusion in that index. My linked post will show how I thought this would be resolved a bit quicker in a simple falling wedge but...

This_Guhy Wizard Updated 

There are a lot of technical facts displayed on the charts that should make the case very clearly that NDX/SPX (QQQ/SPY to get volume data) have very remarkable similarities with NDX/SPX is on the three day chart and BTCUSD on the daily chart. As such I think it is fair to use BTC as a leading indicator for what could be happening with NDX/SPX. For those...

This_Guhy Wizard Updated 

Top chart is the 15 minute chart and shows the key components to distribution. As of right now there has not been a key return to the ice. This is also some what provisional as usually they are way more Signs of Weakness in the move so this would be less reliable than the topping formation BTC saw at 60K The 4 hour chart shows that this trend line has been...

This_Guhy Wizard

Chart Patterns 2018 was an interesting time. Bitcoin had gone berserk and there where both prophets of prosperity and doom preaching about the future of bitcoin and all the new folks had to decide if they still wanted to play and what to do with their money. Lots of people correctly identified this descending triangle but many people were so bullish they saw it...

This_Guhy Wizard

Preamble There is quite a debate as to what constitutes a bear market generally and what constitutes a bear market in crypto specifically. Having pondered this question at length for myself and experiencing the pain of indecision this is what I have developed. This determination is very important because in bull markets bullish formations overperform and even...

This_Guhy Wizard

Very curiously lots of people have been asking where the blow off tops have been for crypto because they are use to seeing blow off tops on crypto on weekly or monthly charts. As the market matures it begins to move a little slower and we can see that by looking at the newer coins, BND and ETH showing a blow off top on the 3 month but BTC showing the blow off...

This_Guhy Wizard

This chart is pretty simple. There is a decades long falling wedge and price action has broken out of the wedge and spend 4 years retesting the wedge as support. After that we got some lift-off and DXY was rejected by the 200 quarter SMA and had a pull back. Currently price actions has set a higher low and is finding support on the 100 quarter SMA. In general,...

This_Guhy Wizard Updated 

Lots of TA guys that apparently very recently found Wycoff theory seem to think that we are in Accumulation after just a single markdown and I don't see the case for that currently. A period of long term accumulation will lead to a mark up and then a consolidation in reaccumulation. Likewise when things begin to step down there is a distribution, markdown, and...