Yesterday brought another interesting trading session, with the market being very complacent before Jerome Powell’s speech. However, as soon as he walked on the stage at the Economic Club of Washington, the market rallied. In the early minutes of the speech, SPX jumped up approximately 1.20%. Although, once the FED’s chairman mentioned ongoing rate hikes in the...
Over the weekend, Bitcoin jumped above $22 000. However, the rebound did not last long, and Bitcoin fell toward the $21 700 price tag, where it currently trades. We have not yet seen developments confirming the short-term trend reversal (from bullish to bearish). Therefore we are very cautious and pay close attention to two particular price levels at $21 473...
With the majority of the popular profiles being bullish all the time, we have seen them call for the market bottom and primary trend reversal multiple times in the past year and a half. Then since October 2022, when Bitcoin made a low of $15 479, these calls have become even more omnipotent, with people profoundly believing in their ability to assess the situation...
Bitcoin is down approximately 5% from its high of $24 258. At the moment, we are paying close attention to the price trading near the 20-day SMA. If the price breaks and holds below this moving average (acting as a support), it will bolster bearish odds and hint at a potential trend reversal. Simultaneously, to support a thesis about the reversal, we would like to...
On 13th January 2023, we reiterated our belief that the stock market was going through another bear market rally. Furthermore, we warned investors about the price deviating too far from its moving averages and the characteristic behavior of gold, which lies in it rising rapidly and then dropping quickly as well. Following the FOMC, the price of gold fell by more...
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points yesterday. Jerome Powell reiterated his commitment to hiking rates throughout the year, and, more importantly, he dismissed any prospects of rate cuts in 2023. Despite that, investors seem to ignore the FED’s rhetoric and try to fight it. In our opinion, the disconnect between reality and the market is...
On 5th January 2023, we noted that the breakout above the upper bound of the descending channel would be bullish for the Nasdaq 100 index in the short term. Quickly after that, NQ1! broke above the resistance and embarked on the longest winning streak since November 2021. This recent move-up has been accompanied by market euphoria and overly bullish calls. Many...
For some time now, we have been skeptical about the overly bullish narrative in the oil market. Additionally, we have disagreed with calls for a return to triple-digit prices while noting multiple times that oil was likely to be choppy throughout 2023, oscillating within a wide range. In fact, we later presented a similar view from the U.S. Energy Information...
Over the weekend, Bitcoin reached a new high of $23 954 before faltering back to $23 000 today. Unfortunately, the move to a new high occurred again during the weekend when the volume is generally lower than during the week, allowing for easier price manipulation. Therefore, we are raising another question about the rally's health (regardless of how bullish this...
The current week will bring a lot of exciting events for market participants. Several big corporations are set to disclose their earnings for the fourth quarter of 2022, and the release of important financial data (Dallas FED Manufacturing Index, Chicago PMI, ISM Manufacturing, employment cost, CB consumer confidence, ADP employment change, etc.) is likely to give...
Since our previous post on Exxon Mobil, it has increased significantly in value against our expectations. Unfortunately, with the upcoming earnings, the stock might get an additional boost in price, which is already hovering near all-time highs. As a result, XOM breaking above $114.66 will force us to abandon our price target on the downside. However, even if a...
Yesterday, Bitcoin endured a volatile session with an early plunge to $25 000, followed by a rebound to a new high of $23 815. Interestingly, the price action occurred after the U.S. stock market closed and was characteristic of profit-taking, lasting merely a few minutes. This ties to a pattern of wild moves to the upside after the market close or during the...
Bitcoin is up approximately 46% since its 2022 low, and market euphoria is taking over. There is a tremendous increase in ideas claiming a primary trend reversal (from bearish to bullish) and people dismissing any chances of a recession in 2023. However, we want to take a step back and ignore the noise. Over the past year (since the 2021 market top), there were...
With the recent rally in the cryptocurrency market, the XRP community is becoming overly bullish again. As a result, we see double, triple, four, and even five-digit price targets being promoted with assurances that nothing will ever go wrong for XRP. However, we would like to remind our audience that there is nothing like risk-free investment in the trading...
More than a week ago, XRP reached our short-term price target of 0.30$ in a brief and sharp selloff. However, since then, the price has erased its losses and gained over 20% from the low. Interestingly, this retracement coincides with the price returning to the 50-day SMA, which is usually associated with corrections of the primary trend. Therefore, we will pay...
SPX is up 4.5% since the start of 2023 and 14.5% since its lows in October 2022. As a result, we are noticing an increase in calls for recovery and the beginning of a bull market. However, we are skeptical about these calls. With 2022 full-year results from U.S. banks, we now know their net profit decreased dramatically from the previous year; in the case of...
Recently, Bitcoin broke above the narrow range we showed in previous articles. Subsequently, it gained bullish momentum, rising to $21 456. Interestingly, the cryptocurrency paused its climb slightly below the resistance at $21 473. If Bitcoin breaks above this level, it will further bolster the bullish case in the short term. However, the inability to break above...
Another big bank that reported its earnings on the past Friday is Bank of America. The bank generated $27.5 billion in net profit and $95 billion in revenue for the full-year 2022. Its net income decreased by 14%, and revenue rose by 6.6%. The net interest income jumped by 22%, and the noninterest income dropped by 8%. The Consumer Banking segment added over 1...