Gold (XAUUSD) found Support on its 4H MA50 (red trend-line), trading on it since yesterday. There is a Higher Lows trend-line also supporting right below and as long as it does, it will aim at the 1808 August 10 High again and the top of the Higher Highs trend-line, with the 0.5 Fibonacci at 1842.50. If the price breaks below though, we will finally see the...
The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the November 15 High. The price bounced today on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) which is encouraging for the upside but the bottom of the Channel is around 1.03650. A bounce there aims at the 1.06135 Resistance (1) and further break can make a Higher High near the 1.07925 Resistance (2). A break...
After the interest that the revised version of my Logarithmic Channel model attracted, I thought I'd extend it by adding a few more elements, most notable of which Tradingshot's very own Golden 51%-49% Ratio! Basically I've been asked continuously to make an update on that legendary chart, so here is an extension, though I promise I will also make an update...
The S&P500 index broke last week above its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since April 21 but so far has failed to touch the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), getting rejected once again on the Lower Highs Zone (red) since the All Time High (ATH) of January 04 2022. That is the (obvious) Resistance that everyone is paying attention too but nobody seems to...
We rarely post Bitcoin (BTCUSD) analyses on the 1M (monthly) time-frame, but this one does justice is showing the complete long-term picture. On a monthly basis, Bitcoin has been forming a bottom since the June Low, within a zone formed by the Fibonacci MA and Multiple 1. At the same time the 1M RSI has been trading exactly at the bottom of the Channel Down...
This is the USDJPY pair on the 1M chart. The October rejection and subsequent deep red November may have come as a surprise to many but not if they've had been paying attention to this multi-decade chart that clearly shows the rejection was on a major, historic Resistance cluster. Before we begin, note that the October mega rejection was something we called for...
The ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) has been holding the 33.30 Support since the October 10 1W candle. As shown on this 1W time-frame, this is the Support that was formed on the March 16 2020 low during the COVID crash. Perhaps the most important development here is that, while the price has been on Lower Lows since June 13, the 1W RSI has been on Higher Lows, flashing...
It is no big secret that the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is on a strong bearish reversal. It is something we've been warning the community about since September when we caught the exact top on the Channel and called for a massive reversal: What however appears to have confirmed the bearish extension is the fact that the DXY broke and closed below its 1D MA200...
The WTI Oil (USOIL) materialized the rebound that we called on Monday exactly on the 73.60 bottom: The pull-back since yesterday's High is close to the 4H MA50 (red trend-line) and is similar to the one during September 29/30, which is within the rebound sequence we've been modelling the new rebound from. The Channel Up (green) doesn't need to be as...
Gold (XAUUSD) closed yesterday above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since June 16, making a Higher High on the trend-line that started on the October 04 High. We've discussed about the Ascending Triangle pattern since the September 28 low and with yesterday's move, Gold finally hit our long pursued 1800 target: Even though closing above...
On this chart we seen Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on its historic Logarithmic Channel (LC), the channel that has been trading in since its inception and will put emphasis on its Growth Curve which is the pattern we popularized here since early 2019. See how well the model has been containing the price action going more than 3 years back: Back to today now. As you see...
Netflix (NFLX) completed last week the Golden Cross pattern on the 1D time-frame, which is when the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). By doing so it closed yesterday above the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time since January 06 2022, practically when its Bear Market was confirmed. Since it started trading, NFLX has...
The Telcoin (TELUSDT) is extending its magnificent run since the October 20 bottom with a new Higher High this week near 0.0033. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) also completed a full cross above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), forming the technically bullish Golden Cross pattern on the 1D time-frame for the first time since January 14 2021. That was the beginning...
This is a 1W time-frame chart, showing the correlation between the U.S. Government Bonds 2 YR Yield and the S&P500 (blue trend-line). Some may perceive the recent 2-month rally on stocks as a coincidence but the US02Y price action shows that it is not and has a direct correlation with it. The 1W RSI on the US02Y has been falling within a Channel Down since the...
This is the S&P500 index (SPX) on the 1M (monthly) time-frame illustrating key levels and zones using the Fibonacci Channel. We focus on the price action and pattern created following the last major crisis, the 2008 housing crash. As you see, since that Bear Cycle correction, S&P500 has been trading within a steady Channel Up and with the use of the Fibonacci...
This is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1W time-frame drawn against the USDT dominance. For better comparison purposes both are displayed in candle bars, BTC being on top, USDT Dom at the bottom. The essence of this comparison is to find a behavioral pattern that can help us estimate which phase of the Cycle BTC could be at. As you see, the USDT Dom is printing a...
*** *** For this particular analysis on the Ethereum we are using the ETHUSDT symbol on the OKX exchange . *** *** The idea is on the 1D time-frame where ETH is shown trading within its long-term Channel Down since the November 10 2021 All Time High (ATH), practically the pattern that has been dictating the whole Bear Cycle. The importance of the...
Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading sideways since November 10, with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) as Resistance. On a wide scale, this technically looks like the previous two market tops on the January 05 Lower Highs trend-line, and the 1D RSI illustrates that clearly. However, the Jul 19 - 28 consolidation within the 1D...