NASDAQ 20 days trapped within the 1D MA50 - MA100

Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading sideways since November 10, with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) as Resistance. On a wide scale, this technically looks like the previous two market tops on the January 05 Lower Highs trend-line, and the 1D RSI illustrates that clearly. However, the Jul 19 - 28 consolidation within the 1D MA50/100 zone, did make a higher extension, so it is best to approach this with our usual break-out strategy.

A 1D candle closing below the 1D MA50, would be bearish targeting 10850 and quite possibly aiming at a new (Lower) Low. On the other hand, a closing above the 1D MA100, will be treated as a short-term bullish extension signal to the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is where Nasdaq topped both on March 29 and August 16.

A closing above the 1D MA200 would translate into a break above the January 05 Lower Highs trend-line, in which case, we will target the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which rejected the uptrend last time on the August 16 High.


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