USDforecaster

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Joined USDforecaster
Markets Allocation
16 % forex 16 % indices 11 % commodities 58 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
XAGUSD 36% | 7 USDTRY 10% | 2 XOM 10% | 2 TNX 10% | 2
USDforecaster USDforecaster XAGUSD, 240, Long ,
XAGUSD: So far so good
52 0 1
XAGUSD, 240 Long
So far so good

prediction since the 4hr engulfing candle off 18.50

USDforecaster USDforecaster XAGUSD, D, Long ,
XAGUSD: Bullish Breakout Near
63 0 0
XAGUSD, D Long
Bullish Breakout Near

Posted my views on silver many times. With some fib and price action targets. Also the 610 day EMA.

USDforecaster USDforecaster XAGUSD, D, Long ,
XAGUSD: Bread and Butter Chart (daily swings) --- Breakout Soon
139 0 0
XAGUSD, D Long
Bread and Butter Chart (daily swings) --- Breakout Soon

Getting close now. Probably the neatest chart I've ever made. Targets are clear. Would be shocked to see it get above 26.10 for a sustained period of time, in 2014. If we see those levels I will likely, but only if we see resistance candles. Anything is possible, it could slice through it like butter. But I expect 25 to breakout to get people to long this ...

USDforecaster USDforecaster XAGUSD, W, Long ,
XAGUSD: Silver Shackles Coming Undone -- Dumb money screaming for $10/oz
143 0 1
XAGUSD, W Long
Silver Shackles Coming Undone -- Dumb money screaming for $10/oz

You keep your bitcoins, I'll keep my silver. Sold in late 2012 above $30/oz and bought back my position at $21 (core position scale in) and $18.75 after Christmas (core 2nd position as well as tight stop leveraged paper longs) The beauty of limit orders, you don't miss out on the good prices. ;)

USDforecaster USDforecaster BO1!, 12M, Long ,
BO1!: Late 2014/ Early 2015 next major bottom (1yr candles to 1960)
48 0 0
BO1!, 12M Long
Late 2014/ Early 2015 next major bottom (1yr candles to 1960)

Looking to get long in the low 30s/high 20s on supportive price action.

USDforecaster USDforecaster TNX, 3M,
TNX: 10-Year T-Note --- 5 Year Forecast
152 0 0
TNX, 3M
10-Year T-Note --- 5 Year Forecast

Based on technical analysis and FED forward guidance to 2016.

USDforecaster USDforecaster BO1!, M, Long ,
BO1!: Soybean Oil coming into DEMAND zone (monthly to 1960)
46 0 1
BO1!, M Long
Soybean Oil coming into DEMAND zone (monthly to 1960)

One of the safest markets you can be a part of to the long side. Just get the entry right as usual. Even if you don't have the best of timing, patience will pay off in the long run. Target 100 on inflation fears. Even 125. Then don't be surprised to see a global deflation/deleveraging unlike anything seen in 2008. Wait for the FED signal of course (multiple ...

USDforecaster USDforecaster INX/XAGUSD, W, Short ,
INX/XAGUSD: Say Goodnight - 10yr Bear Market Continues (metals > equities)
81 0 0
INX/XAGUSD, W Short
Say Goodnight - 10yr Bear Market Continues (metals > equities)

I don't really need to say much here do I? INX/XAGUSD This is how many ounces of silver it takes to buy the SPX. I figured the trend would continue by Q2 2014. I just did not it expect it so soon in the year. Almost 100 ounces of silver to buy the SPX? NO THANK YOU. I'll become interested around 75 again.. and that's a big IF. It will require a lot of basing ...

USDforecaster USDforecaster INX/XAGUSD, D, Short ,
INX/XAGUSD: Say Goodnight - 10yr Bear Market Continues (metals > equities)
59 0 0
INX/XAGUSD, D Short
Say Goodnight - 10yr Bear Market Continues (metals > equities)

I don't really need to say much here do I? INX/XAGUSD This is how many ounces of silver it takes to buy the SPX. I figured the trend would continue by Q2 2014. I just did not it expect it so soon in the year. Almost 100 ounces of silver to buy the SPX? NO THANK YOU. The aggressive play here is long VIX and long silver or short SPX and long silver. The ...

USDforecaster USDforecaster XOM, M, Long ,
XOM: Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) time for BREAKOUT or FAKEOUT
92 0 0
XOM, M Long
Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) time for BREAKOUT or FAKEOUT

(hi mods, please delete the other XOM chart i posted, i forgot the 2.00 extension, thank you) I'd error on the side of this being a breakout, despite the divergence we are seeing. Divergence can take a while to play out. On a monthly chart with a very long stochastic (55 periods), it could take a couple years even. Why I favor bulls? Japanese and emerging market ...

USDforecaster USDforecaster XAGUSD, W, Long ,
XAGUSD: Silver Weekly Forecast 2014-2017
89 0 1
XAGUSD, W Long
Silver Weekly Forecast 2014-2017

Made this chart along side the other but forgot to post it. When will the shackles be removed? How is it that the SP500, who's market cap is 750x greater than Silver's, doesn't seem to have any problem with "corrections?" I mean honestly, how much cash on the sidelines can there possibly be? Global equities (all indexes combined) are already at RECORD market cap ...

USDforecaster USDforecaster XAGUSD, W, Long ,
XAGUSD: Silver Weekly Forecast 2014-2017
126 1 0
XAGUSD, W Long
Silver Weekly Forecast 2014-2017

PLEASE DELETE THIS CHART, keep the 2nd one I posted. The 2nd one has the appropriate zoom ratio. When will the shackles be removed? How is it that the SP500, who's market cap is 750x greater than Silver's, doesn't seem to have any problem with "corrections?" I mean honestly, how much cash on the sidelines can there possibly be? Global equities (all indexes ...

USDforecaster USDforecaster XAGUSD, M, Long ,
XAGUSD: Silver Monthly Forecast 2014 and 2015
849 2 2
XAGUSD, M Long
Silver Monthly Forecast 2014 and 2015

two paths -- 2014 1) Bull to start 2014 and grind higher and close the year around $25 2) Bear to start 2014 where it will see no lower than $14/oz, then it will see a fast and sharp recovery to the $20 level and grind higher the rest of the year. 2015 1) Continue higher into $32-$35 range where we find resistance and close the year somewhere around $27-$28

USDforecaster USDforecaster USDTRY, D, Short ,
USDTRY: Lira Carry Trade (short usdtry)
166 0 0
USDTRY, D Short
Lira Carry Trade (short usdtry)

Waiting for the top, risk 50 pips to make 1000-3000 sounds good to me.

USDforecaster USDforecaster USDTRY, D, Short ,
USDTRY: About time to start building LIRA carry trade positons
68 0 0
USDTRY, D Short
About time to start building LIRA carry trade positons

Short USDTRY for carry. Stay small and cost average up towards 2.25. I don't see it going higher than 2.25 without a substantial correction. This currency has lost 50% of its purchasing power vs USD in 4 years. Incredible. Preference is for longs but only when trading with the trend, which means wait for it to come down from bubble territory before looking to ...

USDforecaster USDforecaster EURUSD, 12M, Long ,
EURUSD: EURUSD 2014 -- 1 year candles
301 0 0
EURUSD, 12M Long
EURUSD 2014 -- 1 year candles

Short to start the year, then bullish breakout of 1.3890 heading for significant resistance 1.44-1.46 possibly 1.49 but unlikely

USDforecaster USDforecaster DXY, 3M,
DXY: DXY -- 50year technical forecast
174 0 0
DXY, 3M
DXY -- 50year technical forecast

Unlike many others I believe the USD can stabilize over time. A strong currency is meant to neither gain value long term, or lose value long term. It is supposed to have cycles of overvalued and undervalued, at least vs other currencies, but perhaps not vs physical assets of real demand and intrinsic value. Yes, I realize that no fiat currency in history has ever ...

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