VROCKSTAR

VROCKSTAR

5/15/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:SHLS - well... here we go 6's. can enter now below the $6.5 level by selling 6/21 7.5C's for 30c if you desire. we start to hit below 30c lower from this entry... and i will begin buying size without selling C's. slippery one but 1) not the first bid in this tape b/c 2) trough EPS this yr w/o look thru 3) some silly lawsuits that are...

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5/15/24 - vrockstar - NYSE:WMT - 24x fwd PE and barely 3.5% yield for this anemic grower into the most cashed strapped consumers. google trends look awful. trends.google.com i'd guess any pop gets faded v quickly. pricing power is for the brands, not the retailers. hard to sell a cost cutting/ brand squeeze story for a company that's already doing this to the...

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5/14/24 - vrockstar - NYSE:DT - first time looking at this name. checks all my boxes. revenue >25% growth, sub 10x sales (under 40x PE), throws off substantial cash and yields 3-4% depending on how bullish/bearish you are which for a name growing at this rate is a good buy all else equal. stock seems to have gotten ahead of itself in the last print and looking...

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5/14/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:DLO - tough biz to underwrite, let's get that clear. accusations. new mgmt. in some weird regions (that's the biz fam). competition in some well-established players ayden MT? ... but into the print, i think this is one that's setting up for a miss and realistically the downside here is probably 15-20% and the upside is equal AND it's...

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5/14/24 - vrockstar - COINEX:OREUSDT - among the 70+ equities posts i made, i do look at crypto as well and while this is MUCH more speculative, i'm flagging TSX:ORE as something that's worth looking into. 1) you don't have to necessarily buy it - you can mine it in your browser ore.supply 2) the proof of work concept is quite interesting IMO b/c a. this...

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5/14/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:RUM - of the 3 options we always have, buy/sell/hold... buying is probably the worst option. almost kind of weird how the stock is worth $2.5 bn in this tape - $100 mm in revenue, 25x sales? gross profit mgn is actually getting worse? they're spending more in opex? $200 mm in the bank and they minimally burn $100 mm this year? look -...

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5/13/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:RPD - taking a closer look today on the move and this is a sickly looking move. while we might get a bid from current owners, what i struggle w/ here is the 7% revenue growth which seems "okay" and the mid 3's sales multiple on fwd ests. is also "reasonable" as well as the high teens PE ratio (assuming >2$ EPS this yr). but the issue...

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5/13/24 - vrockstar - NYSE:BABA - on almost every metric this thing remains cheap. you and i both know this. that seems to be beside the issue and it's more a function of the $AMEX:KWEB-style flows here more than anything. realistically, there's a lot of optionality in the model too that can be communicated that skews more +ve than -ve. they have a bunch of...

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5/13/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:BZFD - burning a post to caution here if you own this dog. i'd dump it and move on. the fact that you'ore looking at a double+ from the lows is a blessing. do a favor and look at google trends... trends.google.com the trends are down and to the right. they are burning cash. web 2.0 clickbait in a world of ai-generated content...

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5/13/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:CCLD - looked at this last quarter (before i started doing daily write ups) and came to the conclusion of a. would possibly be a buy but b. valuation not obvious. this was in the low $1's. NOW, they missed that quarter. earnings setup looks lightish - b/c if they beat you better believe this runner goes to $3-4 tmr. BUT the higher...

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5/13/24 - vrockstar - NYSE:ONON has always been a pretty expensive stock that i've watched but not owned (have only owned NASDAQ:CROX but also no longer any footwear). that being said, the setup in the quarter does look like a low bar. a. google trends impressive b. seasonal trends c. QoQ and d. stock back to where it "missed" last q. objectively there's no...

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5/13/24 - vrockstar - hard to own NASDAQ:HYZN , period. i love the idea, think the tech could be deployed so many places, but with >$100 mm in the bank and burning >$100 mm a year, the risk reward isn't justified until they put up a good print and really speak to what the F they're spending >$100 mm on SG&A for. I get the $40 mm R&D budget, but also one could...

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5/13/24 - vrockstar - i'm staying away from this even though the volatility is guaranteed. take a look at the 5/17 chain for $16P open interest. on one hand - i believe the large P vs. C skew is correct in the terminal NASDAQ:STNE isn't a great LT own (prefer NASDAQ:DLO or NASDAQ:MELI , even NYSE:NU ) but it's still a marginal gainer vs. NYSE:PAGS (which...

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5/13/24 - vrockstar - incredibly lump results, and surprising stock remains bid even after the last two whiffs (big whiffs too). cool tech. would like to see this win, but burning 10 mm a year w/ 20 mm in the bank, some complications in the stack and overall worth north of $150 mm... is a tough one for me when i can buy profitable software w/ better mgns, growing...

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5/13/24 - vrockstar - simply too much debt in the capital stack to be interested on the long side, despite the potential for a beat/ squeeze on the almost 9 days to cover. co cutting opex and growing GP is in theory a +ve ... but seems like a bandage to a more serious growth problem if the most they can eek out is 10% - which is not enough to beat competition at...

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do yourself a favor and look into this incoming CME from the sun. youtu.be/9QCA3jouCKk - it's a short video WATCH IT NOW 6 or 7 earth bound flares that each have the capacity to f things up massively. the reason this matters is it's a DOWN ONLY situation. the market doesn't know about this (clearly) so any non-event doesn't move the market "back up". many...

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do yourself a favor and look into this incoming CME from the sun. youtu.be - it's a short video WATCH IT NOW 6 or 7 earth bound flares that each have the capacity to f things up massively. the reason this matters is it's a DOWN ONLY situation. the market doesn't know about this (clearly) so any non-event doesn't move the market "back up". many sources i look...

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5/10/24 - vrockstar - took an hour to deeper dive this y'day (as i was forced to having gotten an average entry of ~$24/shr last night). the conclusion here is - you might see a retrace (which is what i was playing), but the story is defn a whole lot more complicated than meets the eye. perhaps on a valuation front, which is what i do, the FCF is practically all...