ballhawker

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Markets Allocation
93 % stocks 7 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPY 66% | 10 TLT 6% | 1 UKOIL 6% | 1 IYT 6% | 1
ballhawker ballhawker TLT, M,
TLT: Treasuries at a Long Term Crossroads
26 0 2
TLT, M
Treasuries at a Long Term Crossroads

$TLT in danger of dropping out of a long term multi-year support channel. New down trend may be starting. Hanging onto support by a thread.

ballhawker ballhawker BAC, M, Long ,
BAC: $BAC MONTHLY ASCENDING TRIANGLE BREAKOUT
47 0 4
BAC, M Long
$BAC MONTHLY ASCENDING TRIANGLE BREAKOUT

Bank of America monthly ascending triangle breakout looks very attractive as a long on any pullbacks.

ballhawker ballhawker SPY, M, Long ,
SPY: MONTHLY $SPY
69 1 9
SPY, M Long
MONTHLY $SPY

This market could run for some time to come.

ballhawker ballhawker SPY, 60, Long ,
SPY: $SPY Backtest of 217.50 area on hourly chart
78 0 3
SPY, 60 Long
$SPY Backtest of 217.50 area on hourly chart

Sure looks like another buy the dip right here.....

ballhawker ballhawker SPY, 60, Short ,
SPY: $SPY Windows closing to the downside 204.28 up next
37 0 2
SPY, 60 Short
$SPY Windows closing to the downside 204.28 up next

I am seeing 2 windows recently closed and a third on the way at 204.28. Also a downward megaphone. 60min chart

ballhawker ballhawker DIA, W,
DIA: $DIA big week ahead, could attempt breakout or continue wedge
13 0 0
DIA, W
$DIA big week ahead, could attempt breakout or continue wedge

Neutral right now, waiting to see if this stays in the wedge or breaks to the upside.

ballhawker ballhawker SPY, M, Short ,
SPY: $SPY Monthly Make or Break March
34 0 0
SPY, M Short
$SPY Monthly Make or Break March

10dma under 20dma now. Look Out Below. (unless this March rally can be sustained for another 2 weeks, which I highly doubt. All Cash.

ballhawker ballhawker SPY, 15, Short ,
SPY: $SPY three dojis on 15 minute chart
37 0 0
SPY, 15 Short
$SPY three dojis on 15 minute chart

Three dojis on 15 minute chart tells me this run is about done. Still can't break through the resistance of the multi-day rising wedge.

ballhawker ballhawker SPY, 120,
SPY: $SPY 2hr chart testing underside of rising wedge again today
117 0 2
SPY, 120
$SPY 2hr chart testing underside of rising wedge again today

Will it break through? Also testing 200dma

ballhawker ballhawker SPY, 240, Short ,
SPY: $SPY Rising Wedge on 4hr resolves to downside
34 0 1
SPY, 240 Short
$SPY Rising Wedge on 4hr resolves to downside

Backtested underside of rising wedge today. Sneaky Bearish. Look out below.

ballhawker ballhawker SPY, M, Short ,
SPY: $SPY Monthly 10/20dma crossover bad news for bulls
41 0 1
SPY, M Short
$SPY Monthly 10/20dma crossover bad news for bulls

$SPY Last time the 10 month moving average crossed under the 20ma happened was in May 2008. We all know the rest of that story. Also, the high this month has so far hit resistance on the under side of the 10 month moving average. If it can't reclaim that level as support, it's going to be a very long spring and summer for bulls.

ballhawker ballhawker UKOIL, M, Long ,
UKOIL: $UKOIL $XLE Monthly looks like a major bottom in crude is in.
86 0 0
UKOIL, M Long
$UKOIL $XLE Monthly looks like a major bottom in crude is in.

Couple of nice bottoming tails on the Jan and Feb monthly bars. Squeezing in March so far. Major support at prior resistance around 33. IF it breaks and holds $40, then look out it could go on a monster run.

ballhawker ballhawker SPY, W, Long ,
SPY: $SPY Weekly horizontal channel below rising channel longer term
81 0 3
SPY, W Long
$SPY Weekly horizontal channel below rising channel longer term

I think the top of horizontal channel will be tested, if not the bottom of the rising channel. Then it may be lights out. :)

ballhawker ballhawker SPY, M,
SPY: $SPY Monthly Chart with MACD Crossovers Says "Risk Off"
270 0 1
SPY, M
$SPY Monthly Chart with MACD Crossovers Says "Risk Off"

MACD crossovers on the monthly chart have been a reliable indicator of impending trend change (long term). A downward crossover happened last month, indicating that the odds of a correction have increased. For me, it means "Risk Off" until I see an upward crossover. Until that happens, I will be in cash. Consistently using this long term indicator would ...

ballhawker ballhawker IYT, D, Short ,
IYT: Dow Theory Divergence
33 0 1
IYT, D Short
Dow Theory Divergence

$SPY and $IYT do not appear to be in alignment right now. $SPY struggles to break through 185 and fails multiple times while $IYT cannot come close to even matching the early January peak.

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