coinhoIio

coinhoIio

FTX going bankrupt is good for bitcoin bro. My counterparty was involved with FTX too. Bullish! WAGMI.

coinhoIio Updated 

The GDP number of 2.7% growth is being propped up by net exports, while consumption is at a cycle low. This is horrible for earnings expectations and risk assets. Net exports were at a low in prior quarters, making the economy look worse off than it was. Now the economy is actually worse off than it is and the metric is instead making it look better. This is why...

coinhoIio

The recession we predicted in August is almost here. Prepare for monetary meltdown. Things to look forward to next year: Mass layoffs (started in q4) and spike in unemployment rate Retail earnings miss heavily with a bad holiday season Industrial production drops sharply Used car bubble pops Mass consumer defaults on car loans Housing market...

coinhoIio Updated 

Every recession has resulted in liquidity issues. The prior two resulted in treasury market illiquidity through bank runs. The treasury market is the largest and most liquid market in the world. I'm sure Tether will be fine though...

coinhoIio Updated 

The fed usually hikes into growth and eases when it realizes the economy is too weak to absorb the impact of the hikes, so historically stocks usually rise as the hiking begins and crashes when the fed takes their foot off the pedal. This time the fed is late. They hike as the housing market is brought to its knees and the economy is slowing. Equities are down,...

coinhoIio

With everyone calling for another turning point in the S&P, the short trade is becoming less crowded. I prefer SPY 300 puts dated about six months out. Here are some ridiculous arguments I've heard for the recovery. 1. The fed will pivot or pause A fed pause or pivot indicates that economic conditions are too poor to continue hiking, implying that mass layoffs...

coinhoIio

Everyone is a good trader in a bull market, but in a bear market, these good traders are reduced to hopium-fueled twitter analysts watching core CPI and interest rates. The former and latter data points serve nothing more as useless, out-of-context generalities for the single-celled Wall Street Bet retail enjoyer. But recent activity across the pond has sparked...

coinhoIio Updated 

Where can I buy this "recession"? Looks ready to go parabolic to me.

coinhoIio Updated 

Try and locate these wicks on other brokers and data sources in TradingView. Where are they hiding?

coinhoIio Updated 

The PMI continues its drop into recessionary territory, and other things we already knew...

coinhoIio

I am not a fan of Bitcoin and other Cryptocurrencies, which are not money, and whose value is highly volatile and based on thin air. Unregulated Crypto Assets can facilitate unlawful behavior, including drug trade and other illegal activity. We have only one real currency in the USA, and it is stronger than ever, both dependable and reliable. It is by far the...

coinhoIio Updated 

Even though the great recession was ongoing for almost a year prior to being dated by the NBER, it was the announcement itself that started the massive migration from stocks to bonds. The purple square encapsulates this time range. It is best to enter this position before an announcement, which some market participants did. At the current growth rate, we will...

coinhoIio

High beta stocks are terrible in a recession. This fund has no direct market exposure, but takes an aggressive position against high beta stocks. It will rise in recessionary conditions.

coinhoIio

this is my indicator it is called deez nuts it will show u that u should not put the munz in bitty rn ok dont do it man bad idea go to cash and tlt rn cool it on the buying for a bit

coinhoIio Updated 

Have you ever been told that stocks only go up? How about not trying to time the market? If you have, you might just be the exit liquidity the credit market needs. In this chart I will help you avoid losing money in the next two quarters by rolling your portfolio into cash and the treasury market. If you have followed the last few charts, you are already sitting...

coinhoIio Updated 

8.5 prior 8.1 expected 8.24 cleveland fed estimate ??? actual Everyone is going crazy about this CPI data like its gonna change anything. We already know inflation has peaked and will start to decline. It's doing that because the economy is slowing. The fed is still hiking and the inflation isn't going to go away fast enough for a soft landing. The markets may...

coinhoIio Updated 

i think that my favortie coin is the dxy. lottas people make chatters about this "eef twopono" merge... ya.. ok i got a diff opinna i think whats relevant is my most favorites coin right now. dxy. i ran a dxy usd node on my compaq pc in my based ment at home. my mom let me plugs it in to the power generator during california rolling black outs. hennyway, this...

coinhoIio Updated 

The economy has been going into the toilet for a while now. All the NBER coincident indicators are trending down to 0% growth. Some leading macro indicators have actually flashed negative. Housing volume is crushed, the treasury has started pricing in recessionary conditions while the credit market has been twiddling their thumbs expecting a soft landing (even...