decklyndubs

decklyndubs

Here is a chart that shows the US money supply and S&P, with some events noted. You can see that, when the covid crash occurred, the money supply expanded dramatically. Most people will attribute this to stimulus checks, there is also a calculation change there which is highlighted in grey. But FRED also highlights in an article that the fractional reserve policy...

decklyndubs

Consumer spending is dropping, looks like the trend is broke but need to see that lower low.

decklyndubs

After jpow stepped up, risk of sentiment has gripped the markets. I thought we'd probably regain the smaller uptrend, but that looks invalidated, so I'm zooming out a bit. Under 14700 it looks like a possible trend break, under 14500, nasdaq is printing a lower low. We'll need to keep reading the data - anything could happen and you can't predict the...

decklyndubs

The uptrend appears broken, but I believe that we'll likely regain the channel and head to 16+. Need to be a little careful as the economic conditions are showing growth collapse, but I think any hint of rate holding/reduction from the fed will cause the market to rally. Keep an eye, stay safe. I show a couple liquidity targets, and the channel that was broken...

decklyndubs

Nikkei dropped a bit, likely with nasdaq chip selloff on waning consumer demand. The nikkei boosted almost 7% from the date that china cut rates. I'd be looking for the gap fills in either direction. Likely there will be a little fighting on market open Monday (Sunday for me) but it should be pretty easy to trade.

decklyndubs

NYSE hour open is when a lot of movement occurs. I've learned to focus on those times. Europe and asia hour one are good too, and the time between the markets is low liquidity and can often move a lot, but sitting down 9:30am ET and watching for the few hours after that are where you're likely to find some big moves. You can see in my chart a couple big BTC...

decklyndubs

Hello retail traders! I'm sure you are checking the statistics on all of the concepts that people are presenting to you! You are surely not trading rsi divergences or macd strategies with all of your money without validating them statistically! I have a prediction for you today that the market is turning leprhechaunish. You'll notice that there is a leprechaun...

decklyndubs Updated 

You're probably bullish over 30k but I see 29.5. Have a look. Not much more to say. Watch the trendline for break. I'm shorting from here.

decklyndubs Updated 

Here we are, peak insanity/euphoria. We are at the top. Stay safe

decklyndubs Updated 

(sorry - ignore the strategy noise on the right and indicators- I'm working on some ideas) We saw the FOMC hawk pause shake the price down to test the trend twice, before ejecting up and out of an ascending wedge. This euphoria is unusual - historically these setups play out on a breakdown 80% of the time - to see the markets rally on a hawkish fed stance was...

decklyndubs Updated 

I think btc will probably have a few periods of dramatic price action soon - big peaks up - but I suspect we will ultimately see this fail. Can see the area I'm watching as a consolidation zone. I suspect the sellers will drop off, and some rally may fire, but will fail. The chart squiggle predictions drawn show more of an average but I think you'll see at least...

decklyndubs

Who knows what the future holds? But this looks like a sell event to me

decklyndubs

Formerly his public wallet had +1.1bn in it. See: debank.com It's now down to 177mm... If there is bad news this week, it's possible that we could see issues with the USDD reserves and a liquidity crunch to stabilize USDD. I'm a little worried - saw some reports on Twitter saying that Sun has been deploying capital today and not sure why/what's up. TRX has been...

decklyndubs

I'm shorting trx. Not sure why USDD is collapsing but it is. The tron dao website doesn't have the reserves upfront anymore - trying to find the info...

decklyndubs Updated 

Awaiting response from judge, XRP seems to be close to a breakout. To me this looks long. I won't enter this as it's too risky, but I will be watching.

decklyndubs

OP is testing a breakdown from an ascending broadening channel and is on a confluence of support lines. Equities have been rallying, both NYSE and ESS, but crypto has been drowning in fear. I suspect this area will hold up into mid-march, but if it breaks down it would be an excellent point of inflation to be short in.

decklyndubs

Moving towards the next FOMC, markets remain generally strong, while a string of bad news hits crypto. PCE data jerked markets, signalling the end of the bullish impulse for me. ES and NQ halted tracks a bit before this and started to descend. Crypto continued to take a beating with the IMF recommending a potential banning of crypto for trade as it represents a...

decklyndubs

I'm eyeing potentially 22800 retest for BTC after it dumped likely on silvergate news in asian market open.