dkh

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Markets Allocation
67 % stocks 33 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 33% | 4 COST 16% | 2 AXP 16% | 2 TLT 8% | 1
dkh dkh SPX500, D, Short ,
SPX500: Is the SPX500 getting Seasick or is this a Coffee Break?
98 0 3
SPX500, D Short
Is the SPX500 getting Seasick or is this a Coffee Break?

Now that we have touched pretty lofty levels in the indexes and traders may have taken a few too many trips to the Trumponomics cocktail party punchbowl, let us take a step back and make sure they weren't serving Jonestown brand Guyana Kool-Aide. The rising intermediate support line is currently at 2204 - 2205 and all bullish parties involved have a vested ...

dkh dkh FCX, 120, Long ,
FCX: Trumponomics Bouncer
56 0 7
FCX, 120 Long
Trumponomics Bouncer

There is a lot of spent and unspent optimism on what Trump will mean to infrastructure spending. I have no idea if it will mean good things to FCX, but I like this set-up

dkh dkh SPX500, D, Short ,
SPX500: Time to leave the Party?
109 0 5
SPX500, D Short
Time to leave the Party?

I'm calling the move from the Feb 11 lows till today a rising wedge. I could be very wrong but right now all the pot odds favor a pull-back

dkh dkh COST, 240, Long ,
COST: A Little Far-fetched but Why Not?
38 0 3
COST, 240 Long
A Little Far-fetched but Why Not?

You can create a strategy around this if the roller-coaster keeps going, I just can't think of any earth-shaking revelations or headline risk that can derail the ride, trade safe!

dkh dkh AXP, D,
AXP: Is AXP being sent to the Chop Shop?
25 0 2
AXP, D
Is AXP being sent to the Chop Shop?

Weakness in Visa and Mastercard is telling me that it is more likely that AXP will follow the group rather than the group following AXP. If you are long this may be a good place to go flat or reduce position size until we see if this plays out. This doesn't look like a candidate to go short on, at least not yet.

dkh dkh SPX500, D, Short ,
SPX500: Spaghetti Western @ 4, Don't bring a knife to a Gunfight
203 0 2
SPX500, D Short
Spaghetti Western @ 4, Don't bring a knife to a Gunfight

December 4 is the Italy Referendum, hard to say how everyone will take the vote. My guess is badly. On the ABCD you can see where we will achieve equality between AB & CD funny how it seems to peak on Dec 2 right before the fireworks. If you are unsure I would be flat going into the vote, but be prepared for some action as I am sure we will be on the move starting ...

dkh dkh AAPL, D, Short ,
AAPL: Technicals or Sentiment, you choose
93 1 1
AAPL, D Short
Technicals or Sentiment, you choose

As a proxy for the market AAPL is a tarnished darling and a sentimental favorite. I don't like shorting icons or taking a short position when the markets are making new highs, but a study is a study and sometimes the most 'unthinkable' play is the most profitable. Not betting the house on a pull-back but took a small position with options at a strike on 110 ...

dkh dkh TLT, D, Long ,
TLT: US Bonds, Yen, and the Italy referendum
49 0 1
TLT, D Long
US Bonds, Yen, and the Italy referendum

It's all written on the chart. the Yen may continue to tank which will debunk this idea. I call out the play as TLT since it pays a dividend while you wait for a turn.

dkh dkh SPX500, D,
SPX500: Follow the Green Arrow
92 0 1
SPX500, D
Follow the Green Arrow

Optimism over a Trump Presidency or put another way - extreme pessimism for emerging markets aka any country currently selling goods to the USA may be driving sovereigns out of our bond markets and causing overseas investments to repatriate. This is merely an attempt at an explanation, it hardly matters. The only thing that matters is time and price. Follow the ...

dkh dkh COST, 240, Long ,
COST: Playing COST for an earnings pop
46 0 1
COST, 240 Long
Playing COST for an earnings pop

Lots of stored upside energy in this one. I have already picked the long side for 'pot-odds'. A reversal and pop will pay off better than a continuation of the ABC correction

dkh dkh VRX, D,
VRX: VRX showing cleanly defined Elliott Pattern
106 0 2
VRX, D
VRX showing cleanly defined Elliott Pattern

The fundamentals are a mixed bag on this one, but this is emerging into a clearer trading pattern. I wouldn't get too excited over this one yet because it really needs to show us a Wave 4 pullback followed by a 1 v 5 move to the upside. It is moving through each progression at a quick clip so any position either long or short needs to be nimble and well ...

dkh dkh AXP, D, Short ,
AXP: AXP Directional Shift
15 0 1
AXP, D Short
AXP Directional Shift

AXP is stuck between a rock and a hard place; losing co-branded cards and stiff competition from Visa. Their next earnings report will be the first full quarter without Costco. Should be interesting.

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