Chinese company. Idea come from another trader: forker (link below). Good example of a positive reversal followed by a bullish divergence on the daily RSI before the recent rise in price. We now have a bearish diverg on the 2 hour with gap below at the .618 level. Would not be surprised to see a return to close the gap. If so I will enter long with a longer term...
With what looks like a reversal in the US dollar yesterday I am reevaluating my view of the miners.In both the GDX and the SIL there has been a .62 correction and the shorter term down trend lines have been broken. There has also been a "measured move" down indicated by the down arrows. Although we have a negative reversal in the RSI, the RSI has jumped up and...
Often after a long term bullish rise (as occurred in silver upto 2011) there is a slow time of consolidation from the overbought condition before the next and often final burst up. Sometimes this takes the form of triangle (contracting or expanding). With that in mind I thing we may be going to form a multi-year side ways triangle in silver. Just a guess. If this...
I know nothing about the naural gas market. I do like charts. One year ago I posted a chart on the XNG suggesting the bottom may be in. (see link below). It was when the index was around 392. It turned out to be correct. I don't follow it often but I thought I would take a look again. Here is the way it looks to me. With the bearish divergence in the daily RSI I...
There has some short term bullish action in the metals and gold miners even as the US dollar has continued to rally which to me is longer term quite bullish. It suggests to me when the dollar finally makes a correction or changes course we could possibly get a great rally in metals. The DXY has passed the .618 level which suggests to me it will likely continue up...
Longer term Weekly chart Have a good weekend. Personally I would not be surprised to a quick drop below the longer term line bofore the next advance just to "trap" us. But just a guess.
Which way do think it will go. I don't know but favor up.
Obviously it is still in a bullish move. But when will it likely turn town again? We are now at a .62 correction of the drop from A to B (on the monthly chart. Also are at the top of the potential channel I've drawn on the weekly chart. We have a negative reversal followed by a bearish divergence on the monthly RSI and a bearish divergence on the weekly so it is...
Would seem like a good time for a reversal to me since we have a .618 correction of the previous rise and encouraging RSI. Also recent low is at the bottom of a decent looking channel. But still have another gap at the .78 level that has not been closed so need to wait for a positive candle formation to see if correction is over. Take care. If you do take a...
There has been a near .62 correction in the recent rise earlier this year (see 2 hour chart) and price appears to have bounced up off a potential "resistance becomes support" line. On the 2 hour chart the recent down action also has reached the downside of the channel. The daily RSI shows a positive reversal followed by a bullish divergence which as I have...
Possible reversal candle today between the .786 and .84 correction levels. We'll see if follow thru tomorrow to break the 2 hour down trend line and have a positive end at the day. If so I will likely go long with my stop a close below the recent low of 42.53. My overall long term view has not changed. There is a bullish divergence on the 2 hour chart and a...
With Mr. Trumps win there has been a big burst of optimism for the US Dollar with one more more jump up. Will is go to a new near term high or reverse before going higher than C? Of course I don't know. But there is a negative reversal followed by a bearish divergence in the both the monthly and daily RSI's. And often with such a combination a change in direction...
If the dollar keeps dropping I would think that would support a rise in oil as well as the precious metals. I see the form of the current drop from 1 to 2 as a corrective form and with the yellow target box now being hit. IFFF it holds above the recent low of about 44.16 I am looking for wave 3 up to start with likely a total of 5 waves up eventually to finish...
I took a break for a while. Hope those of you who are interested in my charts are doing well. So far my recent short positions in Russell 2000 are doing well and performed as I act hoped when I posted a few months ago (see links below). Here is my personal current nearer term target. 2X and 3X short ETFs available. Take care. Best to you.
I have changed my "count" since the previous posting but the near target is about the same. Upper end of the target box is where c=a and the lover end is where c=.62 x a. You can see there is overhead resistance at these levels also. Of course there could still be another another down wave to the current correction but I favor it is over. Process through your...
After I posted 2 months ago another correction occurred but I suspect that is now likely over. The near target has not changed much and now is at around 1400. You can see there is strong overhead resistance at this point as well as the level of the upper channel line on the weekly chart. I think at about this level there may well be a significant correction as...
If price continues up from here > C then obviously I'm wrong. Take care.
Six months ago I published a long term weekly chart with a target which was so far accurate. (link below). I screwed up after that thinking that the correction up was over and it was not. I think now it is more likely that the up correction to "C" is over as C has gone up .62 X the distance down to B. Of course the trend is sill up to perhaps the .78 correction...