jimnewman44

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Joined GOP_Warrior
Markets Allocation
79 % stocks 14 % indices 7 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 14% | 2 DECK 7% | 1 SSYS 7% | 1 FB 7% | 1
jimnewman44 jimnewman44 XRT, D, Short ,
XRT: XRT - Retail Sector = no bueno!
52 0 0
XRT, D Short
XRT - Retail Sector = no bueno!

As you may have guessed from my previous ideas I'm bearish the general market (although I did see some potential in a couple of my published ideas). However, with less than impressive economic data coming out both domestic and international I just can't see XRT getting above the current resistance around $83.00. In fact I can see a H&S form and a return to the ...

jimnewman44 jimnewman44 IBB, D, Short ,
IBB: IBB - accelerated too fast ...
76 0 0
IBB, D Short
IBB - accelerated too fast ...

May be a stretch, but potential for H&S forming ... with a 6% drop, followed by a 9% drop ... all in all - banking on 15% drop by the first week of April. MACD histogram and RSI over-reaching ... Donchian channel showing timing for a bounce off to midline (neckline).

jimnewman44 jimnewman44 AVP, D, Long ,
AVP: 20% return available in AVP?
41 0 0
AVP, D Long
20% return available in AVP?

At two year low - bottom support ... all indicators pointing to oversold with a potential turn up. Can see 20% return here over next two months. Calling $17.00 by 4/15

jimnewman44 jimnewman44 FB, D,
FB: FB - sideways from here, then down
139 2 2
FB, D
FB - sideways from here, then down

Neutral short-term ... but bearish longer term. Momentum has slowed as the price channels have shifted flatter. RSI is skidding up to overbought land. Aroon is losing conviction on its bullish signal ... IMO - FB has been buoyed by the overall market and Yellen's comments. Nothing has changed fundamentally.

jimnewman44 jimnewman44 SPX, D,
SPX: SPX - head and shoulders forming?
182 0 0
SPX, D
SPX - head and shoulders forming?

H&S forming? No way of knowing right now since the right shoulder hasn't formed yet ... but where do you head from here. Let's wait and see what Yellen says about tapering. Also the price is up against the lower price channel it had formerly ran since Oct 2013.

jimnewman44 jimnewman44 SPX500, D,
SPX500: S&P - at support ... where to from here?
61 0 0
SPX500, D
S&P - at support ... where to from here?

VIX looks overextended, S&P resting above 150D MA, but MACD and RSI need to show some sign of life. At this point, I'm neutral especially ahead of this week's economic data.

jimnewman44 jimnewman44 TIF, D, Short ,
TIF: TIF - overvalued & under pressure
77 0 0
TIF, D Short
TIF - overvalued & under pressure

2/3 COB Price: $80.88 * At the crossroads - 200D MA support line, bottom of channel, bottom BB, oversold RSI * MACD indicates continued weakness Projection (1M) = $77.00 (-4.8% from current price) Calculated equity valuation = $68.90 (blend of DCF exit multiple - 25%, DCF perpetuity growth - 25%, two-stage dividend discount model - 25%, relative ...

jimnewman44 jimnewman44 SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P to correct down to 1735 by year-end
137 0 0
SPX, D Short
S&P to correct down to 1735 by year-end

See text box on chart

jimnewman44 jimnewman44 ONVO, D,
ONVO: ONVO - up, down, sideways?
165 0 0
ONVO, D
ONVO - up, down, sideways?

Hot topic - 3D printing - but in the healthcare industry? Now we're talking some cool innovation! But does ONVO present an opportunity now? Hard to say since the last week or two of trading have shown high volatility. But if you flatten this time period and take the last six months into consideration, $8.60 looks reasonable with first support at $7.90. ...

jimnewman44 jimnewman44 MPC, D, Short ,
MPC: MPC - reversal to $77+ then $74+
75 0 0
MPC, D Short
MPC - reversal to $77+ then $74+

Looking for bounce to lower trend line in channel ($77+) then for it to break down and fall back to the support line at $74+

jimnewman44 jimnewman44 ITIC, D, Short ,
ITIC: ITIC - Nov 22 2013
57 0 0
ITIC, D Short
ITIC - Nov 22 2013

Rising wedge with decline in volume = bearish signal. Could be offset by a MACD crossover (esp if it crosses over the zero line). Aroon is setting up a potential strong uptrend with RSI on the rise. I'm short based on the pattern/volume and personal belief that the broader market is due for a correction (irrational behavior).

jimnewman44 jimnewman44 DECK, D, Short ,
DECK: DECK - overbought? Momentum ending?
56 0 0
DECK, D Short
DECK - overbought? Momentum ending?

Price pattern with volume divergence indicates bearish move coming especially when coupled with the overbought RSI level.

jimnewman44 jimnewman44 PIR, D, Long ,
PIR: Potential for bullish pattern?
58 0 0
PIR, D Long
Potential for bullish pattern?

Long term bull on PIR - fair value estimate at $25.

jimnewman44 jimnewman44 SSYS, D, Long ,
SSYS: Upside to SSYS?
102 0 0
SSYS, D Long
Upside to SSYS?

Long(er) than vs short because of a new support line and upside strength. Looking for breakout above triangle to 120.

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