markrivest

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About me Independent investment advisor, trader and writer. Have written articles for Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, Traders.com Advantage, Futuresmag.com and Finance Magnates.
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Markets Allocation
15 % indices 5 % stocks 1 % forex 79 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
TVC:SPX 50% | 112 SP:SPX 10% | 24 DJI 6% | 15 IXIC 5% | 12
markrivest markrivest DAX, D, Short ,
DAX: Daily DAX Elliott Wave Count
76 3 4
DAX, D Short
Daily DAX Elliott Wave Count

This is the daily DAX Elliott wave count Mark

markrivest markrivest DAX, M, Short ,
DAX: Long Term DAX Elliott Wave Count
56 0 4
DAX, M Short
Long Term DAX Elliott Wave Count

This is the long term Elliott wave count for the DAX. If correct it implies a multi-year bear market may have begun. Mark

markrivest markrivest DAX, 30, Short ,
DAX: DAX Secondary Top Could be Complete
106 1 4
DAX, 30 Short
DAX Secondary Top Could be Complete

The DAX may have completed a Minor wave "2" top just below the .618 retrace level of the decline that began in early November. The intra day Elliott sub waves are amazingly clear. The supposed wave "2" has taken the form of an Expanding Flat with an interesting feature. Minute wave "b - boxed" took the form of a Horizontal Triangle instead of the more common - ...

markrivest markrivest RUT, 60, Short ,
RUT: Stock Market Rally Extension Continues
53 0 3
RUT, 60 Short
Stock Market Rally Extension Continues

On 11/30/17 the US stock market relentless rally continued, blasting through Fib resistance at SPX 2636. Illustrated today 12/1/17 is the 60 minute RUT which has a very clear Elliott wave pattern. The target red line is .618 of the rally up to minute wave ("I" -boxed) and adding this to the supposed Minute wave ("II" boxed). Also watch for SPX 2664 which a 300% ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 60, Short ,
SPX: SPX Extension Nearing 2636 Target
237 2 5
SPX, 60 Short
SPX Extension Nearing 2636 Target

My last post note SPX could hit Fib resistance at 2636 in one or two days. Today 11/30/17 there is a high probability SPX could reach this resistance zone. Mark

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: SPX Wave Extension
152 2 5
SPX, 15 Short
SPX Wave Extension

My last post noted the SPX had completed five waves up. Since then the still forming impulse wave has extended. Upward pattern could continue for one or two days. Short term Fib resistance in the 2636 area. Mark

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: SPX Five Wave Up Pattern Complete
166 2 8
SPX, 15 Short
SPX Five Wave Up Pattern Complete

This is a follow up post to my 11/22/17 post. That post had a target zone with an upper limit of SPX 2603.40 The high on 11/24/17 was 2604.21 still within leeway of the Fib targets noted in the 11/22/17 post. The most likely scenario for 11/27/17 is the 2604.21 top holds, and the trading day ends down. Mark

markrivest markrivest SSMI, 15, Short ,
SSMI: Swiss Stock Market Probable Top
19 0 3
SSMI, 15 Short
Swiss Stock Market Probable Top

Please see TOMJ2417 great post today 11/23/17 on the SSMI This is a follow up post, showing at the 15 minute level a probable completion of what TOMJ2417 has labeled as wave "5" The fifth wave of wave "5" appears to be an Ending Diagonal Triangle(EDT). The sharp and impulsive decline from the peak is exactly what you would expect after an EDT. Additionally the ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: SPX Five Waves Up Nearly Complete
139 0 5
SPX, 15 Short
SPX Five Waves Up Nearly Complete

The SPX from the bottom on 11/15/17 is near completion of an Elliott Five wave pattern. Wave "one" usually has a relationship to wave "five" Wave "1" of the pattern from 11/15/17 = 15.39 x 1.618 = 24.90 + 2577.62 - wave "4" = 2602.52 The supposed wave "5" appears to be an extended wave. Usually there is one extended in sub wave in any five wave pattern. FOMC ...

markrivest markrivest CL1!, W, Short ,
CL1!: Watch for Important Crude Oil Top 11/20/17 - 11/24/17
329 3 11
CL1!, W Short
Watch for Important Crude Oil Top 11/20/17 - 11/24/17

The weekly continuous chart of Crude Oil appears to be completing a post triangle trust up from an Elliott wave Horizontal Triangle. The broad target zone is 60.90 - 62.20. There is strong Fibonacci relationships in this price zone. The entire structure from the major bottom appears to be an A-B-C Zigzag with a Horizontal Triangle in the "B" wave. Wave (A) = ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15,
SPX: SPX  wave counts for 11/12/17
150 0 7
SPX, 15
SPX wave counts for 11/12/17

If you are bearish on US stocks be aware, November is statistically the most bullish month of the year for US stocks. The SPX top made ON 11/7/17 was a Fibonacci 55 trading days from the last significant bottom on 8/21/17. 11/7/17 is approximately 1 year from the 11/4/16 bottom. Markets sometime turn on 1 year anniversaries. The daily SPX Fibonacci section I ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: SPX Intra day update.  Shorting opportunity
180 3 6
SPX, 15 Short
SPX Intra day update. Shorting opportunity

The SPX reaction to the jobs report was very weak. An important top may be in place at the opening high. There could be a great short opportunity if SPX can rally to 2582. Mark

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: SPX Could Reach 2600-2605 on 11/3/17
167 0 5
SPX, 15 Short
SPX Could Reach 2600-2605 on 11/3/17

Friday 11/3/17 is the US monthly payroll report also a Full Moon day. The SPX Elliott wave pattern from the bottom made on 8/21/17 looks very much like an impulse wave. The pattern from 10/23/17 appears to be in a series of four's and five's - the final fifth wave up could be complete in the first two hours of trading on 11/3/17. If a top is made on 11/3/17 ...

markrivest markrivest DJU, D, Short ,
DJU: Dow Jones Utilities Nearing Major Top
65 0 4
DJU, D Short
Dow Jones Utilities Nearing Major Top

The Dow Jones Utility Average (DOWU) appears t be very close to completing an Elliott wave - Ending Diagonal Triangle (EDT). The 2017 high is 755.37 the high today is 755.00 with the FOMC announcement on 11/1/17 watch for the DOWU to possibly move above 755.37. Also rising EDT's usually complete with a slight throw over beyond the upper trend line. Mark

markrivest markrivest SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: SPX Begins Decline
199 0 7
SPX, D Short
SPX Begins Decline

Toady 10/23/17 the SPX again gapped up on the open and within seconds of the open began to decline. The open was the high of the day and prices steadily declined almost the entire day. There is a very high probability the buying panic has ended. At least an intermediate top that could hold for months is probably in place. I had previously posted about the ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: SPX Aamzing Fibonacci Price and Time Relationships
402 8 14
SPX, D Short
SPX Aamzing Fibonacci Price and Time Relationships

Within any impulsive Elliott five wave pattern there's usually a relationship between waves "one" and "five" The SPX from 2/11/16 the actual top of Minor wave "1" had a growth rate of 17.15% multiplied by .382 = a growth rate of 6.55% Adding 6.55% to the bottom of Minor wave "4" at 2417.35 targets minor wave "5" at 2575.68 the actual high on 10/20/17 was ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: SPX Gap Up - Signature of a Top
177 3 8
SPX, D Short
SPX Gap Up - Signature of a Top

On 10/20/17 the SPX did something rare, it gapped up and subsequently in the trading day did not fill the gap. Since the recent bull phase began on 2/11/16 almost every gap up was within the range of the prior daily correction. Illustrated on the daily SPX charts are two gaps up that were within the range of the prior daily correction 8/8/17 to 8/21/17. There are ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: SPX Intra day Elliott Wave Update 10/17/17
174 2 6
SPX, 15 Short
SPX Intra day Elliott Wave Update 10/17/17

Today 10/17/17 the very short term wave structure may have changed. Its possible that wave IV of the supposed Ending Diagonal Triangle may have taken the form of a Horizontal Triangle. If so, the new pattern could move the SPX beyond the maximum of SPX 2563.43. Another pattern has the Ending Diagonal ether complete or very near completion. Near term its not ...

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