markrivest

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About me Independent investment advisor, trader and writer. Have written articles for Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, Traders.com Advantage, Futuresmag.com and Finance Magnates.
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Markets Allocation
19 % indices 5 % stocks 1 % forex 74 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
TVC:SPX 46% | 112 SP:SPX 14% | 35 DJI 6% | 15 IXIC 5% | 12
markrivest markrivest SPX, D, Long ,
SPX: SPX Could Have Big Gap Up on 2/5/18
501 0 9
SPX, D Long
SPX Could Have Big Gap Up on 2/5/18

On 2/2/18 the SPX bottomed near two significant Fibonacci points. A .236 retrace of the rally from August 2017 is at 2764.78 Also equality is a common relationship between waves "two" and "four" Minute wave "II" - boxed was 110.02 subtract this from the SPX high at 2872.09 targets 2762.07 Bottom on 2/2/18 was 2759.97 Also I've recently learned a technique to ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, D, Long ,
SPX: High SPX -RSI Contiues to Predict Higher Prices
242 2 7
SPX, D Long
High SPX -RSI Contiues to Predict Higher Prices

My 1/7/18 SPX post noted a high monthly RSI was bullish for SPX. On 1/26/18 the monthly, weekly, and daily SPX - RSI are all at their highest levels since March of 2009. Seasonal US stock market patterns are bullish until May. I've discover Fibonacci resistance at SPX 3047, more about this in a future post. High probability SPX rises to 3047 area by May ...

markrivest markrivest NGG2018, D, Long ,
NGG2018: Gift for Natural Gas - Bulls
90 2 7
NGG2018, D Long
Gift for Natural Gas - Bulls

February 2018 Natural Gas Futures has an interesting double top at 3.32. The daily 200 day SMA is just below this level. If there is a break out above 3.32 - price will also be decisively above the 200 day SMA. A break out above clear resistance could trigger huge buying, quickly moving price higher. 3.70 could be reached in a week. Mark

markrivest markrivest SPX, D,
SPX: SPX - Elliott Wave Count From 2/11/16
250 1 8
SPX, D
SPX - Elliott Wave Count From 2/11/16

The SPX for the last few months appears to have been in the most dynamic portion of an Elliott- five wave motive pattern. This is referred to in bull markets as a "Third of a Third Up. This pattern has a very steady move up and the corrections are very shallow. It is also where regardless of time scale where the RSI will achieve its maximum point. As of ...

markrivest markrivest DJU, D,
DJU: DJUA Nearing Buying Opportunity - part two
22 0 4
DJU, D
DJUA Nearing Buying Opportunity - part two

The DJUA Elliott wave count of the recent decline is exceptionally clear. If the count is correct,there could be one more rally for a few days followed by a final decline to new lows and .618 Fibonacci support. Note - Alternate count has wave "C" of an "A-B-C" Zigzag complete at either the 1/12/18 low or to bottomed in the support zone on 1/16/18 - New moon ...

markrivest markrivest DJU, D,
DJU: DJUA Nearing Buying Opportunity-Part One
17 0 4
DJU, D
DJUA Nearing Buying Opportunity-Part One

The DJUA is nearing .618 support at the same time the Daily RSI is deeply oversold. Elliott wave analysis indicates downward trend could continue for another five to eight trading days. ***Wave count will be illustrated in my next post. If the DJUA bottoms soon the next rally could last for several weeks. Mark

markrivest markrivest SPX, M, Long ,
SPX: High Monthly SPX -RSI is Bullish
273 8 8
SPX, M Long
High Monthly SPX -RSI is Bullish

Note on the monthly SPX chart every time the monthly RSI hit its maximum bull market high, the SPX was at either a short term or intermediate peak. The shortest time between max RSI and major SPX peak was 5 months - from May 2007 to Oct 2007. This implies at the very least the SPX bull market could continue until June 2018. Mark

markrivest markrivest UKX, M,
UKX: UKX - Long Term Elliott Wave Count
33 0 3
UKX, M
UKX - Long Term Elliott Wave Count

If this wave count is correct the next UKX bear market should not go below the bottom made in August 2011. Comments are welcome. Mark

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15,
SPX: SPX Top in Place?
171 0 8
SPX, 15
SPX Top in Place?

Based upon the last wave count I posted the SPX should have made a new all time high on 12/21/17. It's possible the SPX may have completed an Ending Diagonal Triangle (EDT) count on 12/18/17. After that peak I posted the EDT was doubtful because of the large beak out above the upper trend line. The EDT count while doubtful, was not eliminated, because the ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: SPX In Post Triangle Thrust Up
229 1 6
SPX, 15 Short
SPX In Post Triangle Thrust Up

Today 12/20/17 the SPX intraday wave count is clearer. It appears the decline on 12/19/17 was probably wave "IV" of a post Triangle thrust up. There is usually a Fib relationship between waves "I" and "V". In this case wave "I" which is from 2632.71 to 2671.88 = 39.17 x .618 = 24.20 + 2680.74 wave "IV" targets SPX 2704.94. Allow for leeway plus or minus two ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 30,
SPX: Ending Diagonal Triangle - Doubtful
196 1 7
SPX, 30
Ending Diagonal Triangle - Doubtful

An Elliott wave rule is that the third wave of a five wave motive pattern can never be the shortest. The supposed wave (III) is shorter than Wave (I) The elimination point for the SPX-EDT is at 2699.24 - this is where the supposed wave (V) would be longer than wave (III). Even though the SPX has not hit the elimination point - it is doubtful an EDT is forming. ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: SPX Ending Diagonal Triangle Complete.  Downside target 2605.
378 6 12
SPX, 15 Short
SPX Ending Diagonal Triangle Complete. Downside target 2605.

My last post had a target zone of SPX 2675 to 2678 for completion of an Elliott wave Ending Diagonal Triangle (EDT) The SPX high on 12/15/17 was in the 2679 area just marginally above the target zone. This high was quickly followed by a rapid decline in the last half hour of trading on 12/15/17. This rapid drop following an expected throw over of the upper trend ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: SPX Still Completing Ending Diagonal Triangle
240 5 9
SPX, 15 Short
SPX Still Completing Ending Diagonal Triangle

My post on 12/14/17 had a question mark after the supposed wave "IV" of the Ending Diagonal Triangle. The reason was because of the small size of the supposed wave "IV". Today there's an exclamation point after wave "IV" because it bottomed in between two Fib support areas. The brown line at 2651.46 = .50 of wave "II". The blue line at 53.76 = .382 of wave ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: SPX Completing an Ending Diagonal Triangle?
201 0 3
SPX, 15 Short
SPX Completing an Ending Diagonal Triangle?

The SPX failed to reach the target zone noted in my 12/13/17 post. There's still marginal upside potential for 12/14/17. It now appears an Elliott wave Ending Diagonal Triangle could be forming. When this pattern is completing a bullish movement there's typically a throw over of the upper trend line. Watch for a possible top today in the SPX 2675 - 2678 area. Mark

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: SPX Opening Call 12/13/17
135 0 4
SPX, 15 Short
SPX Opening Call 12/13/17

SPX could complete an Elliott wave post Triangle thrust up sometime in the first half of trading 12/13/17 FOMC day. Fibonacci resistance is at 2678 to 2686 The 2686 number comes from the Horizontal Triangle widest part - waves "a" to "b" and adding it to wave "e" of 4. Mark

markrivest markrivest DAX, D, Short ,
DAX: Daily DAX Elliott Wave Count
165 3 4
DAX, D Short
Daily DAX Elliott Wave Count

This is the daily DAX Elliott wave count Mark

markrivest markrivest DAX, M, Short ,
DAX: Long Term DAX Elliott Wave Count
143 0 4
DAX, M Short
Long Term DAX Elliott Wave Count

This is the long term Elliott wave count for the DAX. If correct it implies a multi-year bear market may have begun. Mark

markrivest markrivest DAX, 30, Short ,
DAX: DAX Secondary Top Could be Complete
124 1 4
DAX, 30 Short
DAX Secondary Top Could be Complete

The DAX may have completed a Minor wave "2" top just below the .618 retrace level of the decline that began in early November. The intra day Elliott sub waves are amazingly clear. The supposed wave "2" has taken the form of an Expanding Flat with an interesting feature. Minute wave "b - boxed" took the form of a Horizontal Triangle instead of the more common - ...

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