markrivest

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About me Independent investment advisor, trader and writer. Have written articles for Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, Traders.com Advantage, Futuresmag.com and Finance Magnates.
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Markets Allocation
27 % indices 6 % stocks 2 % commodities 65 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
TVC:SPX 38% | 112 SP:SPX 22% | 65 DJI 5% | 16 UKX 4% | 13
markrivest markrivest UKX, 1D, Long ,
33 0 8
UKX, 1D Long
Powerful FTSE 100 Rally

The US main stock indices continue to have multiple Elliott wave alternative counts. The UKX has a very clear Elliott wave count and could be a guide to help time a possible major global stock market top. UKX decline from its all-time high was a clear double zigzag pattern. Today 9/21/18 the UKX had a very strong rally that pushed above the .382 resistance ...

markrivest markrivest UKX, 1W, Long ,
101 1 11
UKX, 1W Long
FTSE 100 in Gigantic Ending Diagonal Triangle?

The FTSE 100 (UKX) could be in the final wave of a gigantic Elliott Wave -Ending Diagonal Triangle (EDT) that began in 2009. If so, this could be the largest EDT ever recorded. UKX has just bounced off the rising weekly trend line while the weekly RSI and Stochastic have reached oversold levels that correspond with the low made at the last correction. If this ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Long ,
291 2 15
SPX, 15 Long
SPX Decline From 8/29/18 is a Corrective Pattern

My prior SPX post title said the week of 9/3/18 to 9/7/18 could be a bad week for the bears. It turned out to be a good week for the bears. Is the decline from the SPX peak of 2916 on 8/29/18 the start of a much larger move down? Doubtful, a check of elements from the dimensions of Price and Time strongly imply the recent decline is just a correction within an ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 1D, Long ,
288 6 14
SPX, 1D Long
Week of 9/3/18 to 9/7/18 Could be Bad for SPX Bears

In several of my recent posts I've noted that there have been several alternate counts for the SPX. For the last few weeks since June 28th the rally has been steady and looks impulsive. I believe an Elliott wave Horizontal Triangle may have ended on 6/28/18 at SPX 2691.99. If so the SPX is now in a post triangle trust up which is common after completion of a ...

markrivest markrivest RUT, 1D, Long ,
126 8 12
RUT, 1D Long
Intermediate View of Significant RUT Resistance

The clearest clue to RUT's Elliott wave pattern from early 2016 is what's happen in 2018. It appears to be a series of "fours" and "fives" with each of the wave fours an Elliott wave Horizontal Triangle. The most likely measurement of the move after completion of a Horizontal Triangle is to take the widest distance of the triangle and add this to the end point ...

markrivest markrivest RUT, 1W, Long ,
95 2 12
RUT, 1W Long
RUT Nearing Significant Resistance

Please see my RUT posts on 7/26/18, 6/21/18 and 5/9/18. Next week RUT could reach the 1740 to 1750 zone,this is where long term and intermediate rising trend lines converge. I still anticipate RUT to make a significant top before the SPX, DJI, and IXIC. In 2000 RUT peaked 2 weeks before the SPX in 2007 RUT made a top 3 months before SPX. If RUT tops next week ...

139 0 16
EEM, 1D
EEM Hits Lower Trend Line

The EEM has bounced off its lower trend line with a daily RSI bullish divergence and bullish Stochastic cross over. It looks like EEM could rally for about two weeks which may coincide with a move up for the DJI and SPX. Mark

markrivest markrivest DJI, 1M, Long ,
214 5 12
DJI, 1M Long
Long Term DJI and RSI Evidence

In several of my posts I've noted that stocks and stock indices almost always have a bearish RSI divergence at the completion of their bull moves. I've discovered that this phenomenon is present at all time levels from monthly all the way down to the one minute scale. The monthly DJI is a perfect example of using the RSI to discover tops. Every significant peak ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 30, Long ,
478 11 14
SPX, 30 Long
Sentiment and Momentum Indicate SPX Bottom on 8/15/18

My prior SPX post noted that a bottom could have been made on either 8/10/18 or 8/13/18. The decline lasted a little longer and has not reached the primary price target, but the evidence of a bottom today is stronger than what I noted in the last post. Today the PC ratio reached the highest level since the early February bottom. Additionally the 30 minute RSI ...

markrivest markrivest EEM, 1W, Short ,
144 1 11
EEM, 1W Short
Emerging Markets Could be Leading the Way Down

Fellow Trading View member "The Unwind" has a terrific post about a 3 times short Emerging Market ETF. The Unwind could be on to something big. The weekly Emerging market ETF - EEM has just finished a bounce and appears to have started a new down wave. Weekly Stochastic just had a bearish cross over and the weekly RSI is still not in the over sold zone. The ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 60, Long ,
435 4 10
SPX, 60 Long
Another Important SPX Bottom on 8/10/18 or 8/13/18

In prior SPX posts I've noted there are several possible bullish wave counts, this post illustrates yet another alternate count. I believe the SPX has a very good chance to make a new all-time high before the end of August 2018. The recent SPX high at 2863 did have a bearish divergence on the daily RSI, it was not confirmed by the 60 minute RSI which reached its ...

markrivest markrivest IXIC, 1D, Long ,
467 4 16
IXIC, 1D Long
Major Nasdaq Top 8/13/18?

Normally when analyzing the US stock market my focus is on the SPX which usually has the clearest Elliott wave patterns. From the SPX January 2018 top, there are three different ways to count what appears to be a completed Elliott wave Horizontal Triangle. The Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) from January has a much clearer wave count. The IXIC appears to be forming ...

markrivest markrivest FB, 1W, Long ,
583 2 5
FB, 1W Long
Facebook Ready for a Bounce

FB low on 7/27/18 was 173.00 this split the difference between two important Fibonacci points. A .236 retrace of the FB entire bull market is at 171.17 A .618 retrace of the rally from its last correction low is a 175.61 This implies very strong support. A break below 168.00 could be very bearish. Bulls should keep a close stop. A bounce may only last two or ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 1D, Long ,
569 5 13
SPX, 1D Long
SPX Could be Forming an Ending Diagonal Triangle

There is an alternate wave count for the SPX that came into play on 7/27/18. Most of the time after the conclusion of a Elliott wave Horizontal Triangle there is a powerful thrust in the direction of the main trend. The subsequent rally after the early May bottom has not been powerful. If there's not a powerful thrust after the Horizontal Triangle, then a ...

markrivest markrivest GLD, 1D, Long ,
172 0 9
GLD, 1D Long
GLD Could Bottom on Lunar Eclipse 7/27/18

My recent posts on GLD focused on the dimensions of Momentum and Price. This post focus is on the Time dimension. The metals markets will sometimes have significant turns at Lunar and Solar Eclipses. 7/27/18 there will be a total Lunar Eclipse. If GLD can make a marginal new low this could be a fantastic buying opportunity. Mark

markrivest markrivest RUT, 1W, Long ,
51 0 5
RUT, 1W Long
Update Long Term RUT Chart

In my June 21st post it appeared that the RUT could have made a significant top. Since then RUT has been basing and looks like it may have completed anonther Elliott wave Horizontal Triangle. If so RUT could make a new all-time high in just a few days perhaps even on 7/27/18. I still believe RUT will make a significant top prior to the SPX. My long term SPX ...

markrivest markrivest GLD, 1D, Long ,
173 4 7
GLD, 1D Long
More Evidence GLD Could Be Bottoming

My previous post focused just on the Momentum dimension for GLD. This post explores both the Momentum and Price dimensions. GLD from its 12/17/15 bottom could be forming a complex Elliott wave pattern. The 7/6/16 top - labeled (A) could be the first Zigzag of a developing Double Zigzag rally. The developing wave (B) or (X) could be taking the form of an ...

markrivest markrivest GLD, 1W, Long ,
119 0 7
GLD, 1W Long
GLD Nearing a Bottom

There are four market dimensions, Price, Time, Sentiment, and Momentum. This post deals just with the Momentum dimension. Weekly RSI and Stochastics for GLD are both in the area that have previously lead to bottoms. GLD could be within one or two weeks of a bottom. Mark

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