markrivest

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About me Independent investment advisor, trader and writer. Have written articles for Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, Traders.com Advantage, Futuresmag.com and Finance Magnates.
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Markets Allocation
11 % indices 6 % stocks 1 % forex 82 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
TVC:SPX 53% | 111 DJI 7% | 15 INDEX:SPX 6% | 13 IXIC 5% | 12
markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: SPX Intraday Elliott Wave Update 10/16/17
59 2 6
SPX, 15 Short
SPX Intraday Elliott Wave Update 10/16/17

By now you are wondering if the stock market rally will ever end. Believe me, momentum and sentiment indicators are incredibly bearish. Just examine the recent NYSE 52-week new highs. Over the last several trading days new highs are significantly diverging with the SPX. A complete and total non-confirmation of the SPX new high. From the October 9th bottom the ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, W, Short ,
SPX: Time Cycles Point to 10/11/17 as Major Stock Market Top
190 5 7
SPX, W Short
Time Cycles Point to 10/11/17 as Major Stock Market Top

The bull SPX bull market from 10/02 to 10/07 was almost a perfect Fibonacci sequence number of 5 years. Using Fibonacci ratio analysis 5.0 years x 2 = 10 years added to the major SPX top on 10/11/07 targets 10/11/17 as a possible major top. This is backed up by a secondary Fibonacci time sequence. May 2011 to May 2015 is 48 months x .618 = 29 months added to ...

markrivest markrivest DJI, W, Short ,
DJI: DJIA at Multi- Year Resistance Line
180 5 7
DJI, W Short
DJIA at Multi- Year Resistance Line

The DJIA today 10/4/17 went marginally above a multi-year trend line. Connecting the tops made 5/2/11 and 45/18/17 The US stock market could be rallying into the Employment report due out 8:30 AM EDT on 10/6/17 could make another marginal high on 10/6/17. Mark

markrivest markrivest SPX, 60, Short ,
SPX: Small Cap Stock Blow Off Top on 9/27/17
275 3 8
SPX, 60 Short
Small Cap Stock Blow Off Top on 9/27/17

The percentage gains for several US stock indices on 9/27/17 are as follows : RUT +1.92 IXIC +1.15 NDX + .96 ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15,
SPX: SPX Ending Diagonal Triangle Count Eliminated on Open 9/18/17
312 7 10
SPX, 15
SPX Ending Diagonal Triangle Count Eliminated on Open 9/18/17

My prior post noted that the SPX Ending Diagonal Triangle (EDT) would be wrong if the 5th wave up was longer than the 3rd wave up. That point was reached on the open of SPX trading on 9/18/17 and opened the door for higher prices which is what happened as the SPX quickly rallied to 2508.30. If the SPX was in a healthy bull market this upside break through ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: SPX Reaches Ending Diagonal Triangle Target
309 0 9
SPX, 15 Short
SPX Reaches Ending Diagonal Triangle Target

When making a forecast take one step at a time. Focus on the immediate price or time target, wait to see if that target is achieved then focus on the next target. This keeps you mentally flexible and able to quickly react if an unexpected scenario occurs. On 9/15/17 I posted an SPX intra day alert that an Elliott Wave - Ending Diagonal Triangle (EDT) appeared to ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: SPX Intra Day Alert!
380 6 9
SPX, 15 Short
SPX Intra Day Alert!

The SPX appears to be forming an Ending Diagonal Triangle from the 9/14/17 low. Target zone is SPX 2499.30 to 2500.30 Time target later today 9/15/17, Mark

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: SPX Top Could be in Place With Ending Diagonal Triangle
244 0 10
SPX, 15 Short
SPX Top Could be in Place With Ending Diagonal Triangle

The post Horizontal Triangle thrust up impulse wave I've been tracking may have completed today 9/13/17 with an Elliott wave Ending Diagonal Triangle. This structure occurs in fifth waves and are termination waves to the larger degree trend. This type of wave happens after a market has gone too far to fast. A move below SPX 2492.10 could be a very important ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: SPX at Upper Extreme
223 3 7
SPX, 15 Short
SPX at Upper Extreme

Today 9/12/17 the SPX went marginally above the target zone listed in my last post. The reason - post triangle thrust up impulse wave extended. The SPX closed the day on an uptick near or at the high of the day depending on what quote service viewed. Most of the time there is upside follow through on the next day. CAUTION! ***** If the SPX opens up on 9/13 ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: SPX Post Triangle Thrust Up Targets 2490-2494
248 1 11
SPX, 15 Short
SPX Post Triangle Thrust Up Targets 2490-2494

It appears that the SPX on 9/8/17 completed an Elliott wave Horizontal Triangle that began on 6/19/17. Wave 'e' of the Horizontal Triangle was itself a smaller Horizontal Triangle, this makes the entire structure since 6/19/17 as a Nine wave triangle. ** See page 50 of the "Elliott Wave Principle" Note closely the impulse wave forming from the 9/8/17 low at ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: Gift for the Stock Market Bears
436 5 12
SPX, 15 Short
Gift for the Stock Market Bears

If the wave count I've posted is correct there could be a thrust up for the SPX in the first 1/2 hour of trading on 9/8/17. If the SPX can reach the 2470 to 2472 area this could be a fantastic area to short stocks. A move above 2475 would put this forecast in doubt. Mark

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: Bears Now Control the Stock Market
276 1 6
SPX, 15 Short
Bears Now Control the Stock Market

My last post noted that the SPX could make a new all - time high on 9/5/17. This forecast was based upon the impulse wave the SPX was in since the 8/29/17 bottom. Today in the first half hour of trading this forecast was invalidated because the size of the decline was out of proportion with the prior tiny declines within the impulse wave up from 8/29/17. This ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: Major SPX Top - Elliott Wave Count Update
398 10 10
SPX, D Short
Major SPX Top - Elliott Wave Count Update

The recent SPX rally from 8/29/17 has been relentless and has blasted through three resistance areas- now appears to be on track to make a new all-time high. The SPX pattern from 6/19/17 to 8/29/17 looks very much like an Elliott wave - Horizontal Triangle. After the completion of these structures there is a post triangle trust in the direction of the main ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 30,
SPX: SPX Elliott Wave update 8/29/17
410 6 11
SPX, 30
SPX Elliott Wave update 8/29/17

At the open today 8/29/17 the bears had everything going for them yet the decline ended in the first minute of SPX trading. It now appears an Elliott wave Leading Diagonal Triangle bottom was made at SPX 2417. Todays low could be wave "b" of a developing wave "(II) up. If rally continues watch the area around .618 retracement of the decline from 2490 to 2417. Mark

markrivest markrivest SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: SPX Sharp Decline Expected 8/28/17 to 9/1/17
225 6 12
SPX, D Short
SPX Sharp Decline Expected 8/28/17 to 9/1/17

From the SPX all-time high on 8/8/17 the decline has taken the form of Elliott waves one's and two's down. If this count is correct next week 8/28/17 to 9/1/17 could see what is called an Elliott third of a third down. This type of wave is usually very powerful an steep. The SPX could reached the important support area of 2322 this week. I still suspect this ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: SPX Mini Crash Bottom at 2135 - Target Date 9/11/17
164 2 7
SPX, D Short
SPX Mini Crash Bottom at 2135 - Target Date 9/11/17

For several months stock market momentum indicators have become very bearish. The persistence of the rally have brought the recent SPX top into a seasonally bearish time zone from August to November. Recently I've posted that conditions for a stock market mini crash are in place if the SPX breaks below the 200 day Simple Moving Average and significant support at ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: Prelude to a Stock Market Mini Crash?
555 11 13
SPX, D Short
Prelude to a Stock Market Mini Crash?

My last post noted SPX resistance up to just below 2475. On 8/16/17 the SPX reached 2474.90 and began a new decline. The decline continued into today, and on the 15 minute chart is a Elliott five wave pattern. Very short term it appears this decline could be complete at the close of 8/17/17. The 8/16/17 - 8/17/decline could be the second wave "one" down in a ...

markrivest markrivest SPX, 15, Short ,
SPX: SPX NEXT RESISTANCE ZONE
398 18 15
SPX, 15 Short
SPX NEXT RESISTANCE ZONE

My last post noted SPX resistance in the 2458 area and a move above 2460 could open the door to the next resistance at 2470. Today 8/14/17 the SPX opened near the 2458 resistance area and quickly moved beyond this potential stopping point. I had speculated that an Elliott Wave - Expanding Flat was forming. In this pattern wave "C" sub divides into five waves, ...

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