priceactiontds

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. I try to do BTC more regularly now. You can think of bitcoin what you want, but it’s a big enough market to follow the basic principles of human nature and therefore price action patterns. Frankly, i don’t care if you think this is going to 0 or 1.000.000. and you don’t have to either to trade it. bull case: Bulls got the...

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. I repeated the importance of the monthly close today because my thesis is still that the sp500 e-mini needs daily closes above 5100 for this not being the final move of an unbelievably climactic move. February closed at 5096.5. Does that make my thesis right and we sell off from here? Probably not. Markets mostly going...

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. Interesting day today. Very strong move by the bulls above many bear trend lines. The first move to 2046 happened exactly in the Globex session as i said but the spike to 2058 was so big, that all bears had to give up. I expect follow through. Quote from yesterday: At 2046ish are 3 magnets: upper bear trend line, 1h 20ema...

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. Quote from my weekly outlook: short term: slight favor for the bulls to reverse Friday and trade above 79, there could still be resistance if bulls won’t push above with some force. bears win below 75 for at least 74 or lower That outlook was good for 300 pips. Hope you made some. bull case: Bulls got exactly what i...

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. If you follow the dax and maybe some German economic indicators or listen to the German word on the street, you are probably wondering how on earth this market can go higher and print daily new ath’s. Welp, all traders see it's overbought but it still keeps going up. This is absolutely the blow off top and the end of this...

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. bull case: Bulls stalled the market around 2040 which is important now. Bears made lower lows and broke below the triangle. Bulls need to trade back above 2040 and they want a retest of the smaller bear trend line around 2046 and then make a higher high above 2050. At 2046ish are 3 magnets: upper bear trend line, 1h 20ema...

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. This week was another very strong one for the bulls. Having these kind of climaxes at the top after such a long ongoing trend is often the exhaustive end of it. But all that is just mumbling until bears show up. Bulls continue to pump this higher and that’s just what’s happening right now. All targets have been met and market...

priceactiontds

wti crude oil The chart and my drawn wave outlook is the low probability thesis. More probable is a continuation of the trading range 68-78 or 70-80, whatever price you find more appealing, same outcome. bull case: Bulls still prevented bears from a strong move down, as they had the last months, after a rally and we are still trading above the daily 20ema. We...

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. Last time i talked about Nvidia was 3 week ago and Nvidia at 661. Time to revisit and adjust again. I said buy, 700 and even 800 were my targets. Market kept at it, 788 now with 823. If you made money, please leave a comment, thumps up or whatnot. I hope you enjoyed it. Outlook Quote from last outlook: "The thing about...

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. If you are a regular reader, you know by now, that i’m the first to acknowledge and point out my errors. I’m tougher on myself than the internet could ever be. Today was another humbling day for bearish takes on the market. One would think the odds for deeper pullbacks rise with each consecutive buy climax. Not today anyhow....

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. Bears making lower lows but bulls buy them. That means prominent tails above and below bars and you have to be humble about your scalps. Markets don’t go from big bull to big bear trend and betting on breakouts after mind boggling rallies is low probability and a losing strategy. nasdaq Bears tried all day to get the...

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. In my weekly outlook i talked about the major trend reversal for most indexes since the bull trend is coming to an end and we are in a trading range at the highs imo. Markets are in the process of forming a top and confirmation would be lower lows by the bears now. Today was a good start. sp500 In my weekly outlook i said...

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. Starting today i will do weekly fx recaps/outlooks for the 3 following currencies: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GPB/USD (will only post 1 of the 3 here on tradingview). eur/usd Let’s start off with a monthly time frame. Market is in a multi decade bear trend and struggling to find a bottom. Was the 202209 low below 1 the true bottom?...

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. I try to keep it simple stupid (KISS) here with my chart this week. bull case: bulls created a credible bottom around 70 and the buying pressure is there to get to 80 for the first time since 2023-11-07. There is a measured move target from the first leg i drew to around 82, the upper wedge trend line goes there and the...

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. My bearish outlook or at least i gave the higher odds to the bears was wrong and bulls just kept buying everything today. Tomorrow is Opex and all markets are at big resistances again after beginning the week with a selloff. Tomorrow has the potential to be wild. I see it as a trading range at the highs and the recent rally...

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. wti crude oil This chart is obviously the hardest because big trading range for a long time where market is absolutely neutral and both sides have all the arguments for their case. bull case: Strong enough rally to 78 and they want to print 80 for a higher high. They will probably give up below 75.5 and try again around...

priceactiontds

Good morning and i hope you are well. USD/CHF bull case: Bulls want the breakout of the triangle and bear channel here to test the 2023-11 and afterwards the 2023-10 high. The rally looks good enough that they can get it. Measured move target is right in between those 2 targets. If they can get the breakout, the market cycle changes from bear trend to trading...

priceactiontds

Good morning and i hope you are well. wti crude oil bull case: Bulls still have the 80 target in sight and they are buying all pullbacks. The uptrend is weakening but i think then can get there. The 1h 20ema is holding pretty good and we are right at it. So it's a buy. The drawn wedge could get us there but bulls have more trend lines below which can hold. Last...